The states of Central Asia and the Caucasus are clearly rattled by Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, and looking for ways to protect themselves against the same in the future.
Russia rediscovered its imperial vocation before NATO enlargement, and the war in Ukraine is, in fact, about Putin’s great power ambitions.
A decisive shift has taken place in Kazakhstan.
The long-term damage resulting from Armenia's miscalculations outlined are plain to see. While part of the damage is physical, even more significant is the mental damage: Armenia’s feeling of military superiority is now broken, and its feeling of isolation palpable.
Russian peacekeeping is not the solution