Houthis have a lot to gain, little to lose from their maritime operations
Houthis have a lot to gain and little to lose from their maritime operations, which they have depicted as a response to the ongoing Israeli offensive in the Gaza Strip.
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Hezbollah Watches as West Pressures Israel over Gaza
Whether Washington and the West stand by Israel or raise the pressure on it to back off in Gaza may go a long way toward shaping Hezbollah’s next move.
Information Warfare Watch No. 30
Russia's other offensive against Ukraine;
Tech giants mobilize to fight AI disinfo;
Beijing ramps up information manipulation
Iran Democracy Monitor No. 232
Iran sets its sights on Antarctica…;
...And expands its influence in the Western Hemisphere;
How Moscow-Tehran ties keep ticking
Global Islamism Monitor No. 107
Meet Hamas' money man;
Navigating the new Afghanistan;
Al Qaeda ascendant once again…;
...As ISIS spreads its wings
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2619
The Kremlin sidelines one political challenger…;
...And eliminates another;
After Navalny, a new leader of the Russian opposition?;
Nuclear modernization: more complicated than it looks
China Policy Monitor No. 1585
China's population will fall to 525 million by 2100;
Thousands of Chinese migrants cross from Mexico into the U.S.;
Qin Gang's lover was a British spy; Meta takes down more fake accounts based in China;
Chinese scammers steal facial recognition data, access bank accounts
Moscow is waging war on Ukrainian identity, and Belarus is helping
Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, and its efforts to erase Ukrainian identity, have found a willing accomplice: the government of Putin’s close ally, Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko.
Resource Security Watch No. 52
Water scarcity worsens conditions in Kashmir;
Targeting Russia's revenue generator;
A new source for critical minerals;
Rising sea levels threaten the Marshall Islands... and U.S. basing
Information Warfare Watch No. 29
The Kremlin wages war on a free internet at home…;
...And plans a new disinformation offensive in Europe…;
...As European states hunker down;
In the wake of 10/7, a surge of online antisemitism;
Rise of the political deepfake
China Policy Monitor No. 1584
Netherlands discovers malware, accuses China of spying;
Beijing warns Chinese students to avoid foreign spies;
China's fake news websites push propaganda in 30 countries;
Chinese-born Australian commentator sentenced to death;
After Messi misses HK match, China's football assn cuts ties with Argentina
NASA’s Space Solar Power Plan Lacks Ambition
The agency’s latest report provides no clear options for the administration to assume leadership on an issue that will help shape the future of space.
China Policy Monitor No. 1583
U.S. disables PRC cyber threat;
Xi promised Biden China wouldn’t interfere in the 2024 election;
New PRC defense minister holds first talks with Russian counterpart;
The number of Chinese students falls as scrutiny rises;
China hacks Japan's diplomatic communications
The U.S. Must Re-Focus on Curbing Iran’s Nuclear Program
Iran is destabilizing the region and upending the global order. Washington and its allies must focus on developing a comprehensive plan of action.
South Asia Strategy Monitor No. 13
Revising the status of Jammu & Kashmir;
American authorities thwart Indian assassination plan;
India-Maldives row escalates;
Playing politics with religion in India
US Black Sea Strategy: The Georgian Connection
US policymakers are actively discussing a Black Sea strategy, reflecting its importance to American interests in the wider region.
Joe Biden’s Real Iran Problem
Administration officials, including President Biden himself, have been adamant that they do not want war with Iran. Nevertheless, truly resetting American deterrence might require taking steps that could risk a direct confrontation between the United States and the Islamic Republic.
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2618
How gold is fueling Russia's fight;
Moscow seeks to destabilize Finland;
Russia's war, China's gain;
Fear and loathing among ordinary Russians
Don’t Count On China To Curb Iran
Contrary to what the Biden administration might hope, it's not really in Beijing's interest to rein in Tehran or its proxies. To the contrary, the Islamic Republic's increasingly aggressive regional profile is deeply beneficial to the PRC.
Ukraine Reform Monitor No. 8
A microcosm of a rocky reconstruction;
Steady progress in Ukraine's corruption fight;
Nuclear chief under scrutiny;
Robbing Ukraine's warfighters
Defense Technology Monitor No. 95
Glass beats metal;
Modernizing the F-35's missile;
Forging stealthier stingers;
Japanese readies its railguns;
China's plans to upgrade its quantum satellites
Information Warfare Watch No. 28
Ukrainians seek new news;
How Russians consume information now;
China stokes online antisemitism
South Asia Strategy Monitor No. 12
Nepal bans TikTok, tightening social media regulations;
Russo-Indian arms trade still going strong;
India's growing naval fleet; Kabul's new canal;
The quad's new investment model in Sri Lanka
Why Benjamin Netanyahu Rejects Palestinian Statehood
Regardless of what one thinks of the Israeli premier, a Palestinian state would not wish to live “side-by-side in peace” with the Jewish state.
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2617
Building a united front against Russian imperialism;
Moscow rejects new arms control talks…;
...And the real reason has everything to do with nuclear doctrine;
Nukes and new Russian thinking;
A warning from Berlin
How America Can Still Cripple TikTok
Biden's deputies and political advisers consider TikTok a crucial tool for messaging and get-out-the-vote efforts in the general election. But it’s a cost the president should be willing to pay.
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2616
Pulling back the curtain on Russia's economy;
Moscow's manpower problems persist;
Hitting the bottle, again
China Policy Monitor No. 1582
CPC seeks to tighten "party discipline";
Xi wages an ideological struggle;
China spent $5.5m at Trump properties while he was President;
Less Taiwan investment for China, more for the U.S. and Germany;
Taiwan's exports to China hit 21-year low
Grassroots Radicalism is Clouding Gaza’s Future
Years of corruption and misrule have profoundly discredited Abbas and his cronies among the Palestinian people. Meanwhile, international support (including from the U.S.) has perpetuated a malignant status quo and laid the groundwork for the profound polarization, and radicalization, of Palestinian politics.
Israel And Hezbollah Are Headed Toward A New War
Storm clouds are gathering on Israel's northern border.
Charging Israel with Genocide is Orwellian
This week’s spectacle in The Hague is part of a larger international picture, marked by an obsession with the Jewish state.
A Dangerous Tit-For-Tat in the Middle East
In the last week, a series of moves between Israel and Lebanese-based terrorist group Hezbollah have raised the question of whether escalation toward general war has begun.
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2615
War and elections distort Russia's economy;
A new nuclear scandal, of sorts;
A much-needed prisoner exchange;
DPRK materiel aids Russian aggression…;
...as Moscow eyes more arms from Tehran
Global Islamism Monitor No. 106
A radicalized Palestinian "street"...;
...Complicates Israel's plans for the "day after";
New signs of life to al-Qaeda;
The Taliban's war on women, continued
China Policy Monitor No. 1581
TikTok content aligns with Beijing's interests;
China uses AI to turbocharge spying on the U.S...;
...as U.S. ramps up spying on China;
Xi removes dozens of senior military officials
Ukraine War in 2024: How Kyiv Can Improve Its Position Overall
To sustain continued Western support, Kyiv needs to showcase its anti-corruption efforts, reject Chinese investment, and broaden the policy conversation.
Huawei is back, and the need to keep it out of 5G networks is greater than ever
Since 2020, Western officials have largely shifted their focus to tackling other Chinese tech threats — TikTok, semiconductors and artificial intelligence among them. Meanwhile, Huawei has quietly enjoyed a resurgence across several product lines.
Africa Political Monitor No. 29
Sudan's civil war causes a deepening humanitarian crisis;
Kyiv tries an end run in Africa...;
...As Moscow seeks to capitalize on declining U.S. popularity;
France has left the building;
China Policy Monitor No. 1580
China sought to influence 2022 U.S. elections;
Taiwan colonel offered $15 million to defect on military helicopter;
China curbs the video game industry;
China floods Taiwan with disinformation ahead of election;
Florida's new law blocks Chinese students from academic labs
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2614
Akunin on the outs;
The case for seizing Russian assets;
Russia issues a warning;
Jitters in Amsterdam;
Now, New Delhi tilts towards Moscow
Pandemic Preparedness and Biodefense
COVID-19 Lessons Learned
Parsing the Great Gain of Function Debate
China’s Evolving Thinking About Biotechnology
The Case for a Biotechnology Export Control Regime
Understanding the Cyberbiosecurity Threat
China Policy Monitor No. 1579
Hong Kong voters spurn "patriots only" election;
China hacks U.S. infrastructure;
China's falling fertility rate now "an unavoidable norm";
Chinese Facebook accounts spread fake news in India;
Satellite images show China is building in Bhutan
Ukraine Reform Monitor No. 7
One step closer to membership in Europe...;
...amid remaining hurdles;
What Ukrainans worry about;
Corruption continues to plague Ukraine's military;
The key to successful reconstruction
Global Islamism Monitor No. 105
al-Qaeda exploits Burkina's disarray...;
...while Manila's war on terror gets bloodier;
How the Bin Laden network is adapting;
Hamas leadership goes to ground
Information Warfare Watch No. 27
Parsing Russian disinformation in Africa;
Russian propaganda and the Ukraine aid debate;
Iran ups the informational ante;
China innovates in "cognitive warfare"
Russia Policy Monitor No. 2613
Russia’s hidden epidemic;
Japan ups the ante;
What has happened to Navalny?;
Coup-proofing the Kremlin;
Thinking beyond Ukraine
China Policy Monitor No. 1578
Hong Kong to make primary education more "patriotic";
Moody's downgrades eight Chinese banks and Hong Kong;
Beijing warns local authorities about falsifying economic data;
Bank bans bearish research, displays of wealth;
Chinese ship damaged Baltic gas pipeline, Finland and Estonia say
Iran Democracy Monitor No. 231
The (not so) Islamic Republic of Iran;
Iran steps up pressure on Afghan refugees;
Iran's regime doubles down on gender apartheid;
The Iran-Hamas relationship, explained
The Road to Taiwan’s 2024 Presidential Election
On January 13, 2024, the Republic of China, also known as “Nationalist China” and Taiwan, will hold its next presidential election. This will be the eighth direct election of a president in Taiwan, the first having been held in 1996. It will also be a contest that showcases the island’s changing identity politics, shifting political preferences, and potential security challenges.
China Policy Monitor No. 1577
China hosts hundreds of Taiwan politicians before key election;
Treasury creates strike force to stop China's fentanyl;
China has hacked UK nuclear site for years;
PLA warships dock at Cambodia's new naval base;
Italy backs out of the BRI