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The Next Challenge For Turkish-American Ties: Iran
Articles - June 4, 2007
 

Ever since the Turkish parliament's fateful decision to deny the United States a northern front against Saddam Hussein's regime back in early 2003, Iraq has emerged as the defining foreign policy issue between Washington and Ankara. But now, a different—and potentially even more serious—challenge to strategic ties looms on the horizon.

 
Why Tehran Wants The Bomb
Articles - June 1, 2007
 

In late February, just days after the expiration of yet another United Nations deadline, and with the UN Security Council gearing up to deliberate new punitive measures, Iran's firebrand president issued a defiant public statement. The Iranian nuclear program "is without brakes and a rear gear," Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told religious leaders in Tehran in comments carried nationwide by state radio. "We dismantled the rear gear and brakes of the train and threw them away some time ago." The demarche was emblematic of the deepening crisis that has beset the international community since the fall of 2002, when a controversial opposition group disclosed previously unknown details about Iran's nuclear program. Since then, it has become abundantly clear that the Iranian regime is not simply developing a nuclear program for "peaceful purposes," as its officials stubbornly claim. Rather, mounting evidence indicates that the Islamic Republic is embarked upon a comprehensive, multi-faceted national endeavor to develop a nuclear arsenal—and that it is making serious progress towards that goal, in spite of international pressure.

 
Iran Takes Prisoners
Articles - May 29, 2007
 

A conservative, the old adage goes, is a liberal who has been mugged by reality. Today, nowhere is this saying more apt than in the case of proponents of U.S.-Iranian “dialogue,” who are getting a harsh dose of reality about the true intentions of the ayatollahs in Tehran. Just ahead of yesterday’s planned U.S.-Iranian meeting to discuss Iraq, the Islamic Republic has launched a vicious crackdown on Iranian-American scholars and activists. The most high-profile victim of this offensive is Haleh Esfandiari, the head of the Middle East program at the Washington-based Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, who was rounded up May 8 on charges of trying to foment a “soft revolution” against the Iranian regime. Ever since, she has languished in Tehran’s notorious Evin Prison, in spite of public entreaties for her release from prominent policymakers and senior statesmen.
 

 
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 150
Bulletins - May 17, 2007
 

Turkey in turmoil; Palestinian radicalism goes global; A face-off in Cairo; Israel refocuses on ground forces...

 
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 149
Bulletins - May 7, 2007
 

Fatah resurgent?; A traitor in the ranks; A nuclear nightmare in the Caucasus; Reinforcements of for Al-Qaeda; A new vision of the Syrian military

 
The Death of Democracy Promotion?
Articles - March 15, 2007
 

What a difference a few years can make. In September 2002, less than a year after taking office, the Bush administration laid out a breathtakingly ambitious vision of American foreign policy. “The United States possesses unprecedented—and unequaled—strength and influence in the world,” the newly-released National Security Strategy of the United States proudly proclaimed. “Sustained by faith in the principles of liberty, and the value of a free society, this position comes with unparalleled responsibilities, obligations, and opportunity. The great strength of this nation must be used to promote a balance of power that favors freedom.” But less than five years later, that vision appears to be in full strategic retreat.

 
Iran Strategy Brief No. 2: The Dangers of Deterrence
Policy Papers - March 1, 2007
 

While there is still hope that Iran will not develop nuclear weapons, it is becoming more likely that a nucleararmed Iran will become a reality in the near future. It therefore is useful to begin looking at strategic models for managing the threat of nuclear weapons if Iran actually develops them, and to consider exactly what risks the civilized world would be facing.

 
The President Is Right
Articles - February 1, 2007
 
 
Central Asian Responses to Radical Islam
Monographs - December 1, 2006
 

Central Asian Responses to Radical Islam is a groundbreaking first-person assessment of the ideological struggle currently taking place in Central Asia between local government and the forces of radical Islam. Authored by Evgueni Novikov, a leading expert on radical Islamic thought, Responses includes cutting-edge proposals for U.S. policymakers modeled after the successes charted thus far by their Central Asian counterparts.

 
Caspian Could Be Victim of Conflict With Iran
Articles - November 20, 2006