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Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 147
Bulletins - April 17, 2014
 

Iran puts Hezbollah's house in order;
The controversy over Aboutalebi;
Iran fights the demographic future;
Iranian energy: Out of the box

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 146
Bulletins - April 3, 2014
 

The IRGC versus Rouhani;
Iran's ties with Hamas: Back on track
Iran's oil export surge;
Fear and loathing in Sana'a;
A tug-of-war over investment in Iran

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 145
Bulletins - March 11, 2014
 

Back to a "resistance" economy;
Back to business as usual with Beijing...;
...as Iran works to improve investment climate;
IAEA plays politics with Iran nuke data;
Iranian arms to Iraq;
New Iranian  weapons shipment to Gaza seized

 
The Disarmament Fallacy
Articles - March 4, 2014
 

The campaign to reach “global zero” — the elimination of all nuclear weapons worldwide — has become a cause celebre among an array of retired statesmen, as well as an important policy priority of President Obama himself. But this effort is handicapped by its adoption of several seriously wrong-headed assumptions, positions and ideas that U.S. media outlets have tended to swallow without careful scrutiny.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No.144
Bulletins - February 13, 2014
 

And the economic winner is...Iran's supreme leader;
Targeting America on human rights;
The high cost of labor dissent;
Biting the hand that feeds;
New natural gas links to Moscow;
A Turkish-Iranian thaw

 
Bring the Iran Deal Into the Light
Articles - February 4, 2014
 

In his State of the Union address last week, President Obama threatened to veto any bill imposing new sanctions on Iran. “For the sake of our national security,” he said, “we must give diplomacy a chance to succeed.” But there is no way to know if diplomacy is succeeding if the terms of the deal with Iran are kept secret, and the mystery shrouding the agreement only encourages those seeking definitive action through sanctions.

 
Israel Keeps Its Options Open On Iran
Articles - January 22, 2014
 

Is an Israeli military attack against Iran truly off the table? Conventional wisdom certainly seems to think that it is. In the aftermath of the signing of an interim nuclear deal in Geneva this past November, the foreign policy cognoscenti in Washington, and elsewhere, have been vocal about the fact that they believe the bell has effectively tolled on the possibility of Israeli military action.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 143
Bulletins - January 20, 2014
 

Exporting the Basig model;
Iran's trade partners see to reengage...;
...As new ones emerge

 
The Iranian Kabuki dance
Articles - January 16, 2014
 

Starting next Monday, Iran will formally implement an interim agreement with the West. President Rohani has described the accord as the world "bowing to Iran's might, power and resistance." The Islamic Republic has agreed to limit certain aspects of its nuclear activities for six months in return for what has been called "modest" relief from the crippling international sanctions imposed for most of the last decade. But the West, by rolling back the sanctions regime, has given Tehran an opportunity to reinvigorate its economic and diplomatic ties with the rest of the world, and Western countries have eagerly exploited the opening to do business with Iran. Re-legitimizing business as usual before Iran makes any significant concessions on its nuclear program not only sends the wrong message, but impairs the West's ability to negotiate effectively.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 142
Bulletins - December 26, 2013
 

Sanctions relief, but how significant?;
Corporations jockey for business in Iran...;
...While oil buyers dive back in

 

 
The Real Cost of Geneva
Articles - December 17, 2013
 

Start preparing for Pax Iranica. That is the unspoken message behind the interim nuclear agreement hammered out between the P5+1 powers and Iran in Geneva last month. For, despite the insistence in Washington and European capitals that it is only temporary, the new deal has nonetheless prompted what amounts to a seismic shift in Middle Eastern politics.

 
Iran Checkmates the P5+1
Articles - December 3, 2013
 

In the deal between Iran and the six world powers, it appears that a rogue regime marching towards nuclearization has outmaneuvered the West. In disarming the sanctions regime so painstakingly put together over the last few years, the Iranians have given almost nothing meaningful in return. Instead, they are employing the same playbook that brought the mullahcracy to power and the very strategy that allowed North Korea to get the bomb. Above all, Iran now has an international mechanism that will allow it to effectively play for time.

 
After Geneva, Some Hard Choices For Jerusalem
Articles - December 3, 2013
 

You’ve got to feel sorry for Benjamin Netanyahu. Just six months ago, with his government facing what was arguably the most favorable strategic environment in recent memory, Israel’s prime minister could wax cautiously optimistic.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 141
Bulletins - December 2, 2013
 

An interim nuclear deal with the west...
...raises jitters among American allies
The real cost of Iran's nuclear program

 
Pro&Con: Deal will make an Iranian atom bomb more likely
Articles - November 30, 2013
 

The six-month deal between U.S.-led negotiators and Iran will make an Iranian atomic bomb more likely, not less, because it significantly strengthens the very regime in Tehran that so desperately wants nuclear weaponry.

 
The Day the Music Died?
Articles - November 25, 2013
 

The deal hammered out over the weekend between the P5+1 powers and Iran in Geneva should have come as a surprise to no one. The White House’s dogged pursuit of some sort of diplomatic breakthrough with Iran, whatever the political and international-security cost, meant that an agreement — no matter how bad — was in the offing, unless the Iranians themselves decided it wasn’t in their interest.

 
White House Could Help Birth Nuclear Iran
Articles - November 17, 2013
 

Commenting on the gullibility of the credulous American consumer nearly a century ago, the famous showman PT Barnum is said to have remarked that "there's a sucker born every minute." To see what this looks like in practice, you need only look at the deal that the Obama administration was on the verge of signing with Iran.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 140
Bulletins - November 7, 2013
 

Khamenei's health and the future;
Iran's faltering auto industry;
Another reformist paper bites the dust

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 139
Bulletins - October 28, 2013
 

Moscow, Tehran tighten defense ties;
A thaw with Egypt;
Iran's economic clock

 
The Problem With Making A Nuclear Deal With Iran
Articles - October 17, 2013
 

All this has left the Iranian regime battered, and eager for an easing of the economic pain. This is the motivation behind the charm offensive undertaken in recent weeks by Iran’s new, “moderate” president, Hassan Rouhani, as well as his calls for “constructive engagement” with the West.