Publications

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 217

February 4, 2010

MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD PICKS A NEW LEADER;

THE SAUDI STAKE IN YEMEN...;

...AND THE ROLE OF U.S. SPECIAL FORCES THERE;

SECULARISTS SCORE A VICTORY IN TURKEY...;

AND SUFFER A LOSS IN EGYPT

Russia’s Real Threat? Failure

January 31, 2010 Ilan I. Berman Washington Times

There's an old saying, familiar to historians and foreign policy practitioners, that "geography is destiny." A modern twist to this rule is that demography is no less decisive.

Russia is finding this out the hard way. Over the past several years, under the direction of former President (and current Prime Minister) Vladimir Putin and his handpicked protege, Dmitry Medvedev, Russia may have re-emerged on the international scene with a vengeance. But behind all of the Kremlin's contemporary geopolitical bluster, the successor state of the once-mighty Soviet Union is caught in a demographic and socioeconomic death spiral.