Iran Democracy Monitor No. 249
The regime clamps down at home;
Israel seeks to prevent Russian resupply...;
...As wary neighbors take sides
The regime clamps down at home;
Israel seeks to prevent Russian resupply...;
...As wary neighbors take sides
China launches fentanyl raids ahead of planned Trump visit;
Executives arrested for smuggling $2.5B in AI chips into China;
Beijing restricts "red-chip" IPOs amid capital flight concerns;
China unlikely to invade Taiwan in 2027, American intelligence says;
Property sector woes continue as prices hit eight-month low
Russia's crumbling state;
Russia shares intel with Iran...;
...As Iranian drones head in the other direction;
Network of "disposable agents" conducts sabotage in Europe;
FSB expands elite protection
The scale of Secretary General Xi Jinping’s military purges is shocking. More than 100 senior leaders have been removed since 2022. And that number keeps growing, with nine military officers purged just last week and three more retired generals removed from a senior advisory body in early March.
As of late March 2026, the strategic landscape of Operation Epic Fury has shifted from a high-intensity “shock” campaign to a calculated war of attrition. According to Brig. Gen. (res) Eran Ortal, the conflict has entered a decisive third phase where the combined industrial and logistical weight of the United States, Israel, and the Gulf states is systematically dismantling the Iranian regime’s ability to project power.