Eurasia Security Watch: No. 212
Lebanon gets a new government;
The IMU ascendant;
Saudi joins fray against rebels in Yemen;
Iraq clears hurdle for national election
Lebanon gets a new government;
The IMU ascendant;
Saudi joins fray against rebels in Yemen;
Iraq clears hurdle for national election
Medvedev's eco-friendly agenda;
Another stage-managed electoral win
The primary purpose of U.S. public diplomacy is to explain, promote, and defend American principles to audiences abroad. This objective goes well beyond the public affairs function of presenting and explaining the specific policies of various administrations. Policies and administrations change; principles do not, so long as the United States remains true to itself. Public diplomacy has a particularly vital mission during war, when the peoples of other countries, whether adversaries or allies, need to know why we fight. After all, it is a conflict of ideas that is behind the shooting wars, and it is that conflict which must be won to achieve any lasting success.
Sino-ASEAN friction on the horizon;
Showdown looms between China and Somali pirates
"This is the way the world ends," T.S. Eliot wrote in his epic 1925 poem "The Hollow Men," "not with a bang but a whimper." Had he written it today, Eliot could easily have been speaking about the strategic divorce taking place between Israel and Turkey - a monumental decoupling with the power to alter the correlation of forces in the greater Middle East.
Al Qaeda threatens Beijing;
India: China fueling rebel arms market
Don't let the atmospherics fool you. The inaugural U.S.-Iranian parlay that took place in Geneva on Oct. 1 may have netted a pair of notable diplomatic concessions from the Islamic Republic, namely, a commitment to open its recently disclosed nuclear facility in Qom to international inspectors, and agreement in principle to having at least a portion of its nuclear cycle carried out on foreign soil. But Tehran is already giving indications of reverting to type.
In the wake of talks with Washington, Iranian officials have taken pains to reaffirm that they still view their nuclear program as an "inalienable" right. Not surprisingly, they have nixed the idea of foreign enrichment, demanded nuclear fuel imports from abroad, and announced plans to install a new generation of even faster centrifuges at the previously clandestine uranium plant in Qom. The message is clear: No matter the diplomatic niceties, Iran's nuclear program is not up for grabs.
Walking back the dog on democracy promotion;
Iran finds opportunity within adversity;
A new monopoly for the Pasdaran;
Scrambling to thwart gasoline sanctions
Jiang attempting to reassert power;
Chinese voices begin calling for yuan's rise
Iran and the S-300 issue;
U.S.-Japanese cooperation faces the financial ax;
"
Juniper Cobra"
prepares for Mideast conflict;
Slowly but surely, Obama missile defense plan gains ground
Russia's booming nuclear trade;
Demographic fortunes continue their decline
The problem of North Korea has bedeviled policy makers in Washington for years. The notoriously opaque Stalinist state that sits above the 38th Parallel represents one of the world’s most intractable security dilemmas. Starting this spring, however, the challenge posed by Pyongyang has grown more acute. The defiant series of nuclear and ballistic tests carried out by Kim Jong Il in May has brought into sharp focus the growing threat posed by the North’s strategic arsenal—and precipitated a frenzy of international activity in response.
Iraq reverses course: no referendum on security agreement;
UAE enters nuclear club with a bang...;
...while snubbing Iran;
A Saudi-Syrian rapprochement?;
Turkey continues the hunt for al-Qaeda
Role of PAP clarified;
Cheap goods generate backlash in Iran
Prime Minister Medvedev?;
Still planning for a NATO invasion
Sino-Burmese border growing unstable;
China, India cancel annual war games
A more market-based approach to Russian energy;
Kremlin eyes on the Arctic prize
What's in a name? This spring, the Obama administration ignited a political firestorm when it replaced the phrase "war on terror" with the more antiseptic "overseas contingency operations." The turn of phrase led critics of the administration to conclude that, when it came to confronting our terrorist foes, the White House was trading substance for style.
Recent events have done little to dispel that notion. As John Brennan, the president's top adviser on counterterrorism, told an audience at the prestigious Center for Strategic and International Studies back in August, Team Obama defines the current conflict quite differently from its predecessor - as neither a "war on terrorism" nor a "global" struggle.
In the eight years since Sept. 11, the U.S. has devoted a great deal of funding and thinking to the struggle against radical Islam. There's at least one area where it's fallen short, though: It hasn't mounted a serious economic challenge to the activities and ideologies of terrorist groups on a grassroots level.
Pak: We want PEACE without the strings;
Advanced U.S. aircraft to India;
Indian embassy in Afghanistan struck for second time;
Sri Lanka: civil war over but defense budget rising
China, neighbors harden claims to Spratleys;
CCP bugging cabs in Beijing
The deepening Russo-Venezuelan relationship;
A missile defense victory for Moscow
SECDEF: China focused on “
narrowing strategic options”
of U.S.;
China in $16 billion oil deal with Venezuela  
GMD, RIP;
Mistiming the Iranian missile threat?;
The mirage of "
zero"
Sounding the alarm over al-Qaeda in Yemenl Hamas reconsiders strategy;
All eyes on Turkey and missile defense;
Iraq's political map takes shape
How Iran sees Geneva;
Obstructionism from Beijing;
Reading the tea leaves in Riyadh;
The Pasdaran in Afghanistan;
Montazeri versus the IRI
Russian-Iraqi relations inch toward normalcy;
Moscow's power play
Bringing Belarus back into the fold;
Reviving the Syrian client-state relationship
Editorial raises concerns about China's health care overhaul;
Russia hints at interest in Chinese border control equipment
Beijing rooting out Triad connections within the party;
Unrest still brewing in Xinjiang
Perhaps the most surprising thing about the Obama administration's decision last Thursday to scrap missile-defense deployments in Poland and the Czech Republic is that it was so long in coming. Mr. Obama has defended his decision on both technical and financial grounds. The Bush administration's plans to deploy ground-based interceptors in Poland and early warning radars in the Czech Republic were targeted as part of his campaign pledge to eliminate billions of dollars in missile-defense spending. Instead, the White House now has pledged to develop a new theater and sea-based missile-defense architecture for Europe that "will provide stronger, smarter, and swifter defenses of American forces and America's allies." But what about defense of America?
New Delhi courts Maldives for Indian Ocean expansion;
Tables turned in Swat;
Nepal muzzles Tibetan protesters;
U.S. Irked at Pak modifying missiles
NEW PROLIFERATION SANCTIONS BEGIN TO BITE;
A SHAKE UP IN IRAQI POLITICS;
THE IMU: ALIVE AND KICKING?;
IN RIYADH, INTROSPECTION...;
...AND NEW DANGERS
Russia's version of net-centric warfare;
"
Root causes"
in the Caucasus
Watching the watchmen;
A new nuclear client for Moscow
When the Fatah Central Committee convened its sixth party conference last month in Bethlehem -- the first such meeting in twenty years and the first ever held on Palestinian Authority territory -- one might have expected a bit of soul-searching. After all, more than two decades after the Palestine Liberation Organization and its main political faction met America's prerequisites for a dialogue by rhetorically recognizing Israel's right to exist, renouncing terrorism, and accepting United Nations Resolution 242, a casual observer might assume that a re-examination of revolutionary principles was in order. Yet nothing of the sort occurred.
After months of dithering and delay, the Iranian government appears to have grudgingly accepted the U.S. president's diplomatic overtures. Just shy of the deadline for dialogue set by the White House, the Islamic Republic has announced its readiness to offer new "proposals" for talks over its nuclear program.
The move is a political victory of sorts for Obama, who has made "engagement" with Iran a centerpiece of his Middle East policy. But it might end up being a Pyrrhic victory. If true to form, Iran will likely try to use the upcoming talks with Washington the same way it did previous ones with Europe -- as a way to play for time and add permanence to its nuclear project. For Obama to convince Iran's rulers that the costs of their nuclear effort will far outweigh the perceived benefits, talking alone won't be enough; the White House will need real leverage over Tehran.
China signs blockbuster gas deal with Australia;
Beijing warns lawyers not to handle Xinjiang cases
Vietnam, China spar over fishing in disputed waters;
PLA worried about "
poisoned arrows"
YouTube and Twitter
A Carrot for Tehran;
Tredpidation in Tashkent;
Pipelines and Nukes in Turkey;
An Iranian hand in Yemen's unrest?
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said recently in Thailand that if Iran acquires a nuclear weapon, the U.S. will offer allies in the Middle East a "defense umbrella" to prevent Iranian intimidation. That's a fine sentiment, but it raises the question: Are we capable of doing so?
The answer is more complicated than most people think. The proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and associated delivery systems since the collapse of the Soviet Union means that any "defense umbrella" will require the deployment of missile defense technologies capable of neutralizing a potential salvo of nuclear-tipped missiles—whether from Iran or another rogue such as North Korea.
Yet America's missile-defense efforts are being scaled back. Congress is contemplating a $1.4 billion reduction to the Pentagon's budget for antimissile capabilities.
Beijing to institute rural pension system;
Chinese pharma industry surging
BMD's shifting focus;
A makeover for GBI?;
Arms control versus the RRW;
The maturing Iranian ballistic missile threat
China and India in South Asian railway race;
China trains "
special cadres"
of Uighur police for Xinjiang
In Saudi Arabia, near miss by al Qaeda;
Sinopec finds a different way to Iraqi oil;
Saudis and Russians near massive arms deal...;
as Mideast takes top spot in arms purchases;
Progress for Turkey and Armenia
Defiant in Tehran;
How Iran sees energy sanctions;
A legal offensive
Death and consequences in Chechnya;
A future arena for Sino-Russian competition
Gazprom's master plan;
Sevastopol... and after
Chinese business activities face scrutiny in Africa;
Sino-Syrian media partner for new Arab language channel
One step forward in Israel...;
...and the United States;
Iran's enduring interest in ballistic missiles;
Back in the USSR;
A speed bump for U.S.-Japanese cooperation