Publications

The Third Act of Epic Fury: Why the War of Attrition Against Iran Now Favors America

March 24, 2026 Eran Ortal 1945

As of late March 2026, the strategic landscape of Operation Epic Fury has shifted from a high-intensity “shock” campaign to a calculated war of attrition. According to Brig. Gen. (res) Eran Ortal, the conflict has entered a decisive third phase where the combined industrial and logistical weight of the United States, Israel, and the Gulf states is systematically dismantling the Iranian regime’s ability to project power.

Uzbekistan Tourism: The Quality Imperative

March 20, 2026 Mamuka Tsereteli CACI Feature Article

This article examines how Uzbekistan can strengthen its economic security by leveraging its extraordinary cultural heritage and strategic positioning to transition from a volume-driven tourism model towards more of a value-driven approach.

An American Return To The Western Hemisphere

March 19, 2026 Ilan I. Berman NIPP Occasional Paper

In the early morning hours of January 3, 2026, the Trump Administration launched "Absolute Resolve," a military operation to apprehend Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro and remove him from office. The effort marked the most consequential U.S. intervention in Latin America in decades, involving large-scale coordinated intelligence, air and special operations assets.

China Policy Monitor No. 1669

March 17, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Antisemitism with Chinese characteristics;
CCP defector details his repression of religious minorities;
New ethnic unity law promotes assimilation, mandates Mandarin;
CK Hutchison escalates lawfare after Panama seizes ports;
Australian businessman convicted of working for MSS

How Ukraine Can Help the Iran War Effort

March 13, 2026 Anna Harvey RealClear Defense

Iran is pounding U.S. military positions across the Middle East with missiles and cheap but highly effective drones, killing U.S. troops and wreaking havoc across the Persian Gulf. The cost to the U.S. of its defensive systems far exceeds the cost of Iran’s drones, and America and its regional partners are burning through their air defenses.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 53

March 10, 2026 Thomas S. SextonMarie Handy

China steps toward semiconductor supremacy;
Seoul searching for mineral alliances with Brazil;
Japan to deploy missiles on island near Taiwan;
Pakistan declares open war as cross-border strikes escalate;
Hormuz hinders trade across Asia

China Policy Monitor 1668

March 9, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Chinese hackers targeting Google sheets;
China offers to mediate in Pakistan-Afghanistan clash;
Chinese port operator evicted from Panama Canal;
More military purges ahead of NPC;
DOJ drops charges against Chinese scientists

China Policy Monitor No. 1667

March 3, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Beijing warns citizens against Russian military conscription;
China hikes fiber optic prices for Russian defense sector;
China's births hit record low, population decline accelerates;
EU bars China from critical technology research grants;
Amid "China shock," German Chancellor Merz visits Beijing

China Policy Monitor No. 1666

February 26, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

IMF blames Beijing for global "external imbalances";
China snaps up discounted Russian, Saudi crude;
Poland bans Chinese-made vehicles from military sites;
CK Hutchison threatens suit against Maersk over Panama ports;
PRC expands visa-free entry 

Africa Political Monitor No. 62

February 24, 2026 Leila Olukoga Brendan Sanders

Nigeria works to mend fences with Washington;
Attack on Niger airport highlights growing extremist threats in Sahel;
Kenya's government accuses Russia of illegal recruitment;
DRC to expand critical mineral supplies to U.S. and UAE;
Sudanese paramilitary training camp identified in Ethiopia 

Donald Trump’s Viktor Orban Endorsement: Setting A Bad Historical Precedent?

February 20, 2026 Lawrence J. Haas

In February 2026, Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Budapest to herald a “new golden age” of relations, signing a major civilian nuclear deal and pledging a “financial protective shield” for Hungary. This visit followed President Trump’s “complete and total” endorsement of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, who currently trails challenger Péter Magyar in the polls ahead of the April 12 election. Critics warn that making bilateral relations contingent on individual leaders turns long-term alliances into fragile transactional affairs. Furthermore, Orbán’s continued energy dependence on Russia and his security ties to China present a significant paradox for the administration’s broader “Great Power” strategy.

America Pivots Away From Syria’s Kurds

February 19, 2026 Ilan I. Berman The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune

After years of military involvement in the Syrian theater, America is understandably eager to turn the page. But doing so prematurely risks abandoning a known and capable counterterrorism partner for a still-untested arrangement. That is hardly a recipe for lasting stability.

China Policy Monitor No. 1665

February 12, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Concerns linger despite TikTok's sale;
Greek colonel caught selling Patriot systems data to China;
Panama voids CK Hutchison Port contract;
Chinese reporter caught spying in Prague; 
Uzbek farmers surrender land to Chinese investors

China has leverage over US agriculture. Missouri farmers deserve protection

February 10, 2026 James B. Skinner The Kansas City Star

China doesn’t need to invade America to control its farmland. It just needs to buy it. Through state-backed conglomerates, shell companies and global acquisitions, Beijing is doing just that, gaining fiduciary leverage over farmland across our nation and threatening America’s long-term food security. It is clear that more must be done to prevent the Chinese Communist Party, our foremost global competitor, from weakening America’s agricultural independence from within.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 52

February 10, 2026 Thomas S. Sexton

China's export controls spark protest from Japan;
...As Takaichi digs in;
Another flashpoint in Sino-Indian ties;
Despite ceasefire, Thai-Cambodian tensions persist;
China's new canal project for Southeast Asian trade

What Israel Sees in Somaliland

February 3, 2026 Ilan I. Berman National Institute for Public Policy

The strategic logic underpinning Israel's outreach to Somaliland, in other words, is compelling. It simultaneously provides the country with a strategic foothold opposite Yemen, greater proximity to the ongoing threat posed by the Houthis, a deeper stake in Red Sea security, and the potential to become a much bigger player in African politics. For those reasons, Israel's newest partnership is well positioned to endure.

The Organization of Turkic States’ Push into Green Finance and Digital Innovation

February 3, 2026 Lindsey Cliff CACI Analyst

The Organization of Turkic States has expanded beyond its cultural foundations to address regional challenges through green finance, digital innovation, and artificial intelligence initiatives. Led by Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, the OTS established the Turkic Green Finance Council and proposed collaborative AI networks, responding to economic pressures from sanctions and oil price fluctuations. 

From Rivalry to Recognition: The OTS’s Evolving Approach to Tajikistan

February 3, 2026 Lindsey Cliff CACI Analyst

The Organization of Turkic States has evolved its approach toward Tajikistan, shifting from explicit support for Kyrgyzstan during border conflicts to more inclusive language. Early OTS statements emphasized brotherly solidarity with Kyrgyzstan while implicitly attributing blame to Tajikistan, prompting sharp criticism from Dushanbe. Following diplomatic progress culminating in the March 2025 Kyrgyz-Tajik border treaty, OTS rhetoric shifted significantly. 

China Policy Monitor No. 1664

February 3, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

CPC, KMT revive a long-stalled party-to-party forum;
Xi-Starmer Beijing summit signals warming of PRC-UK ties;
China advances dual-use quantum sensing network;
Beijing threatens retaliation over potential Darwin Port seizure; 
CSRC tightens cross-border investment flows amid surging demand