Publications

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 341

June 30, 2015

ISIS imposes fuel blockade;

Bahrain seizes explosives bound for Saudi Arabia;

Libya's Tripoli forces hit ISIS;

Turkey warns U.S. about Kurdish advances in Syria;

Yemeni rebels persist  

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 371

June 29, 2015

Pakistan discloses secret Taliban talks;

Vietnam assigns first Ambassador to Bhutan;

Bhutan is Indian Army's next priority;

Taliban attacks Kabul Parliament building Myanmar returns migrants to Bangladesh  

Understanding Cybersecurity - Part 3 | Cyber Crime

June 29, 2015 Richard M. Harrison

Cyber crime covers a wide range of activities that includes theft, fraud and harassment; stealing valuable intellectual property as part of industrial espionage; committing financial fraud and credit card theft; and disrupting internet services for ideological goals (“hacktivism”). The crimes target both firms and consumers, and while they rarely result in physical harm or property damage, there can still be severe consequences...

Supreme Irony

June 29, 2015 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Those in America's foreign policymaking circles who are concerned about the emerging U.S.-led nuclear agreement with Iran are increasingly pinning their hopes not on Washington changing its negotiating posture but, instead, on Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei walking away from the table.

Let’s Be Real: The South China Sea Is A US-China Issue

June 23, 2015 The Diplomat

On June 18, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Daniel Russel offered a press preview of the U.S.-China Strategic & Economic Dialogue (S&ED) now taking place in Washington, D.C. During the briefing Russel fielded a question about U.S. efforts to reduce tensions with China in the South China Sea. His response was surprising: "As important as [the] South China Sea is... it's not fundamentally an issue between the U.S. and China."

Why Iran’s Past Nuclear Actions Matter

June 22, 2015 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

It would be fair to say that the past year-and-a-half of nuclear talks with Iran has not been America's finest negotiating hour. But even by the comparatively low standards of U.S. diplomacy to date, the collapse of the American position in recent days has been nothing short of breathtaking.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 340

June 21, 2015

U.S. ends support to rival Shia groups in Lebanon;

Opposition wants Erdogan out of coalition talks;

Al Qaeda the "

lesser evil"

in Syria?';

Militias oppose ISIS in Libya;

More troops to Iraq to fight ISIS;

 

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 7

June 21, 2015

In Syria, a sinister synergy;

ISIS makes inroads in southeast Asia...;

...while Islamism flourishes in Central Asia;

Among the OIC nations, the start of a strategy;

The Dutch versus the veil;

How British Jihadis now find their way to the Syrian front

Erdogan Isn’t Finished

June 21, 2015 The American Interest

The euphoria to which Turkey’s June 7 election results have given rise calls to mind an oncology ward patient learning that an experimental protocol might slow the advance of her tumor. The elation is warranted in rough proportion to the desperation of the situation. In other words, good news is, like most things, relative.

Iran Strategy Brief No. 7: Iran’s Various Voices

June 16, 2015 Ilan I. Berman

Is the Islamic Republic of Iran a country or a cause? For decades, the question is one that has bedeviled Western observers. Foreign politicians and diplomats long have struggled to reconcile the Iranian regime’s radical rhetoric and destructive international behavior with its pragmatic participation in numerous treaty arrangements, and its prominent role in various multilateral forums.

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 370

June 15, 2015

Finally, a constitutional deal in Nepal;

ISIS and Taliban square off in Afghanistan;

India strikes militants across border in Myanmar;

China mining for rare earths in the Indian Ocean;

Carter in Delhi  

Another Day, Another Cave

June 15, 2015 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

If, as Marx taught, history repeats itself "first as tragedy, then as farce," then Washington's latest reported concession proves that U.S.-led nuclear negotiations with Iran have moved from the tragic to the farcical.

Don’t Rejoice Yet: Erdogan Could Still Win

June 14, 2015 Politico Europe

For 13 years, the escape routes from Turkey's political haunted-house have been shutting one by one. Suffocation seemed inevitable. The June 7 election, which resulted in the first hung parliament since 1999, cracked open a tiny window in the attic. Turkey's hope is now predicated upon an unlikely scenario: One in which every major political group exits from that window in an orderly fashion, even as the smoke is rising.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 339

June 10, 2015

Egypt's leader tries to rule as a one-man show after a year in office;

Georgia's leader warns of Russian expansion;

Libyan gains may offer ISIS a base for new attacks;

Turkey's new parliament features four key parties;

Trove seized in Syria opens window on ISIS  

 

Keep Trade About Trade

June 7, 2015 U.S. News & World Report

After a heated battle last month, the U.S. Senate voted to pass the Bipartisan Congressional Trade Priorities and Accountability Act of 2015, commonly known as trade promotion authority, which gives the president the ability to negotiate trade deals and submit them to Congress as a whole for an up or down vote, which, these days, is an essential step towards passage. The fight now moves to the House of Representatives, where passage is critical as both chambers must agree on the final text of the pending trade promotion authority bill.

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 6

June 4, 2015

Hard times for the PIJ;

Western strategy against the Islamic State: More of the same;

Turkey changes tack;

A Balkan anti-Islamism effort;

ISIS takes aim at the Taliban...;

...While the rift with Al-Nusra deepens

China’s Linked Struggles For Power

June 4, 2015 Joshua Eisenman The Wall Street Journal

The Chinese military is expanding disputed islands under its control in the South China Sea, alarming its neighbors. How worried should the world be that supreme leader Xi Jinping is making China into an expansionary power? The history of the People's Republic offers some useful clues.

The Difficulty of Being Bueno

June 2, 2015 Christine Balling Foreign Affairs

Juan Carlos Pinzon Bueno, Colombia's minister of defense, is constantly on the move, traveling all over the country to meet with members of the armed forces and citizens as part of his duties. At any given moment, he may be on a military base awarding medals to the wounded in action, in a helicopter surveying a ministry-funded resettlement village for a displaced indigenous tribe, or in a remote rural village once ravaged by rebel violence, inaugurating five miles of road rebuilt by the Army Corps of Engineers.

Get Ready To Scrap The Iran Nuclear Talks

June 1, 2015 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

"Interviews with scientists is completely out of the question and so is inspection of military sites," Abbas Araqchi, Iran's senior negotiator on its nuclear program, announced on state television on Saturday, just as Secretary of State John Kerry was conferring with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in a final push to meet the June 30 deadline for an Iran nuclear agreement.

Missile defense: evolving technology, and evolving threats

May 31, 2015 Issue 14

The Importance Of Missile Defense

Threat And Response: Missile Defense As Existential Requirement

Israel's Iron Dome: Lessons For The U.S.

Evolution And Adaptation: Improving Missile Defense

The Future Of Missile Defense: Technology And New Concepts Of Operation

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 369

May 25, 2015

India eyeing larger presence in Andamans;

Sri Lanka to launch war crimes investigation;

Maldives President visits Pakistan;

Beijing wants cooperation from Delhi on Indian ocean mining;

Taliban launches attacks on Badakhshan  

A Cautionary Tale

May 25, 2015 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

The U.S. government's vast apparatus for data collection touches every aspect of human activity. But how can a system that seemingly has the capability to know absolutely everything still get major events so wrong?

Global Islamism Monitor: No. 5

May 21, 2015

Britain's Jihadis return home;

Pushback in Tunisia;

How the Islamic state is sneaking into Europe;

The Islamic State's resilient terror economy;

In the Sahara, cracks in Islamist identification;

Australia's hard line  

The Economics Of Deterring Russia

May 21, 2015 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

When it comes to the prospects of war in Europe, perhaps we simply aren't asking the right questions. For months now, Russia watchers within the Beltway and in European capitals have been preoccupied with anticipating the next moves of Russian President Vladimir Putin in the year-old conflict taking place in Ukraine.

Beware China’s Grand Strategy

May 20, 2015 Foreign Affairs

Last month 57 nations applied to become founding members of China's newest creation: the Beijing-based Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). Ostensibly designed to help finance projects that sate Asia's expanding appetite for infrastructure, the AIIB has left Washington struggling over how to respond. Some applaud China for assuming greater international responsibility and wielding soft power to aid Asia's growth. Some oppose the move as undermining the U.S.-led economic order and using aid as a tool to advance China's strategic agenda.