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Latest Articles

Move The Embassy
By Lawrence Haas, U.S. News & World Report, January 10, 2017

President-elect Donald Trump's promise to move the U.S. embassy in Israel to Jerusalem provides a timely opportunity for the new president to make a sharp break with President Barack Obama's unwise, unjustified and ultimately ineffective hostility toward America's closest ally in the turbulent Middle East. 

China's New Silk Road Is Getting Muddy
By Joshua Eisenman and Devin T. Stewart, Foreign Policy, January 9, 2017

 With the future of U.S.-China relations an open question for the incoming Donald Trump administration, many have focused on whether the president-elect's promise to withdraw from negotiations over the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) will enhance Beijing's growing influence in East Asia. But rather than hand-wringing over TPP's ignominious failure, Asia watchers should turn their attention to China's unprecedented $1 trillion strategic gambit: the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road, aka "One Belt, One Road" (OBOR). Launched in 2013 as President Xi Jinping's signature initiative, OBOR holds great promise, as well as potential pitfalls, for both China and its neighbors. 

Trump's Arsenal Against Iran
By Ilan Berman, USA Today, December 29, 2016

What will the new president do about Iran? 

While still on the campaign trail, President-elect Donald Trump railed repeatedly against President Obama's "disastrous" nuclear deal with Iran. He pledged to tear up the agreement, or at least amend it substantially, as one of his first acts in office. Yet, for a host of reasons, the nuclear pact concluded between the Iran and the P5+1 powers (the U.S., U.K., Russia, China, France and Germany) last summer is likely to prove more resilient than either the president-elect or his advisers hope. 

Next Year In Jerusalem?
By James S. Robbins, U.S. News & World Report, December 21, 2016

In his March 2016 speech at the American Israel Public Affairs Committee policy conference, then-candidate Donald Trump promised that his administration would "move the U.S. embassy to the eternal capital of the Jewish people, Jerusalem." Last week, ambassador to Israel designate David Friedman said he looks forward to working "from the U.S. embassy in Israel's eternal capital, Jerusalem." Senior aide Kellyanne Conway has confirmed that the move is a "very big priority for this president-elect, Donald Trump." 

China's Drone Grab and the Dangers of 'Strategic Ambiguity'
By Jeff M. Smith, The Diplomat, December 20, 2016

Last week the USNS Bowditch, an unarmed U.S. Pathfinder-class survey ship manned by a civilian crew, was shadowed by a PLA Navy (PLAN) Dalang-III-class salvage and rescue vessel as it operated 50 nautical miles (nm) northwest of the Philippines’ Subic Bay. As the Bowditch maneuvered to recover an unclassified “ocean glider” Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (UUV) gathering hydrographic data, a smaller ship was launched by the PLAN vessel to capture the UUV. Just 500 meters away, the Bowditch established radio contact but the Chinese vessel left the area with a simple reply: “We are returning to normal operations.”


Latest Books

Cyber Insecurity: Navigating the Perils of the Next Information Age
Richard M. Harrison and Trey Herr, Rowman and Littlefield, October 2016


Latest In-House Bulletins

Defense Technology Monitor - No. 12
January 17, 2017

Army considers tech upgrades for combat vehicles;
A new way to defeat drones;
New EMP defense discovered;
Chinese phones spy on U.S. consumers;
Non-nuclear EMP versus North Korean drones

 

Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2111
January 11, 2017

Assessing Putin's political future;
Russian hacking controversy gathers steam

 

Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2110
January 9, 2017

Doubling down on RT;
Russians yearn anew for the USSR
 

China Reform Monitor - No. 1265
January 6, 2017

Violence flares again on China-Myanmar border;
New restrictions on social media
 

Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2109
January 6, 2017

New blood at the Economic Ministry;
The worm turns in Central Asia
 


Latest Policy Papers

Iran Strategy Brief No. 8: Iranian Ideology after the Nuclear Deal
By James S. Robbins , January 11, 2017

The Obama administration’s Iran policy has been driven by the conviction that reaching a deal with Iran over its nuclear weapons program would constitute a historic diplomatic breakthrough, lead to a fundamental transformation in U.S.-Iranian relations, and prompt significant changes in the Islamic Republic’s international behavior. This view was apparently based on a belief that American opposition to Iran’s policies played a critical role in perpetuating Tehran’s destabilizing activities, and that pursuing a rapprochement with the Islamic Republic could consequently lead to more moderate policies.

High Energy Lasers: Applications for Ballistic Missile Defense
By Dr. William Schneider, Jr. , December 20, 2016

For decades, ballistic missile defense (BMD) has been among the most controversial dimensions of national defense. Since the termination of the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002, the extensive proliferation of ballistic missiles on the world stage has prompted the gradual emergence of an international consensus supporting the acquisition of ballistic missile defense capabilities. The proliferation of ballistic missiles is abetted by the present, low cost of creating a formidable offensive ballistic missile capability—a feature which has provided aspiring weapons states with new opportunities to acquire strategic capabilities...