US-Ukraine Security Dialogue XIV:  The Russian-Ukrainian War of 2022 - Initial Overview

Related Expert: Herman Pirchner, Jr.

Six of the panel discussions will be dedicated to assessing Ukraine’s ability to cope with the unfolding Russian invasion in the classical security dimensions: land (regular/territorial); sea/maritime defense; air/air defense; intel/cyber warfare; information warfare; energy & infrastructure safety. The remaining two panels would consider Ukraine’s capacity to engage in “irregular/insurgency warfare”, if deemed necessary. Two of the highlight focus sessions would be devoted to considering why Ukraine’s security matters enough - to its neighbors and the world at large - to merit serious military assistance in time of need. The other two focus sessions would concentrate on the means by which Ukraine might attain the stated assistance.

Wednesday March 2 

9:00 am – 9:05 am      The 'Why and How' of the forum 

9:05 am – 9:20 am      Welcome Address

Speaker: HE Oksana Markarova [Ambassador of Ukraine to the United States]

 

9:20 am – 10:30 am – Dialogue Panel Discussion I

Theme: Assessing Ukraine’s Land Force Capacity to Slow Down and Even Halt the Russia's Invading Forces

Discussion Moderator:  Amb. William Taylor [Executive Vice President/US Institute of Peace]

Panelists:  Maj. Gen. Volodymyr Havrilov [Director/Veterans Dozen Foundation]

                  Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges [Pershing Chair/Center for European Policy Analysis]                  

Lead Discussant: Luke Coffey [Director/Allison Center/Heritage Foundation]

 

10:30 am – 11:40 am – Dialogue Panel Discussion II

Theme: Assessing Ukraine’s Maritime & Coastal Defense Situation in the Face of the Invasion

Discussion Moderator: Amb. Alexander Vershbow [Distinguished Fellow/Atlantic Council]

Panelists: Adm. Ihor Kabanenko [President/Ukrainian Advanced Project Agency]

                RAdm. Mark Montgomery [Senior Director/Center on Cyber Technology Innovation]

Lead Discussant: Glen Howard [President/Jamestown Foundation]

 

11:40 am – 12:25 pm      Dialogue Focus Session I

Theme: Why Ukraine Matters and Warrants Assistance With Its Security Issues - UA Perspective

Chair:  Andrew Futey [President/Ukrainian Congress Committee of America]

Featured Speaker: Serhiy Kvit [President Elect KMA Nat. University/UA Min. of Education 2014-2016]

 

12:25 am – 1:35 pm – Dialogue Panel Discussion III

Theme: Evaluating Ukraine’s Air & Air Defense Capabilities - Are they Holding Up Under the Stress? 

Discussion Moderator: Amb. Kurt Volker [Senior Fellow/Center for European Policy Analysis]

Panelists: Andriy Zahorodnyuk [Minister of Defense of Ukraine 2019-2020]

                Gen Phillip Breedlove [GA Tech Distinguished Prof. of Practice/SACEUR 2013-1016]                   

Lead Discussant: Stephen Blank [Senior Fellow/Foreign Policy Research Institute]

 

1:35 pm – 2:45 pm – Dialogue Panel Discussion IV

Theme: Evaluating Ukraine’s Intel & Cyber-Warfare Capabilities - Are they Holding Up in the 'Fog of War'? 

Discussion Moderator:  Amb. William Courtney [BFL Executive Director/RAND Corporation]

Panelists: Oleksandr Danylyuk [Ctr. for Defense Reform Director/Fmr. Head-UA Foreign Intel]

                RAdm. Mark Montgomery [Senior Director/Center on Cyber Technology Innovation]

Lead Discussant:  Katerina Sedova [Research Fellow/CSET/Georgetown University]

 

2:45 pm – 3:30 pm – Dialogue Focus Session I

Theme: Why Ukraine Matters and Warrants Assistance With Its Security Issues - US Perspective

Chair:  Herman Pirchner [President/American Foreign Policy Council]

Featured Speaker: Amb. Samantha Power [Administrator/United States Agency for International Development]

 

Thursday March 3 

9:00 am – 9:05 am   First Day Reprise

9:05 am – 9:30 am   Dialogue Panel Discussion VII

Theme: If Ukraine Matters and Merits Help, What Kind of Aid Package Would Be Appropriate? – A Word from the House

Chair:  Paul Bandriwsky [Vice President/Ukrainian Congress Committee of America –IL Div.]

Featured Speaker: Rep. Mike Quigley [D-IL][Co-Chair/Congressional Ukraine Caucus][CONFIRMED]

 

9:30 am – 10:40 am – Dialogue Panel Discussion V

Theme:  Evaluating Ukraine’s Ability to Cope with Influence Operations & Information Warfare in the Present Circumstances

Discussion Moderator: Amb. Daniel Fried [Distinguished Fellow/Atlantic Council]

Panelists: Hanna Hopko [ANTS Network Chair/Rada Foreign Affairs Comm. Chair 2014-2019]

                Janusz Bugajski [Senior Fellow/Jamestown Foundation]

Lead Discussant: Melinda Haring [Deputy Director/Eurasia Center/Atlantic Council]

 

10:40 am – 11:50 am – Dialogue Panel Discussion VI

Theme: Taking Measure of the War's Impact on Ukraine's Energy Resources and Key Industrial Infrastructure

Discussion Moderator: Amb. Roman Popadiuk [President/Diplomacy Center Foundation]

Panelists:  Mykhailo Honchar [President /Centre for Global Studies ‘Strategy XXI’]

                 Margarita Assenova [Senior Fellow/Jamestown Foundation]

Lead Discussant: Ariel Cohen [Director/Energy, Growth, and Security Program/ITIC]

 

11:50 am – 12:25 pm – A Word from the Ukrainian World Congress 

Chair: Tamara Gallo Olexy [VP for North America/ Ukrainian World Congress[

Speaker: Stefan Romaniw [1st Vice President/Ukrainian World Congress]

 

12:25 pm – 1:35 pm – Dialogue Panel Discussion V

Theme: Exploring the Possibility of Ukraine Making Its Territory Incapable of Being Securely Occupied - How?

Discussion Moderator:  Robert McConnell [Co-Founder & Principal/US-Ukraine Foundation]

Panelists:  Gen. Wesley Clark [President/WKC Associates/SACEUR 1997-2000] 

                 Phillip Karber [President/Potomac Foundation]   

Lead Discussant: Ostap Kryvdyk [Ukrainian Strategic Initiative]        

 

1:35 pm – 2:45 pm – Dialogue Panel Discussion VI

Theme: Do Ukraine’s Allies Have the Will/Tools to Help Ukraine Make Its Territory Incapable of Being Securely Occupied

Discussion Moderator:  Amb. John Herbst [Director/Eurasia Center/Atlantic Council]

Panelists:  James Sherr OBE [EE International Center for Defence and Security] 


                 Jill Sinclair [Exec. Director, External Engagement & Partnerships, CA Defence Acad.]

Lead Discussant:  Adrian Karatnycky [Managing Director/Myrmidon Group]

 

2:45 pm – 3:30 pm – Dialogue Focus Session IV

Theme: If Ukraine Matters and Merits Help, What Kind of Aid Package Would Be Appropriate? – A Word from the Senate

Chair:  Orest Deychakiwsky [Policy Advisor/US Helsinki Commission 1981-2019]

Featured Speaker: Sen. Roger Wicker [R-MS][Ranking Member/US Helsinki Commission][CONFIRMED]

 

Co-sponsors: American Foreign Policy Council (AFPC), Center for US-Ukrainian Relations, The Jamestown Foundation, Ukrainian Congress Committee of America, Ukrainian National Information Service (UNIS) and the U.S.-Ukraine Foundation.

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