Publications

Stand Strong With Africa

April 26, 2016 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

The security situation in North Africa is growing increasingly dire, with destabilized countries and growing terrorist groups. Meanwhile, the U.S. combatant command for the region has been stuck in Germany for eight years. It is time to make another attempt to find a host country in Africa, and Morocco may be the place.

South Asia Security Monitor: 390

April 25, 2016

Indo-US military ties deepen;

France, India finalize aircraft deal;

Pak "

certain"

China will block India from NSG;

Attack on CIA camp funded by Pak? Sri Lanka to secure Malacca straits;

Fighting continues in Kunduz

Closing The Archives: What Russia’s Renewed Secrecy Says About Putin

April 23, 2016 Ilan I. Berman Foreign Affairs

It is widely known that Russia has a difficult relationship with its past. In the quarter-century since the collapse of the Soviet Union, successive governments in Moscow have been conspicuously consistent in skirting serious questions about the repressive nature of the now-defunct Soviet state and minimizing the shadow that it continues to cast over the Kremlin.

Putin Consolidates Domestic Power

April 19, 2016 Ilan I. Berman World Affairs Journal

Largely unnoticed by the West, Vladimir Putin has just launched a radical overhaul of power in Russia. On April 5th, the Russian President formally announced the creation of a new National Guard intended to serve as an umbrella organization and coordinating body for the country's numerous "force ministries."

Don’t Apologize For Hiroshima

April 18, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

"I think the president would like to do it," John Roos, President Barack Obama's former ambassador to Tokyo, said the other day about a possible Obama visit to Hiroshima when he attends the Group of Seven Summit next month in Japan. "He is a person who bends over backwards to show respect to history, and it does advance his agenda."

That a visit to Hiroshima, on which President Harry Truman dropped the world's first deployed atomic bomb, would advance Obama's agenda is clear. He has long envisioned a world without nuclear weapons, announced steps to pursue it in a high-profile speech in Prague in April of 2009, and continues to push for U.S.-Russian cuts in nuclear arsenals and global efforts to secure loose nuclear materials.

Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 163

April 17, 2016

Green movement leader still languishes;

The JCPOA's energy dividend;

Europe becomes the Islamic Republic's lobbyist;

Iran sets its sights on India;

An Iranian General in Moscow

Making a Bad Iran Deal Worse

April 13, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

We're witnessing a strange spectacle in U.S. foreign policy, one with no obvious precedent: President Barack Obama is trying desperately to protect his cherished nuclear deal with Iran, making one concession after another in response to Iran's post-deal demands to ensure that Tehran doesn't walk away from it.

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 389

April 11, 2016

Saudi Arabia, India team up against terror;

U.S. concerned about PAK nuclear security;

Sri Lanka and India deepen ties;

China blocks ban of JeM chief;

Corruption in Afghanistan real threat

Obama’s Iran Sanctions Bait-and-Switch

April 4, 2016 Ilan I. Berman National Review Online

Last week, a fresh political scandal erupted on Capitol Hill over Iran. At issue was a new plan being considered by the Obama administration to provide Iran's ayatollahs with limited access to the U.S. financial system as a sweetener for their continued compliance with their government's 2015 nuclear deal with the nations of the P5+1.

Russia’s Cease-Fire Fiction

April 4, 2016 Stephen Blank U.S. News & World Report

Russian President Vladimir Putin's March 14 announcement of a partial withdrawal of forces from Syria predictably surprised the Obama administration, which is habitually surprised by the current occupant of the Kremlin. In doing so, it became part of a larger pattern. Recent Russian-American ties demonstrate all too clearly that President Barack Obama still fails to grasp what it is, exactly, that Russia wants - and why it is successfully achieving these objectives despite the country's growing domestic crises.

Harry and Arthur: Truman, Vandenberg, and the Partnership That Created the Free World

April 1, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas Potomac Books

This book shares the untold story of how Democratic President Harry Truman and Republican Senator Arthur Vandenberg worked together in the perilous late 1940s to produce a revolutionary new U.S. foreign policy that has served America well ever since – with the United States seizing global leadership to protect its friends, confront its enemies, and promote freedom.

Strategic Primer - Cybersecurity

March 31, 2016 Richard M. Harrison

The goal of the new Strategic Primer initiative is to provide a concise, comprehensive overview of specific defense technology issues presented in a clear, direct, and graphical manner that serves as an accessible reference to policymakers. Volume 2 of the series focuses on Cybersecurity.

Cyber Threats in the Space Domain

March 30, 2016 Jennifer McArdle

The ability to access and exploit space has long been woven into the fabric of American national power. It is a critical component of global political leadership, the economy, and military power. Unfortunately, those pillars are increasingly at risk. The spread of space technology to new international actors and the increasing sophistication of those capabilities have made it possible to threaten American space systems directly. The national security community is accustomed to analyzing these threats and vulnerabilities and is pursuing a reasonable mix of policies and programs to address them. (Whether those actions are sufficient is subject to debate). However, over the last decade space and cyberspace have grown increasingly integrated. This opens up new vulnerabilities in American space systems, and gives a greater number of actors the potential to exploit those vulnerabilities...

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 388

March 28, 2016

Pak eyes more U.S. F-16S;

Hackers targeting Indian defense establishment;

India signs 28 defense contracts;

Pak seeks stronger ties with Sri Lanka;

Border forces to be withdrawn from LOC?

Why Russia Is Claiming Victory In Syria

March 23, 2016 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

Call it Vladimir Putin's "mission accomplished" speech.

The Russian president recently caused an international furor when he abruptly announced that his government was commencing a military withdrawal from Syria. Russia had "radically changed the situation" on the ground through its involvement, and its strategic objectives had been "generally accomplished," Putin said in a televised meeting with top advisors in Moscow, including Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. As a result, Russia's commander-in-chief declared, he had made the decision "to start withdrawal of the main part of our military group from the territory of the Syrian Arab Republic starting from tomorrow."

Our Quickly Unraveling Nuclear Deal

March 21, 2016 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Iranians are famously savvy negotiators, so recent revelations that, under the U.S.-led global nuclear deal, Iran has far more leeway than we had thought to hide its nuclear progress and test ballistic missiles shouldn't surprise us.

It should, however, alarm us.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 356

March 16, 2016

Corruption: Scourge of Central Asia;

A shrinking Russian footprint in Tajikistan;

Kazakhstan, speaking plainly Kyrgyzstan tightens control over Islamic education

Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 162

March 14, 2016

Iran's elections: Less than meets the eye;

The Iranian military goes on the sectarian offensive;

A soaring execution rates;

Nuclear oversight of Iran shrinks 

No Means To Muster

March 9, 2016 Ilan I. Berman The Washington Times

In the current political season, it's the policy dog that isn't barking.

Over the past several primary debates, candidates on both sides of the aisle have sparred at length over national security, offering contrasting - if still vague - strategies for dealing with Russia, the Islamic State and Iran, among other foreign policy challenges. But precious little attention has so far been paid to a more fundamental question: Does the U.S. military actually have the resources to adequately respond to today's global threats?

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 18

March 8, 2016

Libya, and the Western response;

The Islamist penetration of Europe;

Pushing back against Boko Haram;

A growing ISIS footprint in Pakistan;

The ISIS threat to the U.S.

New Near East Challenges

February 29, 2016 Issue 16

The Isis Convergence

The Return Of The Bear

The Nuclear Deal And Iranian Cyber

Saudi Arabia At The Crossroads

Sunni/Shi'ite Proxy War Heats Up

An Ominous Election In Iran

February 29, 2016 Ilan I. Berman U.S. News & World Report

On Friday, Iranians went to the polls to select new representatives for the country's legislature, known as the Majles, and its Assembly of Experts, the powerful clerical body that oversees the performance of Iran's supreme leader. The results reflect a stronger-than-expected showing from the country's so-called "reformist" camp, particularly the political circles surrounding Iranian president Hassan Rouhani.