On Tuesday, July 22 at 2:00 p.m. ET, the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center hosted a discussion that examined recent developments in Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, as well as changing dynamics with power players in the region.
New winds were blowing in the always-turbulent South Caucasus. Azerbaijan's victory in the 2020 Karabakh war and lightning offensive in 2023 had left Baku taking a hardline approach in peace negotiations with Armenia, with significant backing from Turkey. Russia was no doubt pleased with the Georgian Dream government's anti-US tilt, but the Kremlin had soured its relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan, cutting into its influence in the region.
Under the Trump administration, the United States had been watching the region closely, particularly as it sought to be a constructive partner in a final peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This dynamic new period yielded both opportunities and dangers for the region.