Publications

We Will Be Haunted By Syria

June 13, 2012 Lawrence J. Haas International Business Times

"Life," the philosopher Soren Kierkegaard said, "must be lived forward, but can only be understood backwards."

What's true of individuals is true of nations. As we, as a nation, look back in an effort to understand our history, we invariably question some of the decisions we made -- and the horror we tolerated.

Economic Warfare against Iran

June 5, 2012 Avi Jorisch Galestone Institute

What is less understood is Tehran's abuse of the financial sector, banks, front companies, and other deceptive techniques to evade controls responsible countries have instituted to stop it from achieving nuclearization.

India Key to U.S. Afghan Success

June 1, 2012 The Diiplomat

With two important diplomatic victories last month, the Obama administration has laid the groundwork for the final chapters of the Afghan war.

China and Africa: A Century of Engagement

May 31, 2012 Joshua Eisenman University of Pennsylvania Press

The People's Republic of China once limited its involvement in African affairs to building an occasional railroad or port, supporting African liberation movements, and loudly proclaiming socialist solidarity with the downtrodden of the continent.

Global sanctions on Iran are working; relaxing them now would be foolhardy

May 30, 2012 Lawrence J. Haas McClatchy Newspapers

Calls to ease sanctions on Iran to spur global negotiations over its nuclear program will backfire, making a deal far less likely and greatly raising the risk of an Israeli military strike to cripple the program.

To its proponents, sanctions-easing is a necessary confidence-boosting measure to assure Iran that the United States and the other "P5+1" negotiators - Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China - want a deal.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 259

May 20, 2012

Azerbaijan-Israel ties continue to grow;

Who is poisoning Afghan school children?;

Alleged Israeli spy executed in Iran;

Where in the world is Mohammed Rashid?

Iran Woos Bolivia For Influence In Latin America

May 20, 2012 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek/Daily Beast

One of the most dangerous places in the Western Hemisphere is the city of Warnes, Bolivia, which lies a few kilometers outside the country’s industrial capital of Santa Cruz. There, set back in an open field off a bustling highway, is the new regional defense school of the Bolivarian Alliance of the Americas, or ALBA—the eight-member economic and geopolitical bloc founded by Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez and Cuba’s Fidel Castro nearly a decade ago.

Iran, the next cyberthreat

May 13, 2012 Ilan I. Berman Washington Times

Since taking office in 2009, the Obama administration has made cybersecurity a major area of policy focus. The past year in particular has seen a dramatic expansion of governmental awareness of cyberspace as a new domain of conflict. In practice, however, this attention is still uneven. To date, it has focused largely on network protection and resiliency (particularly in the military arena) and on the threat potential of countries such as China and Russia. Awareness of what is perhaps the most urgent cybermenace to the U.S. homeland has lagged behind the times.

Drug War at Sea: Rise of the Narco Subs

May 12, 2012 Avi Jorisch Newsweek/Daily Beast

After a two-year manhunt, the United States Drug Enforcement Agency last week arrested Colombian drug kingpin Javier Antonio Calle Serna, a senior leader of Los Rastrojos, one of the country’s most formidable drug-trafficking organizations. After being indicted last summer by the Eastern District of New York, Serna reportedly felt so squeezed by the agency and rival drug dealers that he began negotiating for his surrender.

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 258

May 10, 2012

Syrian hackers attack Qatar and Saudi Arabia;

Hamas and Islamic jihad elections;

Israeli nuclear submarines to counter Iran;

Tajikistan cracks down on Islamist groups

The Persistence Of Al-Qaeda

April 30, 2012 Ilan I. Berman Forbes.com

Have we well and truly entered the “post-al-Qaeda era”? A year after Osama Bin Laden’s death at the hands of U.S. commandos, some experts and commentators are taking to the idea that the threat which preoccupied U.S. foreign policy for the past decade is now all but ancient history.

Iran Democracy Monitor: No. 119

April 24, 2012

Iran combats mounting sanctions with cash payouts...;

...But domestic discontent continues to deepen;

Iran ramps up its war on drugs;

After the coalition, Iraqi insurgents focus on Iran;

Iranian regime seeks help censoring the internet

South Asia Security Monitor: No. 286

April 19, 2012

India successfully tests new IRBM;

Fearing Afghan withdrawal, Russia looks to help NATO;

Pakistan issues new guidelines to resume ties with U.S.;

Taliban open spring offensive with brazen attack

Eurasia Security Watch: No. 257

April 19, 2012

Conflict in Kyrgyz government over Manas transit center;

Syrian refugees spilling into Turkey;

Maliki: the next rogue Middle Eastern leader?;

Tajikistan and Uzbekistan quarrel over resources

Faulty assumptions on Iran: Hearkening to regime’s apologists will only put us in greater danger

April 19, 2012 Washington Times

Has the endgame on the Iranian nuclear program finally arrived? Is a deal in the cards? A broad swath of the foreign-policy cognoscenti, including Newsweek’s Fareed Zakaria, the National Interest’s Paul Pillar, The Washington Post’s Walter Pincus, Esquire’s Richard Barnett and a host of others, seems to think so. They are optimistic about the current round of negotiations between Iran and the West and confident that - even if negotiations should somehow break down - Iran will not, indeed cannot, pose a real threat to the United States.

Assad’s Success Could Lead to Alliance With Gulf States

April 18, 2012 International Business Times

Will the Assad regime's suppression of its own version of the "Arab Spring" transform Syria into an unwavering ally of Iran and spell long-term hostility between Damascus and the Gulf Arab states now financing the Syrian rebels, as many now seem to believe? Not likely. Alliances in the Middle East are always in flux, and the Syrian case is no different. In fact, the Gulf States could find significant opportunity within their current adversity with Damascus.