Publications

China Policy Monitor No. 1634

May 19, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

PLA To "Expand Practical Cooperation" With Russian Military;
China and Russia Sign Lunar Nuclear Reactor Deal;
China and Brazil Ink Deals, Vow To Defend Free Trade;
Colombia Joins The BRI;
China Expands Visa-Free Travel To Five Latin American Nations

Africa Political Monitor No. 50

May 12, 2025 Lilly HarveyMia Shaw

Sudan Paramilitary Forms Rival Government;
China, Kenya Upgrade Ties Amid Global Challenges;
Trump Administration Shutters Africa Infrastructure Agency;
Gabon’s Military Leader Secures Controversial Presidential Victory;
Congo, Rwanda Edge Toward Peace Deal

China Policy Monitor No. 1633

May 12, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

PRC Factories Slow as Trade War Takes Its Toll;
Beijing Pumps Cash Into The Chinese Economy;
Taipei Cracks Down On PRC ID Holders;
China Interfering In Philippine Elections – Manila;
China And Egypt Hold First Joint Air Force Exercises

A Strategy for Greater Central Asia

April 25, 2025 Laura LindermanSvante E. CornellS. Frederick StarrMamuka TsereteliS. Enders Wimbush American Foreign Policy Council

America needs an effective strategy for Greater Central Asia to enhance its competitive position in a region that will significantly impact the Russia-China relationship, geopolitical competition in Asia, and key resource markets including uranium, oil, and natural gas. The proposed strategy ensures open access in Greater Central Asia while securing opportunities for profitable American investment through technological partnership, resource development, and logistical facilitation.

China Policy Monitor No. 1632

April 23, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

China To Use AI in Education;
Ukraine Bans PRC Firms Supplying Russia With Missiles;
RFA Halts Radio Transmissions in Mandarin and Tibetan;
China is Using Generative AI to Ramp Up Disinformation in Taiwan;
White House Backs Off Nvidia's H20 Chip Crackdown

China Policy Monitor No. 1631

April 21, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

PRC Firm Violated Panama Canal Ports Contract;
Xi Removes CMC Vice Chair;
Russia Recruits PRC Citizens To Fight in Ukraine;
China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies;
PRC Ministries Issue U.S. Travel Warnings

The Winning Formula For Talks With Iran

April 21, 2025 Ilan I. Berman 19FortyFive

As every tourist who has strayed into a bazaar or souk knows, Middle Easterners drive a hard bargain. And the Iranians, with their long history of strategy and commerce, are among the region's most savvy negotiators. President Trump's pointman for the region, Steve Witkoff, is finding this out the hard way.

An American Strategy for Greater Central Asia

April 21, 2025 S. Frederick StarrS. Enders Wimbush Svante E. CornellMamuka TsereteliLaura Linderman Central Asia-Caucasus Institute

America needs to design and implement an effective strategy for Greater Central Asia to enhance the United States's competitive position in a region that will affect the Russia-China relationship, the geopolitical competition in Asia, and key resource markets, particularly uranium, oil, and natural gas.

Kadyrov’s Chechnya: The State Within Putin’s State

April 17, 2025 Laura Linderman CACI Analyst

Kadyrov's Chechnya presents a deepening dilemma for Russia's federal state. Putin relies on Kadyrov for stability in exchange for unprecedented autonomy—a system where "personalized loyalty substitutes for institutional coherence." This arrangement has created a parallel power structure where Kadyrov implements religious legal codes, commands his independent Kadyrovtsy militia, and pursues contradictory foreign policies.

The paradox is clear: Moscow's strategy to suppress separatism has created a regional actor whose "loyalty is conditional and whose power increasingly transcends the bounds of federation." This precedent could inspire other republics like Tatarstan and Bashkortostan to seek similar arrangements. With Russia facing pressure from sanctions and war costs, Moscow's options are limited if Kadyrov's loyalty wavers.

Africa Political Monitor No. 49

April 14, 2025 Lilly HarveyMia Shaw

Zimbabweans Protest Mnangagwa’s Presidency;
A Franco-Algerian Thaw;
The AEW Takes Aim At ECOWAS…;
…And Courts Moscow for Military Support;
France Seeks to Stabilize Egypt;
DRC Explores Minerals-For-Security Deal with U.S.;
Russia, China Expand Media Influence in Africa

The Middle East As Informational Battlefield

April 11, 2025 Ilan I. Berman The Jerusalem Strategy Tribune

Once upon a time, the Middle Eastern media environment was predictable and staid, dominated by a few prominent outlets that in Arab countries were often owned and operated by the governments’ information ministries.  No longer.

Why the UN Human Rights Council Keeps Failing on Israel

April 4, 2025 Lawrence J. Haas 19FortyFive

UN’s Human Rights Council set to mock itself – The United Nations Human Rights Council is expected to reappoint its special rapporteur on the Palestinian territories, Francesca Albanese, to a second three-year term on Friday, mocking its own mandate to fairly and seriously investigate human rights problems around the world.

China Policy Monitor No. 1630

April 2, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

Secretive PRC Firms Lure Fired Federal Workers;
China Fetes U.S. Business Leaders in Beijing;
China Releases Staff of U.S. Due Diligence Firm;
China Unveils Its New Deep-Sea Cable Cutter;
U.S. Blacklists 50 PRC Firms to Curb Ai, Chip Capabilities

A Grim Message For Iranians

April 1, 2025 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

On March 20, Iranians in Iran and in the diaspora commemorated Nowruz, the Persian New Year. Typically, U.S. administrations have used the occasion to practice some soft power diplomacy. In the past, America's Nowruz greetings have taken pains to highlight Iran's proud pre-Islamic heritage, underscore its immense civilizational potential, and draw a distinction between the country's historic greatness and its current repressive clerical regime.

Africa Political Monitor No. 48

March 26, 2025 Lilly HarveyMia Shaw

U.S. Expels South African Envoy;
Sanctions Prompt Rwanda to Sever Ties…;
…And Cause M23 Rebels to Withdraw From Peace Talks;
Ethiopia-Eritrea Tensions Risk New Conflict;
Mali Withdraws From French Bloc;
Score One for The Sudanese Army

China Policy Monitor No. 1629

March 25, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

Military Purge Deepens, Top Generals Arrested; 
Provinces Encourage Babies With Childcare Subsidies and Milk; 
China Executes Four Canadians for Drugs; 
PRC EV Makers Accelerate Global Push; 
Man Gets Prison for Helping Pressure PRC Expat to Return Home

China Policy Monitor No. 1628

March 21, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

As U.S. Tightens Sanctions, Chinese Firms Curb Russian Oil Imports;
PRC Hackers Stole Belgian State Security Emails;
New Chinese Quantum Chip is 1 Quadrillion Times Faster;
European Parliament Suspends Access For Huawei Lobbyists;
U.S. Sanctions Thai Officials for Sending Uyghurs Back To China;

Hamas’ Delusions and Israeli Strategy

March 21, 2025 Lawrence J. Haas The National Interest

Now, as Hamas retakes control of Gaza after a two-month ceasefire with Israel and reconstitutes its capacity to resume its terror, classified documents published in recent days by the Meir Amit Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center highlight Israel’s desperate need to restore a sense of deterrence in the minds of its bitterest enemies.

Understanding ASEAN

March 17, 2025 Larry M. Wortzel American Foreign Policy Council

ASEAN has grown from a small, consensus-based group into a significant regional bloc, now at the center of U.S.-China competition. Its expanded scope and diverse membership make it both a key player and a complex challenge for external powers.