Publications

Propaganda enables Putin’s aggression

December 20, 2021 Ilan I. Berman The Hill

[T]he Russian government’s current mobilization is designed with some clear goals in mind: to advance its standing at home and improve its strategic posture abroad. It’s an approach that’s succeeding on both fronts — and the reasons have everything to do with propaganda.

China Reform Monitor No. 1486

December 14, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

China, Russia, sign 5-year military cooperation agreement;
China's Coast Guard intimidates Philippine vessels;
To Beijing's chagrin, Taiwan opens office in Lithuania;
New textbooks reflect Xi Jinping's dominance;
PLA puts advanced tech at center of reform

Bosnia: The Next Hotspot Russia Creates Trouble In?

December 7, 2021 Kate Flaherty 19FortyFive

Last month marked the 26th anniversary of the Dayton Accords, a monumental and controversial peace agreement that ended one of the most violent wars in Southeastern Europe’s history. On November 21, 1995, the United States brokered the agreement that ended three years of ethnic violence and genocide in Bosnia & Herzegovina, which had broken out in the wake of Yugoslavia’s dissolution. The Dayton Accords, signed by the presidents of Bosnia, Croatia, and Serbia, laid out new terms for the people of Bosnia, including a tripartite presidency that would represent each of the three major ethnicities: Bosniaks, Serbs, and Croats. The accords resulted in an uneasy, but relatively stable peace.

China Reform Monitor No. 1485

December 7, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

India builds tunnel to supply troops along China border; 
China builds mockups of U.S. Navy ships for missile target practice;
As births decline so does China's population;
Taiwan government shutters China center at premier university;
Seoul scrambles fighter jets as Chinese, Russian aircraft enter ADIZ
 

Russia Reform Monitor No. 2499

December 6, 2021 Ilan I. BermanKate Flaherty

Russian plans to shut down NGO roil Berlin;
Citizen apathy aids "foreign agent" policies;
A Russian show of force in support of Belarus;
India risks U.S. sanctions for Russian defenses;
Putin talks Belarus migrant crisis;
Ukraine crisis highlights U.S. intelligence shortfalls

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 22

December 6, 2021 Andrew Hartnett

Washington, Seoul once again seek to officially end Korean War;
Israel and India announce 10-year defense cooperation plan;
Beijing lobbies for ASEAN to include Burma's junta...; 
...while backstopping the Tatmadaw;
India-Pakistan feud delays critical food aid to Afghanistan
 

China’s Environmental Threat to Antarctica

December 1, 2021 Alexander B. Gray The Wall Street Journal

While much of the world was focused on the recent climate summit in Scotland, China had its eye on a very different environmental issue. For the fifth year in a row, China, with Russian assistance, used an international forum to prevent the establishment of new marine protected areas along the coast of Antarctica. Beijing is increasingly interested in the southern continent, and for all the wrong reasons.

Tehran sets the table in Vienna

November 30, 2021 Ilan I. Berman Washington Examiner

What precisely does the Biden administration want to accomplish in its diplomacy with Iran? With new talks over Iran's nuclear program now underway in Vienna, it’s a question worth asking.

Russia Reform Monitor No. 2498

November 29, 2021 Ilan I. BermanKate Flaherty

Gazprom to Europe's rescue;
Navalny ally behind bars;
Prosecutors dismiss case against torture whistleblower;
U.S.-Ukrainian ties strengthen over Russian military concerns;
A new Russian missile system on the way?;
France frets over Wagner's potential deal in Mali

China Reform Monitor No. 1484

November 26, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

India deploys U.S., Israeli weapons system along China border;
China's carbon emissions set to surpass pre-pandemic levels;
Northern China sees heavy smog and coal production spike;
China's $440 billion nuclear buildout;
As new law takes effect, Yahoo and LinkedIn leave China
 

Iran, Like China, Isn’t a Responsible Stakeholder

November 26, 2021 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

In a much-publicized address in 2005, then-Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick laid out the prevailing wisdom in Washington regarding the proper way to approach the People's Republic of China (PRC). "Chinese leaders have decided that their success depends on being networked with the modern world," Zoellick argued before the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations. As a result, he contended, the U.S. needed to make every effort to turn the PRC into a "responsible stakeholder" on the world stage.

China Reform Monitor No. 1483

November 17, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

U.S. intel official warns: China seeks to dominate advanced tech;
China's cyberspace administration to eliminate "illegal publishing and reprinting";
U.S. revokes license of China telecom;
Hong Kong passes new film censorship law;
Beijing wants "new media platforms that cover the entire world"

Russia Reform Monitor No. 2495

November 15, 2021 Ilan I. BermanKate Flaherty

The curious case of Kirill Zhalo;
Moscow businesses struggle with lockdown closures;
Russia says U.S. presence in Black Sea provocative;
Russia plows ahead with submarine modernization;
"Non-working days" extended in five Russian regions;
Polish PM accuses Putin of masterminding migrant crisis
 

China Reform Monitor No. 1482

November 12, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

Biden vows to defend Taiwan if China attacks;
U.S. warns of Beijing's efforts to collect genetic data;
China-based hackers attack Hillel Yaffe Medical Center;
China to build outpost for Tajik forces near Xinjiang, Afghan border;
China rations electricity and diesel amid shortages

Russia Reform Monitor No. 2496

November 5, 2021 Ilan I. BermanKate Flaherty

Russia's "non-working week" begins with grim markers;
Natural gas reversal a signal to Europe;
Russia comes to the climate change table:
Russia focuses on nuclear, missile modernization;
The tense Russian-Ukrainian border;
Bringing North Korea in from the cold

Egypt’s Biggest Worry Is Its Population

October 27, 2021 Ilan I. Berman Al-Hurra Digital

Today, the Egyptian state faces no shortage of strategic threats, ranging from instability emanating from the ongoing crisis next door in Libya to an escalating conflict with nearby Ethiopia over access to the Nile. Yet its biggest long-term challenge is a distinctly domestic one: the quickening pace of its own population.

China Reform Monitor No. 1481

October 25, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

Harvard Beijing Academy moves to Taipei;
U of HK orders removal of statue commemorating Tiananmen protests;
Tight funding, facility shortages top list of education challenges;
Xi pushes property tax legislation;
China provides economic and political support to the Taliban

Russia Reform Monitor No. 2494

October 25, 2021 Ilan I. BermanKate Flaherty

After September's vote, fissures in the Russian opposition;
Russia freezes diplomatic ties to NATO;
Moscow heads toward partial lockdown;
The Kremlin holds Afghan stability talks;
Communist Party's first electoral lawsuit shot down;
Russia fears a strong Ukraine

China Reform Monitor No. 1480

October 22, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

Mental health survey: Many cases of depression, lack of treatment;
News leaks of U.S. secretly training Taiwan forces...;
...as Beijing warns Washington;
Microsoft to shut down LinkedIn app in China;
Apple Store crackdown hits holy books and Amazon's Audible

Is a sanctions rethink in the works?

October 21, 2021 Lawrence J. Haas The Hill

The Biden administration’s announcement that it will limit economic sanctions as a tool of foreign policy could prove significant, since it follows two decades in which policymakers of both parties dramatically increased the use of sanctions against governments, individuals, and entities that they considered bad actors.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 21

October 19, 2021 Andrew Hartnett

​With AUKUS, Canberra serves notice to Beijing;
As China increases air sorties, Taiwan signals Australia and America;
BRI frustration festers in Beijing's backyard;
Vietnam angles to offset China's influence over Laos and Cambodia;
North Korea shows growing signs of strains in public health, economy

Africa Political Monitor No. 16

October 12, 2021 Ashton McGeeJacob McCarty

Industry report: China-DRC mining deal "unconscionable";
Ethiopia's national airline implicated in weapons shipments...;
...as Ahmed closes Ethiopian embassy in Dublin;
Egypt eyes Africa's tech market;
Algeria's circle of friends gets smaller

Resource Security Watch No. 40

October 7, 2021 Annie SwingenAlex Chavez

Crimean drought escalates tensions between Ukraine and Russia;
Climate change and the military;
Congress focuses on rare earths as part of infrastructure bill...;
...and in new legislation;
After withdrawal, a new contest over Afghanistan

China Reform Monitor No. 1479

October 5, 2021 Joshua Eisenman

PLA suffers from shortage of recruits and "low troop morale";
Lithuania urges Europeans to toss Chinese phones;
Huawei Chairman: U.S. sanctions to blame for $30-$40B in revenue loss;
China makes all cryptocurrency transactions illegal;
Facing crisis, Beijing orders energy firms to secure supplies