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Making a Bad Iran Deal Worse
Articles - April 14, 2016
 

We're witnessing a strange spectacle in U.S. foreign policy, one with no obvious precedent: President Barack Obama is trying desperately to protect his cherished nuclear deal with Iran, making one concession after another in response to Iran's post-deal demands to ensure that Tehran doesn't walk away from it.

 
Obama's Iran Sanctions Bait-and-Switch
Articles - April 5, 2016
 

Last week, a fresh political scandal erupted on Capitol Hill over Iran. At issue was a new plan being considered by the Obama administration to provide Iran's ayatollahs with limited access to the U.S. financial system as a sweetener for their continued compliance with their government's 2015 nuclear deal with the nations of the P5+1. 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 19
Bulletins - April 4, 2016
 

A Hezbollah withdrawal...perhaps;
One step forwards, two steps back in Afghanistan;
France's abortive CT plan;
Israel girds for ISIS incursion

 
Our Quickly Unraveling Nuclear Deal
Articles - March 22, 2016
 

Iranians are famously savvy negotiators, so recent revelations that, under the U.S.-led global nuclear deal, Iran has far more leeway than we had thought to hide its nuclear progress and test ballistic missiles shouldn't surprise us. 

It should, however, alarm us. 

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 162
Bulletins - March 15, 2016
 

Iran's elections: Less than meets the eye;
The Iranian military goes on the sectarian offensive;
A soaring execution rates;
Nuclear oversight of Iran shrinks 

 
No Means To Muster
Articles - March 10, 2016
 

In the current political season, it's the policy dog that isn't barking. 

Over the past several primary debates, candidates on both sides of the aisle have sparred at length over national security, offering contrasting - if still vague - strategies for dealing with Russia, the Islamic State and Iran, among other foreign policy challenges. But precious little attention has so far been paid to a more fundamental question: Does the U.S. military actually have the resources to adequately respond to today's global threats? 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 18
Bulletins - March 9, 2016
 

Libya, and the Western response;
The Islamist penetration of Europe;
Pushing back against Boko Haram;
A growing ISIS footprint in Pakistan;
The ISIS threat to the U.S.

 
An Ominous Election In Iran
Articles - March 1, 2016
 

On Friday, Iranians went to the polls to select new representatives for the country's legislature, known as the Majles, and its Assembly of Experts, the powerful clerical body that oversees the performance of Iran's supreme leader. The results reflect a stronger-than-expected showing from the country's so-called "reformist" camp, particularly the political circles surrounding Iranian president Hassan Rouhani. 

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 161
Bulletins - February 23, 2016
 

Iran's campaign against the Baha'i continues;
Bahrain in the crosshairs...again;
Iranian attitudes, post-JCPOA;
Tehran's foreign legion;
Iran makes new nuclear plans

 

 
Iran's Hard-Line Elections
Articles - February 23, 2016
 

Henry Kissinger famously remarked some time ago that Iran must decide whether it wants to be "a nation or a cause." For decades, U.S. presidents of both parties have been trying to coax Tehran toward the former and away from the latter. 

Most recently, the U.S.-led global nuclear agreement with Iran - with its scores of billions in sanctions relief that President Obama hoped Iran would invest to improve the living standards of its people - was designed to convince Tehran to abandon its revolutionary ways and become a nation in good standing. 

 
Iran's Road To Easy Wealth
Articles - February 2, 2016
 

Was the Iran nuclear deal really all about nuclear weapons, from Tehran's point of view? Or did the mullahs play the world for suckers as a road to easy wealth? 

 
Iran's Perilous Nuclear Lesson for North Korea
Articles - January 13, 2016
 

North Korea made international news last week when it declared that it had successfully carried out an underground test of a hydrogen bomb. The announcement touched off fevered speculation in Washington about the nature of the test itself (among other things, the yield is believed to have been to small to have been a thermonuclear device), as well as its larger geopolitical significance.

 
Fallout Ploy: Iran's Cyberwarfare Contingency Plan
Articles - January 12, 2016
 

Iran's cyberwarriors are back in action. Late last fall, The New York Times reported that Iranian hackers had carried out an extensive hack on U.S. State Department employees. Among the victims were U.S. diplomats working on the Middle East and on Iran specifically, who had their email compromised and their social media accounts infiltrated. The hack was the latest in what U.S. officials say are increasingly aggressive attempts to glean information about U.S. policies toward Iran in the wake of this summer's P5+1 nuclear deal. 

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 160
Bulletins - December 31, 2015
 

Iran seeks restitution - and retribution;
The Islamic Republic's deepening water woes;
Iranian cyberwarfare, resurgent;
Gaming Iran's next supreme leader

 
A Much Needed Post-Obama Course Correction On Iran
Articles - December 15, 2015
 

With most Americans focused on the Islamic State terrorist group, Washington is poised to greatly expand the dangers to U.S. national security on another front - by proceeding to execute the Iran nuclear accord while Tehran ignores its obligations under it and related United Nations Security Council resolutions. 

 
Iranian Devolution: Tehran Fights The Digital Future
Articles - November 23, 2015
 

As we contemplate the complex diplomacy that created the recent agreement between the international community and Iran regarding the Islamic Republic's nuclear future, it is worth remembering Thomas Friedman's momentarily famous remark of a few years ago that, whatever else it may be, Iran is also a country ripe for catalytic political change. In passing this judgment, the New York Times columnist took special note of Iran's youthful and vibrant population, the deep knowledge base of Iranian society as a whole, and its interconnectedness with the outside world.

 

 
A Role For China To Rein In Iran
Articles - November 18, 2015
 

Beijing is bullish on Iran. In meetings there earlier this month, we heard senior government and party officials express uniform support and optimism in their assessment of the nuclear agreement struck this summer between the Islamic Republic and the P5+1 powers, terming it "good for Iran and good for the world." 

The first part is certainly true. Iran has emerged as the undisputed winner of the long-running negotiations with the West over its nuclear ambitions. 

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 13
Bulletins - November 16, 2015
 

Al-Qaeda pushes back;
Hezbollah's growing arsenal...and why Israel worries;
The Islamic State sets its sights on the Kremlin...;
...as Moscow takes stock

 
Obama's Iran Gamble Flops
Articles - November 5, 2015
 

Like the optimistic boy in Ronald Reagan's charming quip who searches through pile-high manure in hopes of finding a pony, the Obama administration continues trying to entice the cooperation of Iran on regional issues even in the face of its growing hostility toward the United States.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 159
Bulletins - October 27, 2015
 

Iran's mixed economic bag;
New horizons for the Russian-Iranian alliance;
Legal troubles for the JCPOA;
Iran's costly campaign in Syria