Publications

China Reform Monitor No. 1406

February 25, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

Hubei party heads replaced over "botched outbreak response";
Xi ally installed in Hong Kong;
Huawei hit with more charges of racketeering and IPR theft;
Motorola wins $764.6 million in compensation from China's Hytera;
Pentagon supports restricted chip sales to Huawei

How The Revolutionary Guards Could Reshape Iran

February 24, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

Iran’s clerical army could decide that an internal transition is the best answer, and move to remove (or at least subordinate) the country’s current clerical elite. Such a step, after all, would allow the IRGC to preserve its current, extensive grip on national power while simultaneously working to alleviate economic pressure from the U.S. and reintegrate into the international community.

The Risks Of Sino-Saudi Partnership

February 20, 2020 Ilan I. Berman Al-Hurra Digital

What does Riyadh really think about China? It was one of the questions on my mind last week, when I led a research delegation to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia at the invitation of the country's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 5

February 20, 2020

Coronavirus nudges Japan toward recession;
U.S.-Philippines relationship on the rocks;
Australian officials cancel UK trip over Huawei;
Singapore targets political opposition, media with "fake news" law;
Quarantined Chinese workers delay Belt and Road projects

China Reform Monitor No. 1405

February 11, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

UK gives Huawei the green light...;
...while France chooses Nokia and Ericsson for 5G;
China's interference threatens New Zealand's role in "Five Eyes";
Danish PM responds to China over satirical flag drawing;
Student jailed for mocking Xi on Twitter while in the U.S.

China Reform Monitor No. 1404

February 7, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

Florida scientists fired for hiding participation in China program...;
...as Harvard chemistry chairman is arrested;
Apple: Beijing's requests for user data spiked in first half of 2019;
China has "no intention to participate" in arms talks;
U.S. sanctions Chinese companies for "funding Iran's terrorism"

China Reform Monitor No. 1403

February 4, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

China's largest independent film festival shuts down;
Beijing releases hundreds of billions to stem economic downturn;
Despite push for more babies, China's birthrate continues to fall;
PLA reforms military enlistment policies;
China's space plan for 2020

China Reform Monitor No. 1402

February 3, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

Beijing lashes out at Tsai and countries that congratulated her;
European Parliament passes pro-Taiwan resolutions;
U.S. warships transits Taiwan Strait after vote;
Shanghai suspends Prague ties over sister-city agreement with Taipei;
China must "face reality" of Taiwan's independence: Tsai

Trump’s Plan Forces Palestinian Choices

January 31, 2020 Ilan I. Berman Al-Hurra Digital

It's your move, Mahmoud Abbas. That's the basic message behind the Trump administration's long-awaited "deal of the century," which was unveiled publicly on Tuesday at a joint press conference between President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Washington needs to anticipate Iran’s next provocation

January 30, 2020 Lawrence J. Haas The Hill

Signs are mounting that in Tehran, which faces rising pressures at home and abroad, the country’s powerful hardline conservatives are circling the wagons, raising the odds of still more Iranian global provocations. The question is whether Washington — which continues to tighten the economic screws on Tehran — is ready for what might come next.

How Demographics Could Spark Change in Iran

January 25, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

For years, Iran’s ruling ayatollahs have grappled with a profoundly vexing problem: how best to maintain the loyalty of the country’s growing (and increasingly unruly) population. The question isn’t strictly a political one. It is also made significantly more complicated by the age of the Islamic Republic’s population, which cuts against the regime in key ways.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 4

January 17, 2020

China disrupts Mekong flow to force concessions;
Mongolia reaps the benefits the Xinjiang instability;
Cambodia's child labor problem;
Beijing's Hong Kong crackdown boomerangs in Taiwan;
North Korea's Kim threatens renewed missile tests

Russia Reform Monitor No. 2359

January 13, 2020 Margot van Loon

No breakthrough after Lavrov visit;
Moscow backs breathing room for Pyongyang;
Regional HIV crisis offers drug runners an opportunity;
Putin's constitutional plans;
Prison nightmare continues for Israeli-American tourist

China Reform Monitor No. 1401

January 9, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

China completes artificial island off Sri Lanka;
Laos seeks Chinese investment and tourists amid flurry if SEZs;
China's Cambodian port and airstrip stirs suspicions about PLA plans;
China's ''nine-dash line" claim "ridiculous": Malaysia FM;
Beijing's support for Micronesia may harm U.S. security links

The Real Start Of “Maximum Pressure” Against Iran

January 3, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

The targeting of Soleimani – which followed on the heels of U.S. military strikes on multiple facilities in Iraq operated by Kataib Hezbollah, a key Iranian regional proxy – has ushered in a qualitatively new phase in the Trump administration’s confrontation with Iran. Chances are, it will be one punctuated by heightened hostilities

China Reform Monitor No. 1400

January 3, 2020 Joshua Eisenman

161 U.S. House members call for trade agreement with Taiwan;
China's "great friendship" with Micronesia a strategic headache for the U.S.;
New code of conduct for journalists;
China responds harshly to soccer star's criticism of Uighur mistreatment;
Xinjiang program places Han men with Uighur women

The Quest For A New Iranian Constitution

January 2, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

The current quest for an Iranian constitution reflects a realization by opponents of the Iranian regime that, if they hope to galvanize support from the Iranian “street,” they need to paint a much clearer picture of the future they desire.

Security Challenges in Africa

December 31, 2019 Jacob McCarty Issue 26

The Kremlin Eyes Africa    

China in Africa    

The Challenge of North African Salafism 

The Promise And Peril Of Africa’s Cities

Competing for Africa: A Strategy for Partnerships against Predators