Policy Papers

Planning for the Next Iranian Internet Blackout

August 11, 2026 Calla O’Neil

On February 28, 2026, Iranian authorities cut all internet access, plunging Iran into what became an 88-day nationwide blackout—the longest in modern history. What does this shutdown reveal about the Islamic Republic's increasingly sophisticated censorship regime, and what lessons can we apply to strengthen existing and new circumvention tools to keep Iranians online the next time Tehran moves to disconnect them?

Space Roles and Missions: From Fragmentation to Unity

December 11, 2025 Peter GarretsonJackson Schnabel American Foreign Policy Council

The United States faces a fundamental organizational crisis in space. America’s space enterprise remains fragmented across multiple agencies with unclear roles, overlapping responsibilities, and competing authorities. This institutional confusion undermines national security, stifles commercial innovation, and threatens U.S. leadership in the vital space domain.

Charting Iran’s Influence in Africa

November 18, 2025 American Foreign Policy Council

Although Tehran’s activities in Africa tend to receive far less attention than its machinations in the Middle East, Europe, or Latin America, they form a critical pillar of the Islamic Republic’s global strategy.

America’s Three-Body Strategic Mineral Problem

July 31, 2025 Kyle Kinnie American Foreign Policy Council

Control over the extraction, refining, export, and applied manufacturing of power natural resourc­es will become a key strategic goal for the U.S.—not only for maintaining a globally competitive edge but also for ensuring Great Power status in an increasingly multipolar world.

The Nine Gates of Power: China’s Passageways to the World Ocean

June 6, 2025 Kyle Kinnie American Foreign Policy Council

In December 2010, the Asahi Shimbun published a remarkable roadmap laying out the future trajectory of Chinese maritime expansion. In its analysis, the Shimbun outlined a geographically contingent thesis of Chinese geopolitical strategy—one on which the scholar Tetsuo Kotani elaborated further in a 2019 academic paper. Both publications argue that Chinese maritime access to the Pacific and Indian Oceans is effectively constrained through a series of islands and straits in the First Island Chain. These potential chokepoints constitute the “Nine Gates” through which Chinese maritime commerce and sea power must flow. 

Understanding ASEAN

March 17, 2025 Larry M. Wortzel American Foreign Policy Council

ASEAN has grown from a small, consensus-based group into a significant regional bloc, now at the center of U.S.-China competition. Its expanded scope and diverse membership make it both a key player and a complex challenge for external powers.

Identifying the Next TikTok: Which Apps Could Washington Target Next?

September 13, 2024 Joel Thayer American Foreign Policy Council

Congress passed the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act (the Act). The Act specifically mentions ByteDance and TikTok, which means that they and their subsidiaries are required to divest. However, the law's scope is not limited to just TikTok and ByteDance. The Act broadly applies foreign ownership restrictions to apps operating within the United States. Specific attention is given in this paper to WeChat and Temu.