Publications

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 329

November 3, 2014

Lebanese military takes rebel stronghold;

Houthis battle Al-Qaeda with government support;

Fight against ISIS update;

Hopes dwindle for Boko Haram ceasefire

Israel — Wild Card

November 3, 2014 Ilan I. Berman National Review Online

To say U.S.–Israeli relations are on the rocks would be something of an understatement. It has been quite obvious for some time that diplomatic ties between Jerusalem and Washington have become badly frayed, with President Obama and Prime Minister Netanyahu failing to see eye to eye on a range of issues. Even so, bilateral relations are now unquestionably at a new nadir, as a recent bombshell article by Jeffrey Goldberg in The Atlantic details.

Missile Defense Can’t Wait

November 2, 2014 Stephen Blank Defense News

Russia shows no sign that it is willing to de-escalate tensions with the West. Indeed, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has made clear that he anticipates a long-term freeze in ties with Washington.

U. S. & European Perspectives of Current and Evolving Security Challenges

October 30, 2014 Richard M. Harrison

As we think through the role that the United States might play in addressing future security challenges in the European and Eurasian arenas in coming years, it would seem appropriate to have some indication of the thinking, thoughts, and ideas of our partners and allies—especially those in NATO. Americans may feel strongly about issues such as missile defense, countering terrorism and stopping Iran from developing a nuclear capability, but do European and Eurasian allies feel the same?...

Should We Be Worried About Iran’s Moves In The Western Hemisphere?

October 30, 2014 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

Sometimes, it's difficult to see the forest for the trees. Optimism may currently be running high in Washington that next month's deadline for negotiations will yield some sort of durable deal over Iran's nuclear program. But amid all of the diplomatic euphoria, one aspect of the Iranian challenge has received remarkably short shrift: its expanding presence and activities in our own hemisphere.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 328

October 26, 2014

Turkey steps closer to coalition against ISIS;

Houthi rebels 'welcome' new Yemeni Prime Minister;

Tunisia cracks down on extremism;

Baghdad bombings kill dozens;

Head of Iran's Basij threatens Saudi  

Missile Defense Briefing Report: No. 330

October 23, 2014

North Korea upgrades missile test site;

Chinese ICBM test highlights missile modernization...;

...as Pakistan thinks big;

Poland sticks to its guns;

U.S. one step closer to a gulf missile shield  

 

Back To The Bashing

October 20, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Western views toward Israel have returned to Kafkaesque normalcy after a brief break for sanity, as the United States now argues that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is making Islamic State group recruiting easier, and Europe punishes Israel and rewards the Palestinians for their ongoing conflict.

Crossing the Line At Odd Times: China-India Border Disputes

October 15, 2014 Foreign Policy

Last month yet another standoff at the disputed China-India border reached yet another peaceful conclusion, though not before spoiling the atmosphere of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s inaugural visit to India. In mid-September, as many as 1,000 Chinese soldiers crossed the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Ladakh, Kashmir and were met in a prolonged face-off by an equal number of Indian troops. While violations of the de facto border are a common affair, the conspicuous timing and motives of the latest intrusion, and its broader implications for Sino-Indian relations, merit greater scrutiny.

Is the Islamic State Islamic?

October 13, 2014 Library of Law & Liberty

Nothing could be more curious to Muslims than Western non-Muslims telling them what their religion is about. Would not Christians find it odd to hear from Muslims what the true meaning of their religion is? Nevertheless, after almost every terrorist act against a Westerner, particularly the more gruesome ones like beheadings, Western heads of state reflexively react with protestations that such acts are absolutely un-Islamic, despite the explicit claims of their perpetrators that they are done precisely as religious acts, as they exultantly declare, “Allahu Akbar.”

Giving Iran The Store

October 6, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Monday's reported explosion at Iran's secretive Parchin nuclear site - leaving two dead and shattering windows 12 kilometers away - is welcome news to those concerned about Tehran's nuclear progress, but it's likely a mere blip on what seems an increasingly smooth Iranian road to nuclear weaponry.

For a host of reasons, Washington is growing ever-more desperate for a nuclear deal through which to claim a diplomatic victory, while Tehran is growing less concerned about the ultimate outcome of the ongoing talks and, not surprisingly, more intransigent about offering new concessions.

Russia and the West

September 30, 2014 Stephen Blank Issue 12

The Kremlin's Information Warfare

Moscow Between Islamic Challenges And Islamist Threats

The State Of Russia's Strategic Forces

Putin's Asymmetric Strategy: Lessons For The Future

Forging A Western-Nato Response

Obama’s Contradictory War

September 29, 2014 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

The Obama administration’s strategy for destroying the Islamic State group, also known as ISIS or ISIL, forces the United States to take sides in Syria’s civil war. But in a three-way war, that can mean taking the wrong side.

Putin’s aggression won’t be stopped by sanctions

September 27, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas Deseret News

The president sets U.S. foreign policy but, with regard to Ukraine, Congress has an opportunity to push the United States in a more fruitful direction by approving bipartisan legislation from the Senate that would give Kiev $350 million in military aid to help it fend off Moscow’s advances.

Protecting the Warfighter in an Austere Budget Environment

September 23, 2014 Richard M. Harrison

Winston Churchill is often quoted as saying, “Gentlemen, we have run out of money. Now we have to think.” A similar statement is attributed to Ernest Rutherford, a New Zealand physicist often cited as the “father” of nuclear physics. Regardless of who uttered this quote, many believe it appropriately summarizes the state of America’s defense establishment today. “Fiscal austerity” is the environment in which national security decisions are made...

Closed Door Policy: How China’s Reforms Are Pushing Away Foreign Business

September 23, 2014 Joshua Eisenman Foreign Affairs

"We shall proceed with reform and opening up without hesitation," said Chinese President Xi Jinping to his country's top leaders at a symposium last month that marked the 110th birth anniversary of his predecessor Deng Xiaoping. At first glance, his pledge appeared sincere. In the two years since taking office, Xi has consistently advocated a reform agenda intended to continue the economic revitalization and restructuring that Deng started in 1978. Xi’s campaign includes plans to reduce government meddling in the economy by making it easier for private-sector firms to compete with state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and allowing companies and individuals to invest and borrow more freely.

Horror And Terror In Nigeria

September 22, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

She was at her high school in Chibok, Nigeria when the Islamist monsters of Boko Haram arrived in April, brandishing their guns and forcing the girls onto trucks for an unknown destination.

Fearing where the trucks would take them, she and a friend jumped off during the trip, scampering into the forest. With her friend injured from the fall, they slept under a tree and then found a shepherd to help them find their way back to their village, where their parents and other relatives were weeping.

Call It a War and Win It

September 15, 2014 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

Last week, President Barack Obama pledged to destroy the Islamic State group (also known as ISIS or ISIL). It is worth asking what that means, and whether the United States can actually do it.

Confronting The Evolving Peril In Islamic Extremism

September 10, 2014 Ilan I. Berman Washington Times

What a difference a couple of months can make. This summer, the Bipartisan Policy Center released a new report from Thomas Kean and Lee Hamilton, the original co-chairmen of the 9/11 Commission. That study, titled "Today's Rising Terrorist Threat and the Danger to the United States," warned that America was running the risk of becoming a victim of its own counterterrorism success.