Publications

Donald Trump’s Viktor Orban Endorsement: Setting A Bad Historical Precedent?

February 20, 2026 Lawrence J. Haas

In February 2026, Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Budapest to herald a “new golden age” of relations, signing a major civilian nuclear deal and pledging a “financial protective shield” for Hungary. This visit followed President Trump’s “complete and total” endorsement of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, who currently trails challenger Péter Magyar in the polls ahead of the April 12 election. Critics warn that making bilateral relations contingent on individual leaders turns long-term alliances into fragile transactional affairs. Furthermore, Orbán’s continued energy dependence on Russia and his security ties to China present a significant paradox for the administration’s broader “Great Power” strategy.

America Pivots Away From Syria’s Kurds

February 19, 2026 Ilan I. Berman The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune

After years of military involvement in the Syrian theater, America is understandably eager to turn the page. But doing so prematurely risks abandoning a known and capable counterterrorism partner for a still-untested arrangement. That is hardly a recipe for lasting stability.

China Policy Monitor No. 1665

February 12, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Concerns linger despite TikTok's sale;
Greek colonel caught selling Patriot systems data to China;
Panama voids CK Hutchison Port contract;
Chinese reporter caught spying in Prague; 
Uzbek farmers surrender land to Chinese investors

China has leverage over US agriculture. Missouri farmers deserve protection

February 10, 2026 James B. Skinner The Kansas City Star

China doesn’t need to invade America to control its farmland. It just needs to buy it. Through state-backed conglomerates, shell companies and global acquisitions, Beijing is doing just that, gaining fiduciary leverage over farmland across our nation and threatening America’s long-term food security. It is clear that more must be done to prevent the Chinese Communist Party, our foremost global competitor, from weakening America’s agricultural independence from within.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 52

February 10, 2026 Thomas S. Sexton

China's export controls spark protest from Japan;
...As Takaichi digs in;
Another flashpoint in Sino-Indian ties;
Despite ceasefire, Thai-Cambodian tensions persist;
China's new canal project for Southeast Asian trade

What Israel Sees in Somaliland

February 3, 2026 Ilan I. Berman National Institute for Public Policy

The strategic logic underpinning Israel's outreach to Somaliland, in other words, is compelling. It simultaneously provides the country with a strategic foothold opposite Yemen, greater proximity to the ongoing threat posed by the Houthis, a deeper stake in Red Sea security, and the potential to become a much bigger player in African politics. For those reasons, Israel's newest partnership is well positioned to endure.

The Organization of Turkic States’ Push into Green Finance and Digital Innovation

February 3, 2026 Lindsey Cliff CACI Analyst

The Organization of Turkic States has expanded beyond its cultural foundations to address regional challenges through green finance, digital innovation, and artificial intelligence initiatives. Led by Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, the OTS established the Turkic Green Finance Council and proposed collaborative AI networks, responding to economic pressures from sanctions and oil price fluctuations. 

From Rivalry to Recognition: The OTS’s Evolving Approach to Tajikistan

February 3, 2026 Lindsey Cliff CACI Analyst

The Organization of Turkic States has evolved its approach toward Tajikistan, shifting from explicit support for Kyrgyzstan during border conflicts to more inclusive language. Early OTS statements emphasized brotherly solidarity with Kyrgyzstan while implicitly attributing blame to Tajikistan, prompting sharp criticism from Dushanbe. Following diplomatic progress culminating in the March 2025 Kyrgyz-Tajik border treaty, OTS rhetoric shifted significantly. 

China Policy Monitor No. 1664

February 3, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

CPC, KMT revive a long-stalled party-to-party forum;
Xi-Starmer Beijing summit signals warming of PRC-UK ties;
China advances dual-use quantum sensing network;
Beijing threatens retaliation over potential Darwin Port seizure; 
CSRC tightens cross-border investment flows amid surging demand

China Policy Monitor No. 1663

January 29, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Top general under investigation for "grave violations";
China expands power generation for AI;
China "shot itself in the foot" with the One Child Policy;
Peru's president had secret meetings with Chinese businessmen; 
China buys more Indian goods, but large trade deficits persist

Iran’s Digital Repression Has Entered A New Phase

January 29, 2026 Ilan I. Berman Forbes

Today’s internet blackout in Iran, in other words, is merely the most visible manifestation of an accelerating information arms race. Iran’s radical regime is racing to consolidate digital control over its captive population. If it succeeds in doing so, Iran’s brave protesters will find themselves truly cut off from the outside world.

China Policy Monitor No. 1662

January 23, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

PRC reports largest ever trade surplus;
Chinese, Canadian leaders ink deals, slash tariffs;
State TV airs PLA "decapitation" strike drill on Taiwan;
China debuts "Drone Killer" weapons system; 
China's East China Sea gas exploration fuels tensions with Japan

A Canadian Solution to the Greenland Problem

January 22, 2026 Damjan Krnjević Mišković The National Interest

Canadian and European political leaders of various stripes seem to be tripping over themselves to articulate a sensible position on the escalating conflict between NATO allies over Greenland, a Danish colonial possession until 1953 that is now an autonomous territory of the Kingdom of Denmark, and a territory the United States now seeks. However, this collective incoherence does nothing to reduce tensions, much less help overcome the danger we all face. As a Canadian, I propose an outside-the-box compromise solution that puts Canada First. 

Washington Must Get Serious About Eurasia

January 22, 2026 Ilan I. Berman The Washington Times

Big changes are afoot in Eurasia. Over the past several months, the region has undergone a series of tectonic shifts, as countries in Central Asia and the South Caucasus have recalibrated their respective foreign policies and expanded ties with the West.

China Policy Monitor No. 1661

January 20, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Beijing will pay $26B in pregnancy and childcare subsidies in 2026;
China, Russia, Iran hold naval drills in South Africa;
China's influence will grow, as trust in U.S. fades -- New poll;
Navy sailor gets 16 years for selling classified material to China; 
Beijing installs loyalist to lead AIIB

Spiritual Science and Sacred Tradition: The Esoteric Sources of Zviad Gamsakhurdia’s Worldview – Part III

January 16, 2026 Alexander John Paul Lutz Hypotheses

To make sense of how Gamsakhurdia engaged with Georgian Christian mysticism, I organize his sources into two analytical categories—what I term the “Gelati current” and the “prophetic current.” These are, crucially, not divisions that Gamsakhurdia himself articulated, but rather, groupings that help illuminate the different functions these sources served in his thinking.

Spiritual Science and Sacred Tradition: The Esoteric Sources of Zviad Gamsakhurdia’s Worldview – Part I

January 16, 2026 Alexander John Paul Lutz Hypotheses

In these pieces, I begin (but certainly do not finish) the process of undertaking that engagement by tracing and examining the esoteric sources that shaped Gamsakhurdia’s worldview. To Gamsakhurdia, Georgia was not just a newly independent state among many newly independent states, but the bearer of an ancient history and a future mission of great significance. It was a chosen mediator between—and synthesizer of—worlds: Western and Eastern, earthly and divine.

China Policy Monitor No. 1660

January 5, 2026 Joshua Eisenman

Wang Yi hosts Thai and Cambodian FMs for talks in Yunnan;
Russia vows to support China if it attacks Taiwan;
Beijing sanctions U.S. defense firms, seizes "non-existent" assets;
China proposes strict new rules to curb AI companion addiction;
Revised civil aviation law covers the "low altitude economy"

Beijing Is Facing A Population Bust

January 2, 2026 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

When it comes to a nation's potential, few factors matter more than demographics. The pace of a country's population determines a great many things, from the vibrancy of its society to its global competitiveness.

China Policy Monitor No. 1659

December 23, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

U.S. approves $11 billion Taiwan arms package;
House Committee issues recs to deter China from attacking Taiwan;
China supports Venezuela amid U.S. pressure;
U.S. and China boost counternarcotics cooperation;
Chinese firms move to Singapore to avoid U.S. tariffs

China Policy Monitor No. 1658

December 17, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

U.S. special forces seize Chinese military cargo bound for Iran;
Man pleads guilty to smuggling $160 million in AI chips to China;
PLA fighters lock radar on Japanese jets;
Chinese and Russian bombers hold joint drills near Japan;
China's $1T surplus prompts criticism...
... And levies from Mexico, Europe