China Reform Monitor: No. 1136
China opens new land route to Nepal;
Retired PLA Gen: China won’
t save North Korea in war
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Publications
Russia’s Vladimir Putin Clearly Wants To Dominate All Of Europe
Since Vladimir Putin launched his war against Ukraine back in February, speculation has run rampant about the Russian president's objectives. While objectives change in the course of any war, Mr. Putin himself has admitted that the invasion of Crimea was a strategic decision that, therefore, had strategic objectives in mind. Those objectives also relate to the current fighting in the Donbas region (encompassing Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk provinces). As such, Russia's conduct repudiates the speculation in Washington that Russia's Ukraine policy is something of an improvisation. Rather, U.S. policymakers would be well-served in trying to figure out the factors driving Mr. Putin's decision-making, both at home and abroad.
Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 153
Iran's cyber threat, revisited;
Ahmadinejad's second act?;
Back to the territorial drawing board;
A new social ill: Shacking up;
Acid unnacountability
Russia Reform Monitor: No. 1946
Movement on Russian demographics... and missile defense;
Moscow's media boss in the Congressional crosshairs
American Deterrence and Future Conflicts
On the centennial of the start of World War I—a war that began largely as a result of crisis miscalculations and escalations—we are entering a new era with important implications for deterrence, escalation control, and coalition management. Today, like at the time of World War I, we confront a large number of actors who have the potential to misread cues and red lines while relying on treaty relationships if they miscalculate. Then, as now, military technologies were widely diffused. Prevailing assumptions about how an adversary (or potential adversary) would react in a crisis or confrontation were based on imperfect intelligence and inadequate understanding of red lines...