Articles

Israel Seeks A New Strategic Concept

April 11, 2024 Ilan I. Berman National Institute for Public Policy

In tandem with its military offensive against Hamas, however, Israel has experienced a deeper strategic shift. A sea change is now taking place in Israel’s approach to security affairs, informed by the errors and miscalculations that made the atrocities of October 7th possible.

The True Obstacles to a Palestinian State

April 2, 2024 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

Cumulatively, these factors will help determine what lies ahead for the Palestinians. But if Team Biden ignores them in favor of quick fixes, or worse still, empty pandering to its constituents, it will only end up perpetuating their misery.

Russia’s Islamist Terror Threat Reemerges

March 31, 2024 Ilan I. Berman The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune

The March 22 attack in Moscow may be a potential portent of things to come. Russia’s Mideast policy has given foreign Islamist militants several excuses for conducting murderous attacks, and Russia’s Muslim minority groups are feeling alienated from, and sometimes hostile to, the prevailing political order. 

Israeli-Palestinian Peace Must Reflect Reality

March 22, 2024 Lawrence J. Haas 19fortyfive

Rather than part company with reality, U.S. officials and opinion leaders should embrace it. Long-term Israeli-Palestinian peace requires, among other things, a destroyed Hamas, an overhauled Palestinian Authority, and a spirit of co-existence that’s nurtured among the Palestinian people.

What Moscow Truly Wants From Kyiv: Total Submission

March 20, 2024 Ilan I. Berman The Hill

The Kremlin, in other words, isn't interested in a negotiated settlement that establishes a new modus vivendi between Moscow and Kyiv. Instead, more than two years into the current conflict, it's never been clearer that the fight between Russia and Ukraine is a life-or-death struggle over identity, independence and indeed Ukraine's very existence.

Can Europe arm itself?

February 29, 2024 E. Wayne Merry AFPC Insights

There is no question that many European countries badly — very badly — need to restore their force structures and defense industries. However, they now need to do so within a time frame shorter than it would take to establish an EU-wide procurement system and czar, let alone to alter the bloc’s funding priorities.

Don’t Count On China To Curb Iran

February 1, 2024 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

Contrary to what the Biden administration might hope, it's not really in Beijing's interest to rein in Tehran or its proxies. To the contrary, the Islamic Republic's increasingly aggressive regional profile is deeply beneficial to the PRC.

A New Spring for Caspian Transit and Trade

October 18, 2023 Svante E. Cornell, Brenda Shaffer CACI Analyst Feature Article

Major recent shifts, starting with the Taliban victory in Afghanistan and Russia’s war in Ukraine have led to a resurgence of the Trans-Caspian transportation corridor. This corridor, envisioned in the 1990s, has been slow to come to fruition, but has now suddenly found much-needed support. The obstacles to a rapid expansion of the corridor’s capacity are nevertheless considerable, given the underinvestment in its capacity over many years.

A White House Divided on Russia and Ukraine?

September 8, 2023 S. Frederick Starr The Kyiv Post

Ukrainians are dying today because the Biden administration, paralyzed by the Burns-Sullivan philosophy of appeasement, refuses to act. Is it not high time for Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy to do his job and bring Burns and Sullivan under oath to account for their private and secretive talks with Putin?