Publications

Iran’s Unexpected Regional Revival

May 14, 2024 Ilan I. Berman Horizons

On April 13th, the "shadow war" that has raged between Israel and Iran for decades finally broke into the open. That day, Iran's clerical regime fired over 300 drones and missiles at Israeli territory in retaliation for Israel's targeting of a top Iranian military commander in Syria days earlier. The massive Iranian attack, and Israel's limited response days later, has ushered in an ominous new "balance of terror" in the Middle East.

Georgia As Geopolitical Hostage

May 13, 2024 Mamuka Tsereteli AFPC Insights

What might Moscow’s endgame be? The ultimate goal seems to be to recreate a Russia-dominated “Union” state that at least some, if not all, of the former Soviet republics will be forced to join. 

China Policy Monitor No. 1594

May 9, 2024 Joshua Eisenman

U.S. sanctions Chinese companies for supplying Russia’s military;
China’s wealthy are movin' out;
China subsidizes fentanyl sales to the U.S.;
China stops providing real-time data on stock trades;
Forty percent of Americans see China as an enemy: pew

A Litmus Test for Biden’s Iran Policy

May 3, 2024 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

And at home, Iranian regime officials—who not long ago were on the back foot in the face of sustained grassroots protests—have redoubled their domestic repression, launching a sweeping national plan to enforce restrictions on female dress and conduct. What accounts for this reversal of fortune? A great deal can be attributed to permissive American policy.

China Policy Monitor No. 1592

April 26, 2024 Joshua Eisenman

Xi meets with former Taiwanese President; 
China scrambles fighter jets to shadow U.S. Navy plane; 
Manila: China recruiting members of the Philippine military for espionage; 
PRC spies target Dutch industries: Amsterdam; 
China establishes information warfare unit

Iran Democracy Monitor No. 234

April 24, 2024 Ilan I. Berman

The Islamic Republic's war on women, rebooted; 
Tehran's hand in Sudan’s turmoil…; 
...And Iranian designs on the Red Sea; 
Iran's version of the war on drugs; 
A warning about Iran... from Fatah

China Policy Monitor No. 1591

April 23, 2024 Joshua Eisenman

After three years U.S., China military talks resume in Hawaii; 
Security lapses led to deadly suicide attack on Chinese engineers in Pakistan; 
China's banks reject payments from Russian electronics importers; 
China is "flooding the UK with fake Royal Mail stamps": Royal Mail; 
U.S. and China hold talks to deport more Chinese nationals

Israel Seeks A New Strategic Concept

April 11, 2024 Ilan I. Berman National Institute for Public Policy

In tandem with its military offensive against Hamas, however, Israel has experienced a deeper strategic shift. A sea change is now taking place in Israel’s approach to security affairs, informed by the errors and miscalculations that made the atrocities of October 7th possible.

China Policy Monitor No. 1590

April 9, 2024 Joshua Eisenman

China's coast guard increases its presence around Kinmen; 
Taiwan respectfully declines China's earthquake aid; 
China quietly pushes into Russia's far east; 
Russia uses more Chinese yuan; 
Kenya considers curbing TikTok

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 36

April 3, 2024 Aedan Yohannan

U.S. Army special forces train Taiwanese troops; 
Marines go virtual to address lack of Indo-Pacific training grounds; 
With an eye on China, Japan announces maritime domain awareness aid; 
Hanoi poised for explosive growth; 
Cambodia's airport dreams stall

The True Obstacles to a Palestinian State

April 2, 2024 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

Cumulatively, these factors will help determine what lies ahead for the Palestinians. But if Team Biden ignores them in favor of quick fixes, or worse still, empty pandering to its constituents, it will only end up perpetuating their misery.

China Policy Monitor No. 1589

April 1, 2024 Joshua Eisenman

Xi: China's officials unprepared for "great struggle"; 
Seven Chinese hackers indicted for targeting U.S. officials, companies; 
China's cyberattacks on UK, NZ parliamentarians; 
Five Chinese and 1 Pakistani killed in suicide bombing; 
Foreign consulting firms a "cover" to steal state secrets, ministry says

Russia’s Islamist Terror Threat Reemerges

March 31, 2024 Ilan I. Berman The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune

The March 22 attack in Moscow may be a potential portent of things to come. Russia’s Mideast policy has given foreign Islamist militants several excuses for conducting murderous attacks, and Russia’s Muslim minority groups are feeling alienated from, and sometimes hostile to, the prevailing political order.