Why Iran Won’t Come to a Deal Quickly
As President Trump explores a nuclear deal with Iran, he would be wise to recognize that Tehran probably comes to the negotiating table less because it fears Washington than because it smells opportunity.
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Publications
Transition in the Kremlin: What Does History Have to Say?
In recent days several Russian bloggers—both loyalists and oppositionists—have hinted about plots to remove Putin. Even though most such reports are based on little more than gossip, they serve the useful function of reminding us that Putin’s clock is running down.
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2675
An Acute Medical Shortage;
Changing Ukraine, One Step at a Time;
Ominous Plans for Space;
Moscow's Shrinking Middle Eastern Maritime Footprint;
Russia Ramps Up The Rhetoric...
A Strategy for Greater Central Asia
America needs an effective strategy for Greater Central Asia to enhance its competitive position in a region that will significantly impact the Russia-China relationship, geopolitical competition in Asia, and key resource markets including uranium, oil, and natural gas. The proposed strategy ensures open access in Greater Central Asia while securing opportunities for profitable American investment through technological partnership, resource development, and logistical facilitation.
China Policy Monitor No. 1632
China To Use AI in Education;
Ukraine Bans PRC Firms Supplying Russia With Missiles;
RFA Halts Radio Transmissions in Mandarin and Tibetan;
China is Using Generative AI to Ramp Up Disinformation in Taiwan;
White House Backs Off Nvidia's H20 Chip Crackdown