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Nothing In Moderation
Articles - August 18, 2015
 

 In July, President Barack Obama said that he hoped the proposed nuclear deal with Iran could lead to continued conversations with the Islamic regime "that incentivize them to behave differently in the region, to be less aggressive, less hostile, more cooperative," and to generally behave in the way nations in the international community are expected to behave. The most optimistic proponents of the deal believe that the process could open the door to more comprehensive detente, empower Iranian moderates and lead to a gradual, peaceful form of regime change - a change of heart, if not of leadership. 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 9
Bulletins - August 13, 2015
 

Target: Britain;
A new leader for Boko Haram;
Taking stock of the anti-ISIS effort;
How web 2.0 aids the counterterrorism fight;

 

 

 
North Korea: Iran's Pathway To A Nuclear Weapon
Articles - August 13, 2015
 

A central plank of the Obama administration's case for the nuclear deal just concluded by the P5+1 powers is that the agreement closes off "all pathways" by which the Iranian regime could acquire a nuclear capability, at least for the coming decade. 

 
Iran's European Enablers
Articles - August 11, 2015
 

Not all that long ago, it seemed as if the United States could learn a thing or two from Europe when it came to economic pressure on Iran. Today, a great deal has changed. 

Even as the fledgling Obama administration stuck doggedly to its "engagement" policy toward Tehran, European capitals were rapidly heading in the opposite direction. In November 2009, in a move that caused nothing short of a political earthquake on the Old Continent, a majority of the Dutch parliament formally voted to place Iran's clerical army, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), on the European Union's terror list. 

 
99 Problems With Obama's Iran Math
Articles - August 4, 2015
 

President Barack Obama says that 99 percent of the world supports his proposed nuclear deal with Iran. He had better check his math. 

 
Flood Of Cash To Iran Dwarfs Marshall Plan
Articles - July 28, 2015
 

Buried within the 150-plus pages of technical minutia and regulations that make up the recently concluded nuclear deal between the P5+1 powers and the Islamic Republic of Iran lies a stunning revelation, the full import of which has not yet been adequately appreciated by the international community. It is that the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), as the agreement is formally known, is designed to serve as nothing less than a Marshall Plan for the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism. 

 
The Iran Deal Will Make Matters Worse
Articles - July 23, 2015
 

The White House says the only alternative to the proposed nuclear agreement with Iran is warHowever it is the deal itself that is pushing the Middle East towards conflict. 

 
Rebuilding The U.S.-Israel Alliance
Articles - July 14, 2015
 

Even before it was formally published late last month, Michael Oren's memoir of his time as Israel's envoy to the United States had ignited a firestorm of controversy, and for very good reason. His book, Ally: My Journey across the American-Israeli Divide, provides the most damning account to date of a "special relationship" that, on President Obama's watch, has deteriorated to an almost unthinkable degree, with the White House coming to view Israel and its often-pugnacious premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, as more of a problem than Iran's nuclear ambitions, Palestinian corruption, or the Syrian civil war. 

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 157
Bulletins - July 6, 2015
 

Tehran doubles down in Afghanistan;
Iran's hand in Yemen's chaos;
A deepening water crisis;
For Iran, brightening economic horizons;
The tussle of the S-300

 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 8
Bulletins - July 1, 2015
 

Al-Shabaab versus the AU;
The U.S. fight against ISIS, year one;
Trepidation in Paris...;
...and mobilization in Tunis;
Militant retribution in Egypt

 

 
Supreme Irony
Articles - June 30, 2015
 

Those in America's foreign policymaking circles who are concerned about the emerging U.S.-led nuclear agreement with Iran are increasingly pinning their hopes not on Washington changing its negotiating posture but, instead, on Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei walking away from the table.

 
Another Day, Another Cave
Articles - June 16, 2015
 

If, as Marx taught, history repeats itself "first as tragedy, then as farce," then Washington's latest reported concession proves that U.S.-led nuclear negotiations with Iran have moved from the tragic to the farcical. 

 
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 339
Bulletins - June 11, 2015
 

Egypt's leader tries to rule as a one-man show after a year in office;
Georgia's leader warns of Russian expansion;
Libyan gains may offer ISIS a base for new attacks;
Turkey's new parliament features four key parties;
Trove seized in Syria opens window on ISIS

 

 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 6
Bulletins - June 5, 2015
 

Hard times for the PIJ;
Western strategy against the Islamic State: More of the same;
Turkey changes tack;
A Balkan anti-Islamism effort;
ISIS takes aim at the Taliban...;
...While the rift with Al-Nusra deepens

 
Turkey Key To Stopping Flow Of ISIL Recruits
Articles - June 3, 2015
 

In the frenzied discussions now taking place in Washington about how to prevent the Islamic State terrorist group from making further territorial advances in Iraq and Syria, one topic has been conspicuously absent so far. 

 
Get Ready To Scrap The Iran Nuclear Talks
Articles - June 2, 2015
 

"Interviews with scientists is completely out of the question and so is inspection of military sites," Abbas Araqchi, Iran's senior negotiator on its nuclear program, announced on state television on Saturday, just as Secretary of State John Kerry was conferring with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in a final push to meet the June 30 deadline for an Iran nuclear agreement.

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 5
Bulletins - May 22, 2015
 

Britain's Jihadis return home;
Pushback in Tunisia;
How the Islamic state is sneaking into Europe;
The Islamic State's resilient terror economy;
In the Sahara, cracks in Islamist identification;
Australia's hard line

 

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 155
Bulletins - April 13, 2015
 

Iran, P5+1 strike tentative nuclear deal...;
...but is there a meeting of the minds?;
Hedging on verification in Tehran;
Mixed reaction in the Middle East;

 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 2
Bulletins - March 30, 2015
 

The Islamic state's social media offensive;
Boko Haram vs. Democracy;
Kazakhstan's foreign fighter problem...;
...and a threat of terror in Tajikistan;
Islamist factions unite in Syria

 

 
When The Laws Of War Kill
Articles - March 17, 2015
 

The laws of war are intended to limit conflict and minimize casualties. But what happens when terrorists use these same laws to expand conflict and kill more people? 

 
Morocco's Counterterrorism Moment
Articles - March 11, 2015
 

The summit on countering violent extremism convened by the Obama administration last month was a lavish affair, full of pomp and circumstance and awash in foreign dignitaries. But substantive strategies for combatting radical ideologies, particularly those of Islamist groups, were far less in evidence. 

 
Nuclear Musings
Articles - March 10, 2015
 

From today's diary entry of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: 

Ah, the Americans. When it comes to our nuclear weapons program, they leave us with only good choices! 

On the one hand, I can drag out the talks beyond this month's latest deadline because the desperate Americans certainly will agree to keep talking. That's how we went from the six-month interim deal in November 2013, through a deadline in July 2014, and then through another deadline in November 2014. 

 
Watch Africa in fight against ISIL
Articles - February 26, 2015
 

MARRAKESH, Morocco — It's a truism of broadcast media that "If it bleeds, it leads." The field of counterterrorism functions much the same way, which is why in recent months the Islamic State terrorist group have become the overwhelming focus of Western law enforcement and intelligence. Yet an equally significant security challenge is incubating in Africa, where local conditions have sown the seeds for the next stage of global terror.

 


 
Obama's religious blindness aids Islamic State
Articles - February 19, 2015
 

Attempts to avoid touching on religious dimension of the struggle has led to several recent high-profile administration gaffes. President Obama strangely tried to deflect the issue at the National Prayer Breakfast on Feb. 5 by mentioning the Crusades as an example of Christian excess. Unfortunately, that example is also a key jihadist talking point.

 
Iran's Nuclear Weapons Fatwa Is a Myth
Articles - February 18, 2015
 

President Barack Obama said a nuclear deal with Iran is possible if Tehran truly considers nuclear weapons un-Islamic. But is this true? And does it matter?

 
The Only Thing Scarier Than Iran's Nukes
Articles - February 12, 2015
 

Denying Iran nuclear-weapons capability is not only a means of limiting the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. It is also part of a broader ideological struggle that Tehran is taking much more seriously than is the United States.

 
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 331
Bulletins - February 9, 2015
 

Death sentence for 183 Brotherhood members;
South Sudan peace agreement;
Iraqis and Kurds aim to free Mosul;
Egyptian court ban Hamas;
Hezbollah ready for war with Israel

 

 

 
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 356
Bulletins - January 30, 2015
 

ISIS expands in South Asia;
New Afghan cabinet in jeopardy;
Clashes in Nepal over new constitution;
Unrest, extremism in Bangladesh

 

 

 
A Challenge To Modernity
Articles - January 13, 2015
 

"First they came for the Socialists, and I did not speak out - because I was not a Socialist," German pastor Martin Niemoller famously observed about his nation's intellectuals during the Nazi rise to power. "Then they came for the Trade Unionists, and I did not speak out - because I was not a Trade Unionist. Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out - because I was not a Jew. Then they came for me - and there was no one left to speak for me." 

 
Congress Should Act Against The Islamic State Group
Articles - January 6, 2015
 

One of the first orders of business for the new Congress may be to consider a resolution authorizing the use of force resolution in Operation Inherent Resolve, the U.S.-led combined joint mission against the Islamic State group. Such a move would be long overdue. 

 
Troubling Signs From Tehran
Articles - December 10, 2014
 

Secretary of State John Kerry is confident that an agreement on Iran's nuclear program can be concluded in three to four months, or sooner. But maybe it will be later - or maybe not at all. 

 
Desperate And Dumb
Articles - November 11, 2014
 

Last month, President Barack Obama reportedly wrote a private letter to Iran's supreme leader, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, seeking to tie the fight against the Islamic State group to the ongoing negotiations over Iran's nuclear program. The White House purportedly sought to pressure Iran into reaching an agreement by the November 24 diplomatic deadline by hinting that failing to do so would affect American efforts against the Islamic State group. 

 
Call It a War and Win It
Articles - September 16, 2014
 

Last week, President Barack Obama pledged to destroy the Islamic State group (also known as ISIS or ISIL). It is worth asking what that means, and whether the United States can actually do it.

 
Iran Won't Slow Down On Ballistic Missiles
Articles - July 18, 2014
 

With time for nuclear diplomacy between Iran and the P5+1 nations (the U.S., UK, Russia, China, France and Germany) running out, and with the White House scrambling to cobble together some sort of deal with Tehran, it's perhaps not surprising that Pentagon's latest annual assessment of Iran's military capabilities has so far garnered little attention, either within the Washington Beltway or outside it. 

 
A Stalled War On Terror Finance
Articles - July 15, 2014
 

Only two weeks after the attacks of September 11th, President George W. Bush addressed the media in the White House Rose Garden and declared "war" on terrorism financing. "Money is the lifeblood of terrorist operations," he told reporters.[1] "Today, we are asking the world to stop payment." A few weeks later, the Treasury Department—the agency that would become the weapon of choice of the White House in this new economic conflict—boasted in a press release, "The same talent pool and expertise that brought down Al Capone will now be dedicated to investigating Usama bin Laden and his terrorist network."[2] 

 
A Moment Of Truth For Mahmoud Abbas
Articles - July 1, 2014
 

Sometimes, tragedies can provide moments of clarity. The brutal deaths of teenagers Eyal Yifrach, Gilad Shaar and Naftali Frenkel – whose bodies were discovered on Monday half-buried in an open field north of the city of Hebron – represent more than just a national disaster for the state of Israel. They are also an inflection point for Palestinian governance, as well as a litmus test for the true prospects for peace between Israel and the Palestinians.

 
What Peace Process?
Articles - July 1, 2014
 

As the parents of three Israeli teens live their worst nightmare, their sons the latest victims of terror, the drama can now follow a well-worn path of Palestinian triumphalism, Israeli revenge and global moral blindness. It is but another teaching moment - lest anyone still needs one - about why Israeli-Palestinian peace will not come soon and why the basic assumptions behind the "peace process" are so off-base. 

 
The Once And Future Threat: Al-Qaeda Is Hardly Dead
Articles - June 19, 2014
 

Is al-Qaeda really on the run? Since the death of Osama Bin Laden, the Obama administration has actively promoted the narrative that it has gained the upper hand in its struggle with the world’s most dangerous terrorist group.

 
The Islamist Canaries In The Bruneian Mine Shaft
Articles - May 13, 2014
 

Human rights and liberal values are under threat in a small, little-known country most people would be hard-pressed to find on a map. Brunei Darussalam, following the radical vision of Usama bin Laden and his followers, became an Islamic state under strict Sharia law this past week, with punishments of death by stoning for adulterers and severing of limbs for thieves. Policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic have yet to focus on the challenges posed by radical Islamic regimes, much less tackle them effectively.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 146
Bulletins - April 3, 2014
 

The IRGC versus Rouhani;
Iran's ties with Hamas: Back on track
Iran's oil export surge;
Fear and loathing in Sana'a;
A tug-of-war over investment in Iran

 
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 338
Bulletins - February 19, 2014
 

U.S. freezes Haqqani assets;
Launch dates set for INS Arihant, AGNI-5;
Taliban 15 demands for peace talks;
Pakistan invests in JF-17

 
End the Terror of Ivory Trade
Articles - January 25, 2014
 

Transnational criminal syndicates, terrorist organizations and Islamic extremists are increasingly turning to wildlife trafficking to bankroll their operations. Specifically, elephant and rhinoceros ivory accounts for an increasing share of the budget of Somali militant groups and al-Qaeda affiliates. So far, the White House and international agencies have failed to effectively address this emerging threat.

 
Russia Is Losing Against Radical Islam
Articles - January 8, 2014
 

Last month was a bloody one in Russia. On December 29th and 30th, two suicide bombings in the southern city of Volgograd killed a combined total of 34 people and injured many more. In the process, they shone a rare spotlight on the true state of Russia's counterterrorism policy.

 
World Almanac of Islamism: 2014
Books - January 2014
 

The American Foreign Policy Council’s World Almanac of Islamismis a comprehensive resource designed to track the rise or decline of radical Islam on a national, regional and global level. This database focuses on the nature of the contemporary Islamist threat around the world, and on the current activities of radical Islamist movements worldwide.

Access the updated 2014 Almanac online http://almanac.afpc.org/ or order a hard copy from Amazon.com.

 

 
The Day the Music Died?
Articles - November 25, 2013
 

The deal hammered out over the weekend between the P5+1 powers and Iran in Geneva should have come as a surprise to no one. The White House’s dogged pursuit of some sort of diplomatic breakthrough with Iran, whatever the political and international-security cost, meant that an agreement — no matter how bad — was in the offing, unless the Iranians themselves decided it wasn’t in their interest.

 
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 303
Bulletins - November 18, 2013
 

Brotherhood banned and fleeing Egypt;
Al qaeda influence spreads in Syria, peace talks delayed;
Brotherhood leader arrested in Egypt

 
Chemical Belly of the Syrian Beast
Articles - October 22, 2013
 

With civil war raging, Syria, a state sponsor of terror, has attacked its own people with chemical weapons and attempted to skirt international sanctions. The United States, the EU, Russia and the UN must identify the full extent of the threat and eliminate Syria's chemical weapons capacity

 
Implosion: The End of Russia and What It Means for America
Books - September 2013
 

Today, Putin’s Russia is fast approaching a social and political crisis—one that promises to be every bit as profound as the fall of the USSR. Author Ilan Berman tackles the crisis that has Russia on the fast track to ruin, and the grave danger Russian collapse poses to America’s security, in his new book, Implosion.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 138
Bulletins - September 17, 2013
 

Iran's economic crisis deepens...;
...as regime readies nuclear bargaining chip;
A helping hand from Moscow

 
The Fight Against Al-Qaida Is Far From Over
Articles - September 11, 2013
 

Whatever happened to the war on terror? Unless you've been paying close attention, you could be forgiven for thinking that America's struggle against radical Islam is largely a thing of the past.