Publications

Iran Democracy Monitor No. 204

March 13, 2020 Ilan I. Berman

* * * SPECIAL ISSUE: THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC AND CORONAVIRUS * * *

A raging infection;
Tallying regime losses so far;
The likely cause of Iran's suffering;
The cost of "Islamic medicine"
Tehran moves to mute criticism

In Iran, an Electoral Flop

February 26, 2020 Ilan I. Berman National Review

What if you held a national election and no one turned out? That’s the situation currently confronting Iranian officials, who are grappling with the aftermath of a truly disastrous outcome in last week’s parliamentary elections.

How The Revolutionary Guards Could Reshape Iran

February 24, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

Iran’s clerical army could decide that an internal transition is the best answer, and move to remove (or at least subordinate) the country’s current clerical elite. Such a step, after all, would allow the IRGC to preserve its current, extensive grip on national power while simultaneously working to alleviate economic pressure from the U.S. and reintegrate into the international community.