Africa Political Monitor No. 20
A contested vote in Kenya;
After France, more extremism in Mali… and elsewhere in Africa;
The Biden Administration seeks to make up ground in Africa;
The GERD as flashpoint… again
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Publications
China Reform Monitor No. 1517
Latvia, Estonia leave China's East Europe forum;
Lithuanian Deputy Minister visits Taiwan;
Sri Lanka allows PLA spy ship to dock at Hambantota Port;
Fewer Chinese students heading to the U.S.;
CPC warns Israel: Don't get "dragged" into U.S.-China policy
Anticipating Iran’s Future
Today, it is increasingly clear that the Islamic Republic of Iran is approaching some sort of political transition.
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2535
The strange case of Darya Dugina;
Western tech fuels Russia's fight;
Target: Wagner;
The Kremlin looks for reinforcements
Six Months on, the Costs of the Ukraine War Are Mounting … for Russia
...the costs of the present conflict have already become exorbitantly high, both for Russia and for ordinary Russians
Defense Technology Monitor No. 79
Honing in on hypersonics;
Drones as security chaperone?;
An iron man suit reboot;
Robot dogs get their sea legs;
NATO considers virtual training
Information Warfare Watch No. 15
Moscow tries to make up informational ground...;
...and steps up its propaganda efforts in Africa;
Armenia's crumbling internet freedoms;
Singapore gets serious about online security
Global Islamism Monitor No. 99
Africa as an illicit finance hub;
Islamic State planned chemical attacks in Europe;
Belatedly, Bangladesh tries de-radicalization;
Islamists on the back foot in Tunisia;
Russia's Muslims increasingly restive
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2534
Russia's aviation industry starts to eat itself;
Arms control a casualty of the Ukraine war?;
More Russian nuclear blackmail;
Wooing allies through arms sales;
Russia's military has a manpower problem
China Reform Monitor No. 1516
Bangladeshi finance minister warns about China's loans;
India deploys military chopper to transport Dalai Lama;
KMT vice chairman's China trip draws fire from within;
Leaked data shows China's population shrinking fast;
Alibaba joins nearly 200 firms facing delisting from U.S. exchanges
Putin’s on the brink
In less than six months, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war of choice has had catastrophic consequences — for Russia itself.
Nancy Pelosi Rebukes Biden’s China Policy
They could have ironed out their differences privately and worked everything out behind closed doors. Instead, unnamed White House officials leaked Nancy Pelosi's Taiwan travel plans and sought to spike the trip.
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2533
Moscow's political power play;
A turnaround in Turkey?;
Language as a battlefield;
Another reason the Kremlin covets Ukraine
Resource Security Watch No. 45
Ukraine war contributing to spike in global hunger and migration;
OPEC's grim outlook;
Old and new allies propping up Russia's economy';
France, UAE strike energy deal
The Sources of Russian Conduct
Some three-quarters of a century after Kennan’s “long telegram,” the United States—and the West more broadly—has little understanding of the ideological constructs and strategic principles animating contemporary Russian decision-making. In the absence of such awareness, successive governments have fallen short in anticipating Russia’s post-Cold War foreign policy maneuvers. They have likewise floundered in formulating a cogent response to them.
Afghanistan One Year Later: What Does America Really Think?
A year later, a majority of Americans (53%) agreed that the fall of Afghanistan was indeed a “generational setback” for the United States.
The Ukraine War Is An Opportunity To Squeeze Russia
Since the start of the war in Ukraine in late February, the policy conversation in Washington and European capitals has revolved around how best the West can put an end to Vladimir Putin’s aggression
China Reform Monitor No. 1515
U.S. tightens grip on exports of chipmaking gear to China;
China targeted fed to build informant network;
FBI: Chinese telecom equipment could disrupt U.S. military communications;
Jeep factory pulls out of China over government meddling;
China forcibly relocating Tibetans to disputed borders
Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 26
Sri Lanka's debt drama;
Nepal balks at national guard partnership with U.S.;
Modi remains silent as ethno-religious violence in India continues;
Drama among Pacific island nations leads back to Beijing;
Cambodia continues China tilt, breaks ground on naval base
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2532
Deportations, "filtration camps" key to the Kremlin's plans;
How Wagner is winning;
The Turkish role in Ukraine's war effort
Zawahiri Killing Exposes Biden’s Foreign-Policy Contradictions
The death of al-Qaeda’s leader is an opportune moment to reflect on the dangerous incoherence of the Biden administration’s foreign policy.
China Reform Monitor No. 1514
China pressures UN not to release Xinjiang report;
Uruguay navy captures Chinese vessel fishing illegally;
India probes Chinese phone makers for tax evasion, etc.;
Pentagon to review all U.S.-China military encounters;
China-Russia passenger jet joint venture at risk
America needs a new approach to Iran
At this critical moment, Washington needs a post-JCPOA strategy that will force Russia, China, and Iran to take notice.
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2531
The return of Russian disinformation;
Jerusalem weighs in with the Kremlin;
Russia's convict army;
The true state of Russia's economy
China Reform Monitor No. 1513
Russian scientists arrested for passing hypersonic data to China;
China sees "new golden era" with the Philippines under Marcos;
China's defense attachés removed from Pacific Islands Forum;
"Buy from trusted sources only," Delhi tells tech firms;
India intercepts PLAAF fighters over disputed territory
Iran Democracy Monitor No. 224
The UN refocuses on human rights in Iran;
How the Russo-Iranian alliance is adapting;
Tehran still seeks WMD tech;
Israel and Iran's nuclear clock
NATO Gets A New Lease On Life – For Now
Perhaps the most profound impact of Russia’s new war has been to revitalize the West’s oldest and most enduring alliance. Until recently thought by many to be on its deathbed, NATO has found renewed purpose in deterring a revanchist and neo-imperial Russia, and convinced skeptics of the indispensable role it should play in maintaining global security.
Dashed Potential: How Misperceiving China Could Hamstring the U.S.-ROK Alliance
Renewed alignment between America and South Korea is opening new possibilities to elevate the U.S.-ROK alliance from a regional partnership to a global project. However, the China policies of Washington and Seoul are complicating these possibilities.
How the U.S.-Israel Partnership Is Tackling China
It is clear that Israel is working hard to strike a balance between its own economic interests and a new, and changed, global landscape that has U.S.-China competition as a defining feature. Other American allies should be watching closely, because they will soon be expected to follow suit.
Information Warfare Watch No. 14
The informational costs of cooperating with China;
A media fight for Iranian dissidents;
Latvia pushes back;
Conspiracies in Syria foreshadow a crisis of truth in Ukraine;
London focuses on foreign influence online
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2530
Russia's increasingly criminal war;
Moscow's "Twin Cities" program a soft attempt at integration;
How Putin plans to reshape Russian society in his image;
Tokyo takes a stand
Africa Political Monitor No. 19
Rumor has it, China plans second naval base in Africa;
Ethiopia's TPLF forces the young to fight;
Africa's energy, Europe's predicament;
Mali withdraws from the G5
Russia Needs Its Own Charles de Gaulle
Whoever emerges from the inevitable turmoil in Russia, he, she, or they will have to address the open wound that Putin’s Ukraine gambit has opened in the Russian polity itself.
China Reform Monitor No. 1512
FBI and MI5 heads warn of China threat;
Pakistan resists Beijing's pressure to protect assets;
Vast cache of hacked Chinese police files offered for sale;
China to take over the moon: NASA chief;
China crushes protest by bank depositors
Russia’s African Inroads Bear Watching
For the Kremlin, the African continent has emerged as a serious strategic priority – and a new battleground in its struggle for influence with the West.
Resource Security Watch No. 44
Resource sales fuel Putin's war... for now;
US worries over China's influence over Latin American minerals...;
...as China looks to Africa in the race for lithium;
Russian military moves in the Arctic worry the West
Biden’s Missed Opportunity in Saudi Arabia on Energy
Anyone hoping that President Biden’s sunny prediction that his trip to Saudi Arabia would result in lower prices at the pump in a matter of weeks should not hold their breath.
Europe and Russia’s New War
NATO’s Old/New Mission
Assessing Germany’s “New Era” in Foreign and Security Policy
Confronting Europe’s Energy Insecurity
Is Europe Getting Serious about Russian Disinformation?
For Ukraine, Necessity Is the Mother of Invention
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2529
A Russian default... by default;
The curtain comes down on Russian emigration to Israel;
How Russia is stealing Ukraine's grain;
More nuclear saber rattling from Moscow
AFPC Recent Historical Presence in Ukraine
Though there has been a significant global increase in focus on Ukraine since the 2022 invasion by Russian forces, AFPC has been deeply invested in Ukrainian affairs for years, as displayed throughout the following images.
Defense Technology Monitor No. 78
DOD makes progress on space nuclear propulsion;
Novel deepfake detection needed;
Making combat vehicles current;
China advances the automation of its drone swarms;
Wanted: Big Tech in a small package
An ICAO for the Moon: It’s time for an International Civil Lunar Organization
Given that the United States has committed to a sustainable lunar presence, and committed to promoting norms, the United States should take leadership in an International Civil Lunar Organization.
The EU Gets Real About Energy Security
Standing up to Putin’s blackmail, the European Parliament classifies some nuclear and natural-gas projects as ‘sustainable.’ The U.S. should follow its lead.
Colombia’s President-elect Gustavo Petro promises a trifecta of trouble for US
Gutavo Petro's election is a potential calamity for the United States and threatens to undermine one of the few success stories America can boast of in our own hemisphere.
China Reform Monitor No. 1511
G-7 unveils $600B plan to combat China's Belt and Road Initiative;
TikTok's China-based employees access US user data;
WHO chief believes Covid probably leaked from Wuhan lab;
China orders foreign financial companies to set up CPC units;
One in four European firms considering relocating out of China
Russia Reform Monitor No. 2528
The Chechen factor in the Ukraine War;
Ikea eyes the exits;
More proof of Putin's corruption;
Cyber-target: Lithuania;
Putin's manpower problem
Resource Security Watch No. 43
The military costs of climate change;
A global sand crisis on the horizon;
US Navy aims to curb emissions;
How climate is propelling migration
US is playing risky game with Saudi Arabia and Iran
Biden’s commitment to reviving the nuclear deal is not only problematic in terms of curbing Iranian nuclear activity, but it also threatens to undercut his effort to restore relations with Riyadh that have become increasingly important to U.S. strategic interests.
I went to Medina as a Jew, Biden should go too
On the road to Medina, Saudi officials recently removed signs reading “Muslims only.”
China Reform Monitor No. 1510
Congress targets university investments in hostile Chinese firms;
UK universities face sanctions for CPC money, curbs on free speech;
Germany turns away from China;
Italian PM vetoes another tech transfer to China;
Estonian woman convicted of spying for China