Russia Policy Monitor No. 2615
War and elections distort Russia's economy;
A new nuclear scandal, of sorts;
A much-needed prisoner exchange;
DPRK materiel aids Russian aggression…;
...as Moscow eyes more arms from Tehran
War and elections distort Russia's economy;
A new nuclear scandal, of sorts;
A much-needed prisoner exchange;
DPRK materiel aids Russian aggression…;
...as Moscow eyes more arms from Tehran
A radicalized Palestinian "street"...;
...Complicates Israel's plans for the "day after";
New signs of life to al-Qaeda;
The Taliban's war on women, continued
TikTok content aligns with Beijing's interests;
China uses AI to turbocharge spying on the U.S...;
...as U.S. ramps up spying on China;
Xi removes dozens of senior military officials
To sustain continued Western support, Kyiv needs to showcase its anti-corruption efforts, reject Chinese investment, and broaden the policy conversation.
Since 2020, Western officials have largely shifted their focus to tackling other Chinese tech threats — TikTok, semiconductors and artificial intelligence among them. Meanwhile, Huawei has quietly enjoyed a resurgence across several product lines.
Sudan's civil war causes a deepening humanitarian crisis;
Kyiv tries an end run in Africa...;
...As Moscow seeks to capitalize on declining U.S. popularity;
France has left the building;
China sought to influence 2022 U.S. elections;
Taiwan colonel offered $15 million to defect on military helicopter;
China curbs the video game industry;
China floods Taiwan with disinformation ahead of election;
Florida's new law blocks Chinese students from academic labs
Akunin on the outs;
The case for seizing Russian assets;
Russia issues a warning;
Jitters in Amsterdam;
Now, New Delhi tilts towards Moscow
COVID-19 Lessons Learned
Parsing the Great Gain of Function Debate
China’s Evolving Thinking About Biotechnology
The Case for a Biotechnology Export Control Regime
Understanding the Cyberbiosecurity Threat
Hong Kong voters spurn "patriots only" election;
China hacks U.S. infrastructure;
China's falling fertility rate now "an unavoidable norm";
Chinese Facebook accounts spread fake news in India;
Satellite images show China is building in Bhutan
One step closer to membership in Europe...;
...amid remaining hurdles;
What Ukrainans worry about;
Corruption continues to plague Ukraine's military;
The key to successful reconstruction
al-Qaeda exploits Burkina's disarray...;
...while Manila's war on terror gets bloodier;
How the Bin Laden network is adapting;
Hamas leadership goes to ground
Parsing Russian disinformation in Africa;
Russian propaganda and the Ukraine aid debate;
Iran ups the informational ante;
China innovates in "cognitive warfare"
Russia’s hidden epidemic;
Japan ups the ante;
What has happened to Navalny?;
Coup-proofing the Kremlin;
Thinking beyond Ukraine
Hong Kong to make primary education more "patriotic";
Moody's downgrades eight Chinese banks and Hong Kong;
Beijing warns local authorities about falsifying economic data;
Bank bans bearish research, displays of wealth;
Chinese ship damaged Baltic gas pipeline, Finland and Estonia say
The (not so) Islamic Republic of Iran;
Iran steps up pressure on Afghan refugees;
Iran's regime doubles down on gender apartheid;
The Iran-Hamas relationship, explained
On January 13, 2024, the Republic of China, also known as “Nationalist China” and Taiwan, will hold its next presidential election. This will be the eighth direct election of a president in Taiwan, the first having been held in 1996. It will also be a contest that showcases the island’s changing identity politics, shifting political preferences, and potential security challenges.
China hosts hundreds of Taiwan politicians before key election;
Treasury creates strike force to stop China's fentanyl;
China has hacked UK nuclear site for years;
PLA warships dock at Cambodia's new naval base;
Italy backs out of the BRI
Nearly two years into its war against Ukraine, the Kremlin gives no signs it is prepared to give up on its campaign of conquest.
Toward a Russian "panopticon";
Prioritizing guns over butter;
Russia, Iran deepen military ties;
How Republicans plan to help Kyiv win
An attempted pogrom in Dagestan;
...Revives regional worries;
A helping hand from Pyongyang;
An alternative to the Kerch Bridge
Unrest on the China-Myanmar border;
Meta removes China's online influence networks;
Ukraine destroys key railway linking China and Russia;
U.S. lawmakers fear a "flood" of Chinese EVs from Mexico;
China eases its pressure campaign on Lithuania
Investing in new nuclear fuel;
Now is the time for quantum clocks;
Circumventing semiconductor sanctions;
Is augmented reality back on track?;
Drifting toward real-world tractor beams
Wars have a way of clarifying a great many things, and of reshuffling existing partnerships in profound ways. This is what's happening with Israel's views of China and Russia, which are now undergoing a redefinition because of its current conflict with terrorist organization Hamas.
With Israel and Hamas still vowing to destroy one another, and with full combat resuming after a tenuous truce, Washington says it doesn’t want to do anything to provoke Iran into a wider regional conflict.
The geopolitical environment surrounding Central Asia and the Caucasus has changed dramatically over the past decade, with important implications for American and European interests. Regional and great powers have accorded the region ever greater attention, and the regional states themselves have developed a greater agency in responding to the geopolitical challenges confronting them. European, and in particular American, perceptions of the region have not kept up with these changes and are in need of updating.
Zelenskyy takes aim at cyber defense officials;
Combatting corruption is key to Ukraine's EU quest;
Kyiv eyes military medical reform;
Securing the "day after";
Protecting the military from graft
Taiwan ramps up arrests of China's spies;
U.S. provides arms, training to Taiwan's military;
$1 trillion in developing country debt to China is coming due;
China expands its naval base in Cambodia;
Nepal's new Chinese-built airport investigated for corruption
Is Wagner wading into the Mideast's newest conflict;
Qatar brokers the return...of Ukrainian children;
The geopolitical cost of the Ukraine war;
...And the human ones;
Goodbye to the CFE;
Moscow seeks a Libyan foothold
Public Opinion and Great Power Competition in the Global South
China's Eroding Global Image
China's Struggle for Discourse Power in the Middle East
Latin America In The Geopolitical Crosshairs
How to Contest Beijing’s Gains in the “Global South”
TikTok shapes the debate over Israel and Hamas;
...And spreads Al-Qaeda's creed...;
...Garnering new scrutiny in the U.S.;
Silencing TikTok in Nepal
Beijing continues its crackdown on business;
China stocks up on staple crops;
Nepal bans TikTok for spreading malicious content;
Thailand rejects China's police patrol plan;
Applied materials faces probe for selling chips to China
Accusations roil India-Canada ties;
New Maldivian President vows a cold shoulder for India;
China's diplomacy a sign of growing interest in Afghanistan...;
...As Kabul comes aboard the Belt and Road;
Alarm over Pakistan's plan to expel illegal Afghan migrants;
The diplomatic costs of Chinese loans
Chinese firms diversifying out of China: HSBC CEO;
Britain and Taiwan expand ties, China not happy;
Estonia approves Taipei office, PRC envoy threatens to leave;
China's largest chipmaker sees 80% drop in third-quarter profits;
The Philippines accuses China of "unprovoked coercion
Is "rods from god" a fraud?;
Upgrading quantum information storage;
Making directed energy more efficient;
Hypersonics get plasma protection;
Chinese gets better at sub-scanning
Are we heading for AI Armageddon;
China's green rocket innovation;
Israel advances in autonomous warfare;
Wanted: anti-tank UAVs;
A new way to defeat loitering munitions
Kenya has a longstanding reputation as a stable democracy, but recent violent protests have drawn concern from other African states, and from the international community.
Surkov's new big idea...;
...and the Kremlin response;
Russian hackers target the U.S. federal government;
Back to the Red Army;
Hamas courts the Kremlin
Behind the lofty rhetoric lies a sobering question: Does the White House truly want Ukraine to win? The answer is less clear-cut than it appears.
Xi: Chinese women must start "new trend of family";
Rich Chinese move themselves, assets out of the PRC;
More Chinese are braving Panama's jungle to reach the U.S.;
Popular social media users must reveal their identities;
PLA General: China will "crush foreign interference," "severely punish" Taiwan secessionists
As Sino-US relations have deteriorated, concerns have grown in Washington over its ability to defeat China in a major conflict.
Israel is facing all-too-predictable global pressure to scale back its military operation in Gaza to spare innocent lives and prevent a regional conflict that could draw in Iran, the United States, and other nations.
How America is thinking about Ukrainian corruption;
Seeking Europe's approval;
Desperately seeking new judges
Spy chiefs warn of Chinese espionage on an "epic scale";
China, Pakistan sign $7 billion rail deal;
Beijing elevates ties with Taliban at BRF;
Sri Lanka reaches $4.2 billion debt deal with China;
China officially renames "Tibet" as "Xizang"
A cold shoulder for Moscow at Turtle Bay;
Ukraine and Israel: a common fight;
More pressure on Team Navalny;
A new source of military conscripts;
How European firms are circumventing sanctions on Russia
ted the works of Ibn Sina and Biruni, S. Frederick Starr focuses also on their lives and the times in which they lived. By contextualizing their work and by making the age palpable to the reader, S. Frederick Starr gives the achievements of Ibn Sina and Biruni a holistic and unforgettably human dimension.
Israel shouldn't wait to invade Gaza City.
China's campaign of harassment;
Former Bank of China boss arrested;
China's first hydrogen-powered ship sets sail;
China deports hundreds of North Koreans;
Set free, Cheng Lei welcomed back in Australia
The downside of monetizing X;
How AI is turbocharging disinformation;
China stokes the disinformation fires;
Indonesia protects its economy... by banning TikTok
Ever since the Hamas terrorist group carried out its savage campaign against Israel nearly two weeks ago, countless observers have nervously watched the start of what, as of this writing, stands as a real risk of spiraling into a regional war.