Publications

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 386

February 23, 2016

$3B Indo-Israeli defense deal close;

Pakistan joins Saudi military training;

45 terrorist organizations in Pakistan;

US approves sale of 8 f-16 fighters to Pakistan;

India's internationa fleet review shows new focus

Iran’s Eurasian Adventure

February 23, 2016 Ilan I. Berman Foreign Affairs

As expected, last summer's nuclear deal is already shaping up to be an economic boon for Iran. From stepped-up post-sanctions trade with countries in Europe and Asia to newfound access to some $100 billion in previously escrowed oil revenue, the agreement (formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA) has put the country on the path toward a sustained national recovery.

Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 161

February 22, 2016

Iran's campaign against the Baha'i continues;

Bahrain in the crosshairs...again;

Iranian attitudes, post-JCPOA;

Tehran's foreign legion;

Iran makes new nuclear plans

Iran’s Hard-Line Elections

February 22, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Henry Kissinger famously remarked some time ago that Iran must decide whether it wants to be "a nation or a cause." For decades, U.S. presidents of both parties have been trying to coax Tehran toward the former and away from the latter.

Most recently, the U.S.-led global nuclear agreement with Iran - with its scores of billions in sanctions relief that President Obama hoped Iran would invest to improve the living standards of its people - was designed to convince Tehran to abandon its revolutionary ways and become a nation in good standing.

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 17

February 21, 2016

The Islamic State's growing strategic capabilities;

Has the Islamic State come to Pakistan?;

Targeting ISIS finances...with bombs;

Iraq's Sunnis start to push back  

Countering Putin begins with knowing what his regime is saying

February 17, 2016 Stephen Blank The Hill

Recent media accounts have argued that the U.S. government suffers from an absence of high-quality expertise on Russia. These accounts correctly note that funding for careers to ensure career opportunities for a continuing flow of people interested in Russia has dried up as well as the quantitative as well as qualitative lack of capable analysts. Undoubtedly we suffer from a shortage of funding and of professional interest in Russia, which is widely regarded as a busted flush of little account despite Ukraine and Syria. This shortage tallies with the president and his administration’s view that Russia is a declining regional power. Yet, as we have seen reality continues to belie such shortsighted thinking, particularly when it comes to the information battlefield and America’s struggle to contest Russian dominance in the weaponization of information used by the Kremlin against the United States and NATO.

World War III In Syria?

February 15, 2016 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

Peace in our time in Syria? Not even close. Last Thursday, international negotiators meeting in Germany announced that they had reached what was described as "an agreement toward halting hostilities." Not a ceasefire, not an armistice, but a deal to make another deal to possibly stop the fighting. "I'm pleased to say that as a result today in Munich," Secretary of State John Kerry said at the time, "we believe we have made progress on both the humanitarian front and the cessation of hostilities front... to be able to change the daily lives of the Syrian people." Note to Kerry: Try not to say "Munich" when announcing a peace deal, especially one doomed to fail.

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 16

February 14, 2016

Islamist mobilization in Tajikistan;

One step forward, two steps back for U.S. counterterrorism;

A tactical setback for terrorist media in southwest Asia;

An ISIS navy?;

Saudi Arabia steps in

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 385

February 11, 2016

Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives hold trilateral mil exercises;

Bangladesh rejects Chinese deep sea port;

Looks to India, Japan;

Japan may build aircraft plan in India;

India receives new shipment of MI-17 helicopters

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 384

February 9, 2016

Pakistan to buy Turkey's new tank;

Pakistan and Maldives to strengthen ties;

ISIS linked to Bangladeshi terrorist attacks;

Modi considering first Indian national security policy;

Indian PM meets Afghan chief exec;

Bangladesh Minister seeks stronger ties with India 

Gaza War Deja Vu

February 8, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

The next Gaza war is fast approaching, with the terrorist group Hamas feverishly expanding its tunnel network to launch attacks inside Israel and Jerusalem now debating the shape and timing of its next move.

Strategic Priorities For The Next President

February 2, 2016 Ilan I. Berman inFocus Quarterly

The next American president will inherit a world on fire. Whoever ends up winning the presidential election in the Fall of 2016 will enter the Oval Office facing a range of pressing - and difficult - global problems. How he or she will address them will determine America's place in the world for much of the decade to come. As such, it's worth examining what the future commander-in-chief will be forced to contend with on the world stage.

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 383

February 1, 2016

Afghan army restructured in Helmand;

Indian warships visits Sri Lanka;

First-ever Russia-Pakistan military exercises;

14 Bangladeshis detained;

Ethnic protests in Nepal continue

The Kremlin’s Selective Counterterrorism

January 26, 2016 Ilan I. Berman National Review Online

To hear President Vladimir Putin tell it, his government is the proverbial tip of the spear in the global war on terror.

For months, Kremlin officials have taken great pains to style their intervention in Syria in grandiose terms - not simply as a ploy to prop up a key strategic ally, but as a broader campaign against Islamic extremism. To hear them tell it, Russia has been forced to lead because of Western fecklessness in the face of gathering Islamic radicalism. Yet this bluster belies the fact that Moscow's counterterrorism policy is both flawed and selective in the extreme.

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 15

January 21, 2016

The Islamic State's North African front;

Fear and loathing in Beijing...;

...and apprehension in Jakarta;

Pay cuts for ISIS cadres;

Extortion, Taliban style

Iran’s Perilous Nuclear Lesson for North Korea

January 12, 2016 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

North Korea made international news last week when it declared that it had successfully carried out an underground test of a hydrogen bomb. The announcement touched off fevered speculation in Washington about the nature of the test itself (among other things, the yield is believed to have been to small to have been a thermonuclear device), as well as its larger geopolitical significance.

Fallout Ploy: Iran’s Cyberwarfare Contingency Plan

January 11, 2016 Ilan I. Berman Foreign Affairs

Iran's cyberwarriors are back in action. Late last fall, The New York Times reported that Iranian hackers had carried out an extensive hack on U.S. State Department employees. Among the victims were U.S. diplomats working on the Middle East and on Iran specifically, who had their email compromised and their social media accounts infiltrated. The hack was the latest in what U.S. officials say are increasingly aggressive attempts to glean information about U.S. policies toward Iran in the wake of this summer's P5+1 nuclear deal.

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 14

December 30, 2015

The ISIS WMD threat;

Belatedly, Al-Azhar enters the fray;

The cost of the anti-ISIS campaign...so far;

Battleground: Afghganistan;

The fight against ISIS moves to cyberspace