Publications

What Obama Should Tell America (But Likely Won’t)

September 8, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

My fellow Americans:

I want to speak with you tonight about an issue of vital national security, and that's the challenge presented by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria - the radical terrorist organization that has seized a vast amount of territory in those countries, and that has threatened to attack the United States.

A Post-America South America

September 8, 2014 Ilan I. Berman inFocus Quarterly

Last fall, in a speech before the Organization of American States, Secretary of State John Kerry announced with great fanfare that the "era of the Monroe Doctrine is over." Kerry's pronouncement was a distinctly political one, intended to reassure regional powers that the heavy-handed interventionism that at times had characterized America's approach to Latin America was a thing of the past. But it was also very much a sign of the times, because the United States is in strategic retreat in its own hemisphere.

Russia’s Costly Ukrainian Conquest

September 8, 2014 Herman Pirchner, Jr. Washington Times

Ukrainian government and the Russian-directed separatist movement occupying parts of two Ukrainian provinces and Crimea. Few expect it to last because neither side is ready to live with the status quo.

Ukraine needs to resume fighting to prevent Moscow from permanently controlling separatist-occupied Ukraine. Moscow needs to resume fighting to achieve its further territorial ambitions in Ukraine. Further, if Russian President Vladimir Putin is stopped in Ukraine, it will complicate his designs on the territory of Kazakhstan, Belarus, Moldova and other parts of the former USSR. How is this likely to play out?

Hamas: The Middle East’s Other ‘Cancer’

August 25, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

In the photo, Daniel Tragerman stands proudly next to his Lego tower. He wears a blue-and-white Lionel Messi jersey, dark shorts and sandals; brown bangs tickle his forehead, and he looks at us with a charming half-smile. He seems, like most four-year-olds, soft, innocent and irresistibly huggable.

Last Shot For Reality To Pierce Russian Fantasy

August 24, 2014 Ilan I. Berman USA Today

On Tuesday, Russian president Vladimir Putin will meet with his Ukrainian counterpart, Petro Poroshenko, in Minsk, Belarus in an effort to bring an end to the crisis in Ukraine. The summit is shaping up to be a critical turning point in the six-month-old conflict over the soul of Ukraine.

A Time for Deterrance

August 20, 2014 Stephen Blank The National

American politician and poet Eugene McCarthy once said that the media are like blackbirds on a telegraph pole. Once the impulse goes through, they all jump in the same direction. Fortunately for McCarthy, the Washington punditocracy was not as developed then as it is now.

Cutting the Caliphate Down to Size

August 13, 2014 Ilan I. Berman National Review Online

Is America headed back to Iraq? On August 7, President Obama took the first step in that direction when he authorized the use of air strikes to prevent the further advance of the militant Islamic group once known as the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Shams (ISIS) and now known as the Islamic State. Since then, the U.S. military has commenced a limited bombing campaign against Islamic State detachments in northern Iraq and added 130 military advisers to the 300 already stationed in the country.

Warfare That Targets Civilian Lives Must Be Made Unacceptable

August 7, 2014 Avi Jorisch South China Morning Post

As the recent hostilities in Gaza demonstrate, Israel stands at the forefront of a new kind of warfare. Israel is not alone in the need to confront radical forces that include terrorist organisations and oppressive regimes who deliberately seek civilian casualties on all sides as the core element of their military strategy; this is a long-term battle that other liberal societies will ultimately have to fight.

Missile Defense Briefing Report: No. 327

August 5, 2014

Japan mulls new missile system...;

...amid continued North Korean provocations;

New cloud cover to protect against missiles;

Russia plans missile upgrades;

Poland narrows missile defense search;

New details about China's hypersonic missile  

Russia’s Dangerous Arctic Adventurism

July 29, 2014 Stephen Blank The Washington Times

Today the world continues to focus on Moscow’s brazen aggression in Ukraine and its blatant disregard for international law. However, Russia’s imperial delusions and energy dependence are also creating major problems elsewhere in the world, including in the Arctic — a vast, energy-rich region where the Kremlin has both great ambitions and is pursuing dangerous policies.

Kerry Needs to Come to His ‘Senses’

July 28, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Dear Mr. Secretary:

I was struck by your recent observation about the Israel-Hamas conflict: “The world is watching tragic moment after tragic moment unfold and wondering when both sides are going to come to their senses.”

I can only imagine your dismay, in light of the hopes that President Obama and you had placed in Israeli-Palestinian peace, and all of your jet-setting, tongue-flapping and arm-twisting to make it happen. To encourage both sides to come to their “senses,” however, I suggest that not only do they have important roles to play. So, too, do you.

The Great War, Again?

July 24, 2014 Ilan I. Berman U.S. News & World Report

It was a century ago this summer – on June 28, 1914 – that Serbian nationalist Gavrilo Princip fired the "shot heard round the world," assassinating Archduke Franz Ferdinand, heir to the Austro-Hungarian empire, in Sarajevo. The killing served as a catalyst for conflict, bringing long-simmering tensions between various European nations to a boil. The result was a conflagration that was both global in scale and massive in its human toll. All told, more than 37 million souls perished in what became known as the "war to end all wars."

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 326

July 21, 2014

Short-lived ceasefire in Gaza war;

Iraq names new speaker of parliament;

UN: Aid to Syria without Assad consent;

U.S. and Qatar strike $11 billion arms deal  

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 349

July 21, 2014

India and China seek more cooperation;

Taliban abandons key stronghold;

US won't sell Pakistan;

India, Nepal work towards resolving border issues;

Afghanistan averts electoral disaster  

 

An Iranian-Turkish Reset

July 21, 2014 Ilan I. Berman Washingon Times

Earlier this summer, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani paid a very public two-day visit to a surprising locale: Ankara, Turkey. The June trip — the first of its kind in nearly 20 years — represented a significant evolution of the political ties between Iran and Turkey.

Iran Won’t Slow Down On Ballistic Missiles

July 17, 2014 Ilan I. Berman USA Today

With time for nuclear diplomacy between Iran and the P5+1 nations (the U.S., UK, Russia, China, France and Germany) running out, and with the White House scrambling to cobble together some sort of deal with Tehran, it's perhaps not surprising that Pentagon's latest annual assessment of Iran's military capabilities has so far garnered little attention, either within the Washington Beltway or outside it.

Follow Stephen Harper’s Lead

July 14, 2014 Joshua Eisenman U.S. News & World Report

"The indiscriminate rocket attacks from Gaza on Israel are terrorist acts, for which there is no justification," the nation's leader said this week. "It is evident that Hamas is deliberately using human shields to further terror in the region." He added, "Failure by the international community to condemn these reprehensible actions would encourage these terrorists to continue their appalling actions," saying that his nation "calls on its allies and partners to recognize that these terrorist acts are unacceptable and that solidarity with Israel is the best way of stopping the conflict."