Publications

A Deal With Two Devils

November 17, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Nothing better showcases Washington’s confusion over foreign policy than the idea that – as part of a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal – Iran would ship much or all of its enriched uranium to Russia, and Russia would then process it for Iranian civilian usage.

Clock Is Ticking To Arm Ukraine

November 16, 2014 Ilan I. Berman USA Today

Welcome to the Ukraine war, round two. In recent days, European observers, NATO forces and media outlets have all reported what amounts to a massive influx of Russian war material and personnel into Ukraine — a development that has fanned fears of a fresh cycle of violence between Moscow and Kiev. The news is a timely reminder that the conflict precipitated earlier this year by Russia's annexation of the Crimean Peninsula and subsequent efforts at subversion in eastern and southern Ukraine is, in fact, far from over.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 330

November 13, 2014

Iraq update;

Bahrain to publish names of terrorist financiers;

Saudi Arabia funds $3 billion in French arms to Lebanon;

Libyan city, Egyptian militants pledge allegiance to ISIS' Jordan dictates acceptable Islam to clerics  

Desperate And Dumb

November 10, 2014 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

Last month, President Barack Obama reportedly wrote a private letter to Iran's supreme leader, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, seeking to tie the fight against the Islamic State group to the ongoing negotiations over Iran's nuclear program. The White House purportedly sought to pressure Iran into reaching an agreement by the November 24 diplomatic deadline by hinting that failing to do so would affect American efforts against the Islamic State group.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 329

November 3, 2014

Lebanese military takes rebel stronghold;

Houthis battle Al-Qaeda with government support;

Fight against ISIS update;

Hopes dwindle for Boko Haram ceasefire

Israel — Wild Card

November 3, 2014 Ilan I. Berman National Review Online

To say U.S.–Israeli relations are on the rocks would be something of an understatement. It has been quite obvious for some time that diplomatic ties between Jerusalem and Washington have become badly frayed, with President Obama and Prime Minister Netanyahu failing to see eye to eye on a range of issues. Even so, bilateral relations are now unquestionably at a new nadir, as a recent bombshell article by Jeffrey Goldberg in The Atlantic details.

Missile Defense Can’t Wait

November 2, 2014 Stephen Blank Defense News

Russia shows no sign that it is willing to de-escalate tensions with the West. Indeed, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has made clear that he anticipates a long-term freeze in ties with Washington.

U. S. & European Perspectives of Current and Evolving Security Challenges

October 30, 2014 Richard M. Harrison

As we think through the role that the United States might play in addressing future security challenges in the European and Eurasian arenas in coming years, it would seem appropriate to have some indication of the thinking, thoughts, and ideas of our partners and allies—especially those in NATO. Americans may feel strongly about issues such as missile defense, countering terrorism and stopping Iran from developing a nuclear capability, but do European and Eurasian allies feel the same?...

Should We Be Worried About Iran’s Moves In The Western Hemisphere?

October 30, 2014 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

Sometimes, it's difficult to see the forest for the trees. Optimism may currently be running high in Washington that next month's deadline for negotiations will yield some sort of durable deal over Iran's nuclear program. But amid all of the diplomatic euphoria, one aspect of the Iranian challenge has received remarkably short shrift: its expanding presence and activities in our own hemisphere.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 328

October 26, 2014

Turkey steps closer to coalition against ISIS;

Houthi rebels 'welcome' new Yemeni Prime Minister;

Tunisia cracks down on extremism;

Baghdad bombings kill dozens;

Head of Iran's Basij threatens Saudi  

Missile Defense Briefing Report: No. 330

October 23, 2014

North Korea upgrades missile test site;

Chinese ICBM test highlights missile modernization...;

...as Pakistan thinks big;

Poland sticks to its guns;

U.S. one step closer to a gulf missile shield  

 

Back To The Bashing

October 20, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Western views toward Israel have returned to Kafkaesque normalcy after a brief break for sanity, as the United States now argues that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is making Islamic State group recruiting easier, and Europe punishes Israel and rewards the Palestinians for their ongoing conflict.

Crossing the Line At Odd Times: China-India Border Disputes

October 15, 2014 Foreign Policy

Last month yet another standoff at the disputed China-India border reached yet another peaceful conclusion, though not before spoiling the atmosphere of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s inaugural visit to India. In mid-September, as many as 1,000 Chinese soldiers crossed the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Ladakh, Kashmir and were met in a prolonged face-off by an equal number of Indian troops. While violations of the de facto border are a common affair, the conspicuous timing and motives of the latest intrusion, and its broader implications for Sino-Indian relations, merit greater scrutiny.

Is the Islamic State Islamic?

October 13, 2014 Library of Law & Liberty

Nothing could be more curious to Muslims than Western non-Muslims telling them what their religion is about. Would not Christians find it odd to hear from Muslims what the true meaning of their religion is? Nevertheless, after almost every terrorist act against a Westerner, particularly the more gruesome ones like beheadings, Western heads of state reflexively react with protestations that such acts are absolutely un-Islamic, despite the explicit claims of their perpetrators that they are done precisely as religious acts, as they exultantly declare, “Allahu Akbar.”

Giving Iran The Store

October 6, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas U.S. News & World Report

Monday's reported explosion at Iran's secretive Parchin nuclear site - leaving two dead and shattering windows 12 kilometers away - is welcome news to those concerned about Tehran's nuclear progress, but it's likely a mere blip on what seems an increasingly smooth Iranian road to nuclear weaponry.

For a host of reasons, Washington is growing ever-more desperate for a nuclear deal through which to claim a diplomatic victory, while Tehran is growing less concerned about the ultimate outcome of the ongoing talks and, not surprisingly, more intransigent about offering new concessions.

Russia and the West

September 30, 2014 Stephen Blank Issue 12

The Kremlin's Information Warfare

Moscow Between Islamic Challenges And Islamist Threats

The State Of Russia's Strategic Forces

Putin's Asymmetric Strategy: Lessons For The Future

Forging A Western-Nato Response

Obama’s Contradictory War

September 29, 2014 James S. Robbins U.S. News & World Report

The Obama administration’s strategy for destroying the Islamic State group, also known as ISIS or ISIL, forces the United States to take sides in Syria’s civil war. But in a three-way war, that can mean taking the wrong side.

Putin’s aggression won’t be stopped by sanctions

September 27, 2014 Lawrence J. Haas Deseret News

The president sets U.S. foreign policy but, with regard to Ukraine, Congress has an opportunity to push the United States in a more fruitful direction by approving bipartisan legislation from the Senate that would give Kiev $350 million in military aid to help it fend off Moscow’s advances.