Articles

Trump’s Plan Forces Palestinian Choices

January 31, 2020 Ilan I. Berman Al-Hurra Digital

It's your move, Mahmoud Abbas. That's the basic message behind the Trump administration's long-awaited "deal of the century," which was unveiled publicly on Tuesday at a joint press conference between President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Washington needs to anticipate Iran’s next provocation

January 30, 2020 Lawrence J. Haas The Hill

Signs are mounting that in Tehran, which faces rising pressures at home and abroad, the country’s powerful hardline conservatives are circling the wagons, raising the odds of still more Iranian global provocations. The question is whether Washington — which continues to tighten the economic screws on Tehran — is ready for what might come next.

How Demographics Could Spark Change in Iran

January 25, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

For years, Iran’s ruling ayatollahs have grappled with a profoundly vexing problem: how best to maintain the loyalty of the country’s growing (and increasingly unruly) population. The question isn’t strictly a political one. It is also made significantly more complicated by the age of the Islamic Republic’s population, which cuts against the regime in key ways.

The Real Start Of “Maximum Pressure” Against Iran

January 3, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

The targeting of Soleimani – which followed on the heels of U.S. military strikes on multiple facilities in Iraq operated by Kataib Hezbollah, a key Iranian regional proxy – has ushered in a qualitatively new phase in the Trump administration’s confrontation with Iran. Chances are, it will be one punctuated by heightened hostilities

The Quest For A New Iranian Constitution

January 2, 2020 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

The current quest for an Iranian constitution reflects a realization by opponents of the Iranian regime that, if they hope to galvanize support from the Iranian “street,” they need to paint a much clearer picture of the future they desire.

The Problems Plaguing NATO

December 11, 2019 Ilan I. Berman The Hill

Seventy years after the signing of the North Atlantic Treaty and the formation of the Atlantic Alliance, the West's most powerful and enduring military bloc is suffering from deep systemic dysfunctions.

Iran’s economy is a house of cards

November 18, 2019 Ilan I. Berman The Hill

Just how durable is the Iranian economy, really? As the Trump administration’s “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran marks its one-year anniversary, that’s the question many policymakers in Washington are asking.

Trump’s refugee crackdown threatens US security

November 7, 2019 Lawrence J. Haas The Hill

On the heels of his controversial decision to pull out of Syria and abandon the Kurds, our close allies in the fight against the Islamic State, the President’s move to cap Iraqi refugees is sure to raise further doubts about why people in foreign lands should risk their lives to work with the United States.

The New Faces of Iranian Protest

October 29, 2019 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

Today’s anti-regime activism actually has more than two dozen public faces. And if they become better known globally, these personalities could help galvanize still greater resistance to the country’s clerical regime.

The future of combat is urban

October 9, 2019 Jacob McCarty Jane's Defence Weekly

The US armed forces are waking up to the fact that cities are likely to be the main environment for tomorrow’s battles and that they have some catching up to do with their rivals, as Jacob McCarty reports.

Russia’s National AI Center Is Taking Shape

September 27, 2019 Samuel Bendett DefenseOne

A famed Russian technical university is helping to lead the government’s push for public-private efforts to develop AI technologies and applications — including a joint project with China’s Huawei — and to stop top talent from flowing to the West.