Russia Reform Monitor: No. 1685
Some realism on Iran;
New START inches forward
Some realism on Iran;
New START inches forward
China calls for closer mil-mil ties with Taiwan...;
... as it justifies its military buildup
China conducts war games in the South China Sea...;
... as U.S. warns of China's "
aggressive"
new approach
What do you call an ally that tries to kill you? That's the question most Americans are asking in the wake of last month's dissemination by Internet clearinghouse WikiLeaks of some 92,000 classified U.S. military documents relating to the war in Afghanistan. The files provide a sobering portrait of the true state of play on the War on Terror's first front. Far and away the most damaging disclosures, however, are those relating to the pernicious role being played by Pakistan, long regarded as a critical American ally in South Asia, in supporting and sustaining the anti-Western insurgency there.
That a Pakistani-born U.S. national was responsible for the latest attempted terrorist attack on U.S. soil should come as little surprise. Pakistan has stood, almost unchallenged, at the epicenter of global terrorism for the post-9/11 era. Individuals or groups based in Pakistan have been involved in the majority of planned attacks on Western nations since 2001 and the country has played a critical role in the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan. Finally, nuclear-armed Pakistan maintains a network of Islamist militant groups focused on targeting India and is now host to a ferocious Islamist insurrection of its own; an insurgency that is now more deadly than those in either Iraq or Afghanistan. In short, no discussion of counterterrorism is complete without an examination of Pakistan and its role in Western terror attacks, the Afghan War, and its own attempts to combat domestic terrorism.
Iron Dome ready in November;
Saudi legal reform takes a step forward;
Iran's hand in Iraq highlighted by U.S. general;
France "
at war"
with AQIM;
Turkey gives boost to Azeri enclave
Mao Zedong Thought makes a comeback;
Beijing cracks down on independent reporting
CRM Special Edition: "
Grassroots China"
Long-time observers of American politics know that in order to truly put your finger on the pulse of the nation, you have to watch Wall Street. Savvy Iran-watchers will tell you that to do the same in the Islamic republic, you need to keep your eye on the bazaar.
Iran's sprawling marketplaces are more than simply centers of commerce. They are home to a powerful class of merchants who historically have served as key power brokers in the country's labyrinthine political system. Indeed, as the renowned historian Walter Laqueur astutely pointed out in the wake of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, the shah's loss of support among the country's shopkeepers and merchants was an important part of why Ruhollah Khomeini's clerical takeover ultimately succeeded. Simply put, Iran's businessmen no longer felt invested in the old, secular status quo. The rest, as they say, is history.
New U.S. base in northern Afghanistan?;
Pak cracks down on Punjabi Taliban, sort of;
India considers beefing up border presence even more;
Headley tells India ISI involved in Mumbai
Back in the USSR;
Umarov: public enemy number one
China to invest $680 billion in west over 10 yrs;
Beijing grudgingly assents to democratic advance in HK
New sub expands Russia's naval capabilities;
A tentative sign of economic recovery
For years now, Sakineh Ashtiani has been incarcerated in an Iranian prison, sentenced to death by stoning for the "crime" of adultery. Until earlier this month, the case of the 43-year-old mother of two was known only to the select few who have been following her sad fate at the hands of the Islamic Republic. Today, however, her name has become a rallying cry to end the mullahs' suppression of human—and particularly women's—rights.
A widow living in the northern Iranian city of Tabriz, Mrs. Ashtiani was jailed in 2005 for adultery. She was convicted the following year of having "illicit relationships" with two men following the death of her husband, and received 100 lashes, the punishment Islam stipulates for sexual relations outside of marriage. Mrs. Ashtiani's ordeal did not end there. Her case was reopened in 2007, and new, graver charges of adultery while in wedlock were added. She was convicted once again, and this time sentenced to death by public stoning.
Iraq seeks info on Iran nuke sites;
Turkey beats back PKK, with U.S. help;
AQAP tries its hand at western media, targets Yemen gov.;
Tajikistan's lonely airbase
How stable is Saudi Arabia? Not very, according to at least one member of the Kingdom's ruling class. Last month Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud, a prominent dissident now in exile in Cairo, issued an open letter to his fellow royals, urging them to abandon their desert fiefdom for greener pastures. According to the prince, the current social compact between the House of Saud and its subjects had become untenable, with the government no longer able to "impose" its writ on the people and growing grassroots discontent at the royals "interfering in people's private life and restricting their liberties." His advice? That King Abdullah and his coterie flee the Kingdom before they are overthrown--and before their opponents "cut off our heads in streets."
"
New Start"
faces hostility on the Hill...;
...as Moscow, Washington inch closer to missile defense deal;
Bulgaria comes aboard
Obama accuses China of "
willfull blindness"
on Cheonan sinking;
A first: China admits North started Korean War
India eases defense purchasing;
Maoists get their wish, Nepal PM resigns;
Afghanistan draws closer to Pakistan;
Al Qaeda down to 500 or less;
Controversial new media law in Pakistan
Does Washington care about freedom in Iran? On the surface, it seems like a silly question. Ever since Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini swept to power in 1979, Washington policymakers of all political stripes have been holding out hope that a kinder, gentler regime would emerge in Tehran. Republican and Democratic administrations alike have expressed their support for freedom within the Islamic Republic, and both sides of the political aisle have condemned the regime's repressive domestic practices. Yet, concrete proof of the U.S. commitment to pluralism in Iran is hard to come by. The strategies by which the United States can assist Iran's opposition remain poorly understood and even less effectively implemented. This is unfortunate, since with the proper vision and political will, the United States can harness economic, diplomatic, and informational strategies to significantly affect the unfolding struggle for Iran's soul.
South China Sea now a "
core issue"
for Beijing;
PLA soldiers banned from blogging, internet dating
A fresh focus on military readiness;
New media restrictions, for the children
New law targets Maoist supporters in India;
Afghan civilians pay war toll;
Outreach to Burma falters;
New report condemns ISI links to Taliban;
India has an eye on SCO expansion
Bankrupt, Greece turns to China for help;
Japan concerned about China's growing missile capabilities
Easing entry for Europeans;
Lake Baikal as political flashpoint
Beijing audits new rural medical system;
China grapples with syphilis epidemic
The new issue of Rolling Stone magazine has yet to hit newsstands, but its centerpiece - a devastating expose of Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal, the top U.S. military commander in Afghanistan - already has sent shockwaves through Washington. The article, copies of which already have found their way onto the Internet, paints an unflattering picture of a military commander at war with his own civilian leadership, replete with insults of sitting officials and serious charges of political malfeasance.
Since news of the piece leaked over the weekend, Gen. McChrystal has issued repeated public mea culpas and was forced to fly to Washington for an in-person dressing down by the president. The apologies were not enough; Wednesday afternoon, President Obama announced that he had relieved Gen. McChrystal of duty as commander of the Afghan theater.
The makings of a Gulf strategic umbrella;
Secret arms depots in Syria;
AQI, on its heels;
A bond between the Brotherhood and ElBaradei;
Saudi Militants refuse rehabilitation
Some unexpected competition for Central Asian gas;
New homeland security measures for Russian transit
A week from today, a federal judge in San Diego has an opportunity to right a grievous wrong - to reverse last year's decision by the Department of Homeland Security to deny political asylum to a young Palestinian man who, over the course of a decade, prevented the deaths of potentially thousands of innocent people in Israel and the territories.
His name is Mosab Hassan Yousef and his life story, as recounted in his autobiographical Son of Hamas, reads like the best in historical fiction - though his extraordinary tale is true, confirmed by Israeli intelligence.
At long last, a Green charter;
The shipping shell game;
Religious sanction for "
special weapons"
Another incursion into Iraq
Vietnam and Japan get military hotlines with China;
More political reshuffling ahead of the 2012 Party Congress  
Beijing Maglev plans criticized in Chinese press;
China and Russia fret over heroin exports from Afghanistan
At the mouth of the sprawling plaza that houses Casablanca's magnificent Hassan II mosque overlooking the Atlantic Ocean lie two squat, ornate buildings. In these structures, flanked by neatly manicured gardens and largely unnoticed by the outside world, the Kingdom of Morocco is forging what could become one of the world's most potent weapons against Islamic extremism.
The buildings are the future site of a new Quranic school, which--once formally inaugurated in the coming year--will serve as a magnet educational institution for the country's religious students, as well as those from the rest of the region. Its objective, my guide told me, will be singular and unequivocal: "To promote Moroccan Islam. Tolerant Islam."
Number of female smokers, cancer patients skyrockets;
Taiwan universities to accept mainland students for first time
Whatever happened to the Green Movement? A year after the fraudulent reelection of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad galvanized a groundswell of popular outrage, protesters in the Islamic Republic are growing silent. This has led some observers to conclude that the country's counterrevolution has run its course. But a closer reading of events shows a movement that is still viable, if beleaguered.
China faces tough choices on Cheonan;
Hong Kong Dems press for independence
Ukraine, Georgia off NATO's agenda;
Putin, Medvedev split on Soviet legacy
North Korea's brazen, unprovoked torpedoing of a South Korean warship last month has refocused international attention - and criticism - on the Stalinist regime situated above the 38th Parallel. Beyond the public outrage now coming from Washington, however, it's painfully clear that the White House doesn't possess much by way of a coherent approach toward the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) or its "Dear Leader," Kim Jong-il.
China's largesse extends to Ethiopia;
Problems with China's new fighter jet China's largesse extends to Ethiopia;
Problems with China's new fighter jet
China's largesse extends to Ethiopia;
Problems with China's new fighter jet
America's strategy toward Iran is faltering. Nearly seven years after the disclosure of the Iranian regime’s nuclear program, and a year-and-a-half after the start of “engagement” on the part of the Obama administration, Washington has yet to see a substantive diplomatic breakthrough in the deepening international impasse over the Iranian regime’s nuclear ambitions. To the contrary, mounting evidence suggests that Iran’s rulers have used the strategic pause aff orded by American outreach to forge ahead with their nuclear endeavor, adding permanence to Iran’s increasingly mature and menacing atomic effort.
Multilateral eff orts at sanctions, meanwhile, have failed to keep pace with these advances. Between 2006 and 2008, three rounds of international sanctions were authorized and enacted by the United Nations Security Council, with little perceivable impact on Iran’s nuclear decisionmaking. A fourth round of sanctions has just been finalized by the United States and other Permanent Security Council members. Yet already, there are clear signs that this effort, like its predecessors, will fall far short of applying the broad, comprehensive economic pressure necessary for Iran to begin to rethink its nuclear drive.
As a result, the United States and its allies in the international community will soon be confronted by the stark binary choice best outlined by French President Nicolas Sarkozy several years ago: an Iran with the bomb, or the bombing of Iran. If it hopes to avoid such a state of affairs, the United States will need to marshal a comprehensive economic warfare strategy toward the Islamic Republic — one that leverages the latent vulnerabilities inherent in the Iranian economy to ratchet up the cost of the regime’s nuclear endeavor. Such an approach starts by focusing on six discrete areas of economic activity that could be used to alter the Iranian regime’s behavior.
So close, but so far away;
Controversial nuke deal for Pak-China;
Water disputes rise to the top of the Indo-Pak agenda;
Drone math
Britain warns Chinese telecom company engaged in espionage;
China serving as middleman for Burma/North Korea arms trade
Sevastopol extension creates turmoil in Kyiv;
More lustration on Katyn
China endures wave of attacks on schoolchildren;
South Korea fingers north in ship sinking, irked China hosts Kim
South Stream gathers steam;
A step forward in the Arctic
Another step forward for Nabucco;
North Korea arms bound for more than Iran?;
Turkey deal on Iran sanctions -- breakthrough or delay tactic?;
Turkmen leader endorses new party;
Political gridlock in Baghdad
China bolsters presence along Sino-Burmese border;
Taiwan military games simulate Chinese invasion
What a difference a few years can make. A little more than a decade ago, regional rivals Turkey and Syria nearly went to war over the latter's sponsorship of the radical Kurdish Workers Party in its struggle against the Turkish state. Today, however, cooperation rather than competition is the order of the day, as highlighted by recent news that the two have kicked off joint military drills for the second time in less than a year.
The thaw in Turkish-Syrian ties is a microcosm of the changes that have taken place in Ankara over the past decade. Since November of 2002, when the Islamist-oriented Justice and Development Party, or AKP, swept Bulent Ecevit's troubled secular nationalist coalition from power, Turkey has undergone a major political and ideological metamorphosis. Under the direction of its charismatic leader, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the AKP has redirected the Turkish ship of state, increasingly abandoning Mustafa Kemal Ataturk's ideas of a secular republic in favor of a more religious and ideologically driven polity.