Publications

The outcome of the Second Karabakh War is a watershed event in the modern history of Eurasia. It represents the moment of conception of a new South Caucasus, the only part of the world that borders on Russia, Turkey, and Iran. Unsurprisingly, external powers like the U.S., China, the EU, India, and the GCC states are all taking greater interest in its future.

The Iranian regime’s most acute vulnerability comes not from external attack but from within: from the persistent and growing discontent of its own citizens. In response, Tehran has leaned more and more heavily on a long-term strategy of digital control.