Publications

Beware Russians Bearing Gifts

June 27, 2016 Ilan I. Berman Jerusalem Post

Slowly but surely, a strategic reorientation is underway in Israel. Earlier this month, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made a high-profile state visit to Russia. The trip, Netanyahu's fourth in the past year, was a public sign of the rapidly expanding ties between Jerusalem and Moscow.

The Real Reason For Brexit

June 26, 2016 Ilan I. Berman U.S. News & World Report

Last week's vote by England to formally leave the European Union has touched off nothing short of a political earthquake, both in Europe and in the United States. In the aftermath of Thursday's referendum, which saw a slim majority (52 percent) of Britons vote in favor of "Brexit," there has been no shortage of recriminations from the chattering classes on both sides of the Atlantic, which have been quick to label Britons as both xenophobic and foolish for their choice.

It All Comes Back To Religion

June 15, 2016 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

Jihadists are hailing the mass shooting at the Orlando gay nightclub Pulse as an Islamist victory. The Islamic State terror group has claimed credit for the atrocity, saying "a soldier of the Islamic State has carried out the attack." President Barack Obama said that the shooter, Omar Mateen, was "filled with hatred" and that the investigation "will go wherever the facts lead us." They will lead directly to radical Islamism.

‘Collective Responsibility’ For Terror

June 13, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Israel responded to a Palestinian terror attack in Tel Aviv which claimed four lives by revoking 83,000 travel permits for Palestinians to enter the country during Ramadan. The United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights suggests that response amounts to "collective punishment" and is, thus, illegal under international law.

Don’t Be Scared To Squeeze Pakistan

June 9, 2016 The National Interest

Pakistan returned to the headlines last month, after a U.S. air strike eliminated Afghan Taliban commander Mullah Mansour inside Pakistani territory. It marked the first ever U.S. strike on an Afghan Taliban leader inside the group's Pakistani sanctuary of Baluchistan, which had been off-limits to U.S. drones as part of an informal arrangement with Islamabad. Washington has touted the drone strike as an important victory for the U.S. war effort in Afghanistan. However, it will prove symbolic and short-lived unless it prompts more fundamental reform of America's Pakistan policy. To effect real change, Washington must increase pressure not just on the Taliban residing in Pakistan, but on Pakistan itself.

Iran’s Indian Opening

June 7, 2016 Ilan I. Berman Washington Times

Nearly a year after its passage, the nuclear deal with Iran - formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action - remains a political football in Washington. In response to pressure from Tehran, the Obama administration continues to seek ever-greater sanctions relief for the Iranian regime. The justification propounded by administration officials, from Secretary of State John Kerry on down, is that Iran has yet to reap real benefits from the deal and, therefore, a further sweetening of the pot is necessary to ensure its continued compliance with the terms of the deal.

Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 166

June 5, 2016

A tussle with Texas over state-level sanctions;

In Iran, brightening energy prospects...;

...and enduring grievances;

An Iranian foothold in Kurdistan;

Iran versus the internet, again

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 24

June 5, 2016

Palestinian terror groups eye drone warfare;

The Kosovo crucible;

Al-Qaeda's new method of economic warfare;

Rising terrorist activity within the United States;

For ISIS, necessity is the mother of invention;

Walling off Jordan

Ignoring Iran’s Abuse

May 30, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

"I can assure you," Wendy Sherman, President Barack Obama's lead negotiator on the Iran nuclear deal, said the other day, "that if Iran takes truly horrific terrorist action, or truly horrific human rights action, that people will respond." Uh huh.

China’s Investments in Sri Lanka

May 22, 2016 Foreign Affairs

Last month, Sri Lanka officially lifted a hold on the Colombo Port City project, a $1.4 billion Chinese initiative to construct a "mini-city" atop reclaimed land at the country's capital. The project is the largest in Sri Lanka's history and falls under Beijing's One Belt, One Road and New Silk Road initiatives, which are designed in part to expand and secure China's trade routes throughout Asia.

Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 164

May 17, 2016

Leveraging Latin American navies;

Iran's (even stronger) morality police;

The newest investor in Iran's nuclear program: America;

Iran rewards its foreign legion

Morocco’s Islamic Exports

May 12, 2016 Ilan I. Berman Foreign Affairs

At first glance, Madinat Al Irfane seems like an odd location from which to launch a global war of ideas against Islamic radicalism. The upscale middle-class suburb of Rabat is packed with nondescript office buildings and recently built apartment blocks, telltale signs of the widening prosperity of Morocco's capital. But nestled behind these structures is a marker of a very different sort: a multimillion-dollar academic campus that houses the kingdom's premier religious training academy, formally known as the Mohammed VI Institute for the Training of Imams.

Al-Qaeda Resurrects Under ISIL Shadow

May 12, 2016 Ilan I. Berman USA Today

Whatever happened to al-Qaeda? A decade-and-a-half ago, it perpetrated the single largest act of international terrorism to ever take place on American soil. Yet, these days, Osama bin Laden's terror network barely warrants a mention in the mainstream news media. Instead, it is al-Qaeda's onetime Iraqi franchise, now known as the Islamic State, or ISIL, which commands near total attention in both politics and the press. That has never been more true than on Iraq's bloodiest day of 2016 when bombs swept through Baghdad killing at least 93.

South Asia Security Monitor: 391

May 2, 2016

Indo-Russian defense deal in trouble;

India IS recruiter killed in drone strike;

PAK defense minister to visit Russia;

Ghani threatens UNSC action over Pak-Taliban links;

Air Force drone strikes now outnumber manned strikes