Publications

Armenia’s Strategic Dilemma: Geography versus History

October 13, 2025 Laura LindermanAlexander John Paul LutzEleanor Pugh Central Asia-Caucasus Institute

Armenia faces significant challenges to its political stability and geopolitical security as it attempts a high-stakes strategic pivot away from its traditional Russian security patron and toward the West—a reorientation driven not by choice but by necessity, as the country finds itself militarily inferior, diplomatically isolated, and abandoned by unreliable security guarantors.

China Policy Monitor No. 1648

October 13, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

China's new K visa for overseas STEM graduates sparks backlash;
China restricts exports of precision machine tools to Russia;
China to revitalize Tazara Railway;
China, U.S. strenghten cooperation after record drug seizure;
China's "breathtaking" nuclear buildup

Trump Should Visit Central Asia

October 6, 2025 S. Frederick Starr The Washington Times

Central Asia and the Caucasus have recently attracted American attention. Wabtec and Boeing have announced multibillion-dollar investments in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, respectively, and groups of American investors have descended on every country in the region.

Moscow Uses Pop Culture to Distract the Masses

September 29, 2025 Ilan I. Berman Forbes

As the economic problems grow, Putin’s government has increased its efforts to distract its population from the extent of the financial and political disaster it has brought upon them. This is evident in the holiday atmosphere that fills its capital city, featuring pop-up gardens, light shows, fountains, and theme parks. Street festivals are the most common form of such celebrations, with over 10,000 events held in Moscow this summer alone.

Africa Political Monitor No. 57

September 29, 2025 Lilly HarveySarah Way

The RSF establishes a parallel government in Sudan;
Kenya courts Trump on trade;
A health emergency in Botswana;
Ethiopia inaugurates controversial grand renaissance dam;
African leaders unveil $100 billion green industrialization plan

Russia’s War on Ukrainian Children

September 25, 2025 Ilan I. Berman The National Interest

President Trump is now talking tougher on Ukraine, but the White House clearly still holds out hope that negotiating a just peace between Moscow and Kyiv might be possible. To do that, however, the United States will need to fully grasp how Russia is targeting Ukraine’s future. And it will need to make a return of these innocents a core demand of its approach toward the Kremlin.

China Policy Monitor No. 1647

September 22, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

China launches national campaign against deflation;
Bejing exports surveillance system to the Solomons;
U.S. business confidence in China hits new lows;
Rents are falling in China's top-tier cities;
China aims to double new energy storage capacity by 2027

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 48

September 18, 2025 Thomas S. Sexton

Japan writes a bigger defense check;
The Philippines plant another flag in the Luzon Strait;
Seoul bids on better relations with Beijing;
India joins Russia & Co. in armed exercise;
Australia-PNG defense pact delayed, but not derailed

Mapping Iran’s Alternative Futures

September 18, 2025 Ilan I. Berman

Iran is a nation ripe for change. Forty-six years after the 1979 Islamic Revolution, its radical religious regime is riven by contradictions—incapable of providing basic governance and increasingly rejected by its 92.5 million citizens. The June 2025 “Twelve-Day War” with Israel laid bare Iran’s vulnerabilities, but it did not spark mass uprisings or major opposition activity. Instead, the government doubled down: passing emergency legislation, executing alleged collaborators, and fast-tracking succession planning.

Africa Political Monitor No. 56

September 17, 2025

An attempted coup in Mali;
A solar surge across Africa;
Israel, South Sudan in Gaza resettlement talks;
A push to recognize Somaliland;
An M23 massacre in Eastern DRC

A Wrong Turn In The Indo-Pacific

September 5, 2025 Ilan I. Berman Newsweek

Just a few months ago, U.S.-India relations were on an upswing. But that was then, and this is now. Ties between Washington and New Delhi have deteriorated dramatically since, for both political and economic reasons.

China Policy Monitor No. 1646

September 2, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

Xi Jinping makes rare visit to Tibet;
China’s icebreaker fleet arrives in the Arctic;
Chinese refiners gobble up Russian oil as India cuts imports;
As Chinese financing stalls, ADB backs Pakistan rail upgrade;
Chinese “redacted” embassy plans raise concerns in London

China Policy Monitor No. 1644

August 25, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

PRC nationals charged with exporting AI chips to China;
U.S. Navy sailor convicted for spying for China;
PRC national convicted of sending weapons to North Korea;
Nigeria deports Chinese nationals in cybercrime crackdown;
Chinese university students spy on classmates in the UK

China Policy Monitor No. 1645

August 25, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

PRC nationals charged with exporting AI chips to China

U.S. navy sailor convicted for spying for China

PRC national convicted of sending weapons to North Korea

Nigeria deports Chinese nationals in cybercrime crackdown

Chinese university students spy on classmates in the UK

China Policy Monitor No. 1643

August 21, 2025 Joshua Eisenman

With an eye on Washington, Beijing and Delhi improve ties;
PLA warship rams Chinese ship while chasing Philippine vessel;
U.S. Navy denies China chased warship away;
China cuts ties with Czech President for Dalai Lama meeting;
Under pressure from Beijing, Thai gallery removes artworks

The Perils Of Declaring Palestine

August 20, 2025 Ilan I. Berman The Washington Times

When the international community descends on Manhattan next month for the annual session of the United Nations General Assembly, one issue will loom exceedingly large on the collective agenda: the intention of France, Britain and Canada to imminently recognize Palestine as a state, absent significant changes in Israeli policy.

Indo-Pacific Monitor No. 47

August 19, 2025 Thomas S. Sexton

Pyongyang deploys to Russia's frontlines;
Pacific power shifts toward Beijing;
Chinese ships collide in Scarborough Shoal;
Tokyo diversifies its defense portfolio;
South Korea's population problem