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Iranian Devolution: Tehran Fights The Digital Future
Articles - November 23, 2015

As we contemplate the complex diplomacy that created the recent agreement between the international community and Iran regarding the Islamic Republic's nuclear future, it is worth remembering Thomas Friedman's momentarily famous remark of a few years ago that, whatever else it may be, Iran is also a country ripe for catalytic political change. In passing this judgment, the New York Times columnist took special note of Iran's youthful and vibrant population, the deep knowledge base of Iranian society as a whole, and its interconnectedness with the outside world.


A Role For China To Rein In Iran
Articles - November 18, 2015

Beijing is bullish on Iran. In meetings there earlier this month, we heard senior government and party officials express uniform support and optimism in their assessment of the nuclear agreement struck this summer between the Islamic Republic and the P5+1 powers, terming it "good for Iran and good for the world." 

The first part is certainly true. Iran has emerged as the undisputed winner of the long-running negotiations with the West over its nuclear ambitions. 

Global Islamism Monitor - No. 13
Bulletins - November 16, 2015

Al-Qaeda pushes back;
Hezbollah's growing arsenal...and why Israel worries;
The Islamic State sets its sights on the Kremlin...; Moscow takes stock


Obama's Iran Gamble Flops
Articles - November 5, 2015

Like the optimistic boy in Ronald Reagan's charming quip who searches through pile-high manure in hopes of finding a pony, the Obama administration continues trying to entice the cooperation of Iran on regional issues even in the face of its growing hostility toward the United States.

Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 159
Bulletins - October 27, 2015

Iran's mixed economic bag;
New horizons for the Russian-Iranian alliance;
Legal troubles for the JCPOA;
Iran's costly campaign in Syria


Needed: A Strategy For Containing Iran
Articles - October 27, 2015

Last Sunday, Iran and the P5+1 countries (the U.S., U.K., France, China, Russia, and Germany) formally adopted the new nuclear agreement concluded this summer. In coming days, under the terms of the deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the Islamic Republic is obliged to begin implementing a series of curbs on its nuclear program. 

A Nuclear Deal with Iran: Managing the Consequences
Policy Papers - October 7, 2015

The announcement of a nuclear deal in July 2015 brought to a close nearly two years of intensive negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 powers (the U.S., UK, France, Russia, China and Germany). It also ushered in a new — and arguably more challenging — phase of American policy in the Middle East...

Israel Braces For Obama's Bad Iran Deal
Articles - September 15, 2015

JERUSALEM - It's all over but the shouting. Over the past week, the political tug-of-war over President Obama's controversial nuclear deal with Iran has tilted decisively in favor of the White House. 

Despite widespread disapproval among the American electorate, and last-ditch attempts by some in Congress to delay its passage, it increasingly appears that the agreement, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, will soon be a done deal. 

Global Islamism Monitor - No. 10
Bulletins - September 4, 2015

Life in an ISIS economy;
A free-for-all in Egypt;
Cairo's new counterterrorism ally;
Meet the Taliban's new leader;
Boko Haram expands its ambit


Pull The Plug On The Iran Deal
Articles - September 3, 2015

When the proposed Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action between Iran and the P5+1 powers was announced in July, it was sold as a tough deal with robust verification that blocked Iran's pathways to nuclear weapons and would lead to peace and stability in the region. However, it soon became apparent that the deal is much weaker than its proponents first suggested. With a vote on Capitol Hill approaching, members of Congress who rushed early to support the proposed deal need to take another look at their positions. The deal as announced weeks ago is already falling apart. 

Why Obama Will Open A US Embassy In Iran
Articles - August 18, 2015

What's next after the Obama administration's opening to Cuba? Why, an embassy in Tehran, of course. 

On Aug. 14, in a ceremony replete with pomp and circumstance, Secretary of State John Kerry presided over the formal re-opening of the US Embassy in Havana, Cuba. The occasion marked the culmination of nearly two years of quiet diplomacy between the White House and the Castro regime. 

Nothing In Moderation
Articles - August 18, 2015

 In July, President Barack Obama said that he hoped the proposed nuclear deal with Iran could lead to continued conversations with the Islamic regime "that incentivize them to behave differently in the region, to be less aggressive, less hostile, more cooperative," and to generally behave in the way nations in the international community are expected to behave. The most optimistic proponents of the deal believe that the process could open the door to more comprehensive detente, empower Iranian moderates and lead to a gradual, peaceful form of regime change - a change of heart, if not of leadership. 

Global Islamism Monitor - No. 9
Bulletins - August 13, 2015

Target: Britain;
A new leader for Boko Haram;
Taking stock of the anti-ISIS effort;
How web 2.0 aids the counterterrorism fight;



North Korea: Iran's Pathway To A Nuclear Weapon
Articles - August 13, 2015

A central plank of the Obama administration's case for the nuclear deal just concluded by the P5+1 powers is that the agreement closes off "all pathways" by which the Iranian regime could acquire a nuclear capability, at least for the coming decade. 

Iran's European Enablers
Articles - August 11, 2015

Not all that long ago, it seemed as if the United States could learn a thing or two from Europe when it came to economic pressure on Iran. Today, a great deal has changed. 

Even as the fledgling Obama administration stuck doggedly to its "engagement" policy toward Tehran, European capitals were rapidly heading in the opposite direction. In November 2009, in a move that caused nothing short of a political earthquake on the Old Continent, a majority of the Dutch parliament formally voted to place Iran's clerical army, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), on the European Union's terror list. 

99 Problems With Obama's Iran Math
Articles - August 4, 2015

President Barack Obama says that 99 percent of the world supports his proposed nuclear deal with Iran. He had better check his math. 

Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 158 - SPECIAL ISSUE: The Iran Nuclear Deal
Bulletins - July 28, 2015

In Washington, worries over latent nuclear potential;
A shot in the arm for Iran's military budget;
Fear and loathing in Riyadh...;
...and Israel




Flood Of Cash To Iran Dwarfs Marshall Plan
Articles - July 28, 2015

Buried within the 150-plus pages of technical minutia and regulations that make up the recently concluded nuclear deal between the P5+1 powers and the Islamic Republic of Iran lies a stunning revelation, the full import of which has not yet been adequately appreciated by the international community. It is that the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), as the agreement is formally known, is designed to serve as nothing less than a Marshall Plan for the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism. 

The Iran Deal Will Make Matters Worse
Articles - July 23, 2015

The White House says the only alternative to the proposed nuclear agreement with Iran is warHowever it is the deal itself that is pushing the Middle East towards conflict. 

Rebuilding The U.S.-Israel Alliance
Articles - July 14, 2015

Even before it was formally published late last month, Michael Oren's memoir of his time as Israel's envoy to the United States had ignited a firestorm of controversy, and for very good reason. His book, Ally: My Journey across the American-Israeli Divide, provides the most damning account to date of a "special relationship" that, on President Obama's watch, has deteriorated to an almost unthinkable degree, with the White House coming to view Israel and its often-pugnacious premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, as more of a problem than Iran's nuclear ambitions, Palestinian corruption, or the Syrian civil war.